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BK Ogre vs Keila Coolbet Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-82
26-17 18-21 18-26 23-18
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.7
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record7-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2024
Meetings · BK Ogre v Keila Coolbet
31 Oct 2026
BK O101
KEIL77
14 Jan 2026
BK O95
KEIL66
29 Dec 2024
BK O85
KEIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila Coolbet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
71avg 75
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 75
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
70-53
70
53
+17
64avg 75
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
86avg 75
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
76avg 75
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 75
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
60avg 75
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 75
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
71-57
71
57
+14
70avg 75
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BS Ogre
#15
W
125-73
125
73
+52
no box
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
7-24
21-17
20-24
23-24
16-24
15-11
21-21
14-14
17-14
25-10
14-15
29-20
20-15
24-29
19-24
23-19
21-28
17-22
15-18
20-21
18-16
21-13
14-28
23-19
12-19
9-14
24-14
24-15
27-24
25-20
19-22
25-22
23-13
6-12
17-10
32-18
32-14
36-26
25-15
156.7Avg total
81.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.176.7156.9+3.460%
Season at home (6)81.275.7156.8+5.567%
Season away (9)79.477.4156.9+2.056%
Last 10 (10)81.675.1156.7+6.560%
Last 5 (5)86.471.0157.4+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.288.2163.3-13.00%
vs Similar (10)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.977.5158.4+3.554%
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoolbet
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
71avg 70
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
89-93
89
93
-4
76avg 70
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#11
L
91-94
91
94
-3
80avg 70
H12/11
ENBL
Ventspils
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 70
H27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Fyllingen
#16
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 70
A04/12
ENBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
55-94
55
94
-39
43avg 70
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 70
H11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
76avg 70
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
59avg 70
A17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
78avg 70
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
24-16
11-15
21-21
23-17
22-29
16-21
28-26
19-26
25-29
22-18
25-21
18-21
26-20
23-16
15-18
24-18
28-18
17-18
22-19
14-21
18-35
13-21
10-17
18-27
22-20
16-6
24-24
26-23
22-21
20-26
13-32
19-29
19-16
18-21
19-24
16-15
18-17
23-27
30-13
165.6Avg total
81.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.582.2161.7-2.654%
Season at home (6)81.579.3160.8+2.283%
Season away (7)77.984.6162.4-6.729%
Last 10 (10)81.184.5165.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)75.687.0162.6-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.085.5161.5-9.531%
vs Similar (1)91.073.0164.0+18.0100%
vs Weaker (3)81.072.3153.3+8.7100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
BK OgreKeila Coolbet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BS Ogre
#15
W
64-32
64
32
+32
A21/12
Latvian Cup
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.582.7+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.639.984.5+4.750%-
Last 30 away (18)40.640.981.5-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.236.283.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.244.582.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)41.139.780.8+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.240.083.2+3.254%-
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#11
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H12/11
ENBL
Ventspils
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Fyllingen
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
ENBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
86.6Avg total
42.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)39.241.881.0-2.641%-
Last 30 at home (8)41.042.483.4-1.450%-
Last 30 away (9)37.641.378.9-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.186.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.883.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.843.582.3-4.638%-
vs Similar (1)52.036.088.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)36.336.773.0-0.333%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.6
48.5%
51.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.7
71.8%
70.6%12.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila Coolbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila Coolbet: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.4
47.1%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.7
31.0%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.115.2
68.8%
70.6%15.2
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WWWWLLWWLL
Keila Coolbet
WLLWLWWLLW
#5
League position
#12
-3.1
Net rating
-4.7
101.5
Offensive rating
101.1
104.7
Defensive rating
105.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
46.8%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
31.0%
65.3%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 101.1Defence104.7 · 105.7Shooting48.6% · 46.8%3-point %32.5% · 31.0%Ball care17.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Keila Coolbet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BK Ogre wins
1
Keila Coolbet wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Keila Coolbet v BK Ogre80-75
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABS Ogre125-73
18/12/24HRapla71-57
13/12/24AVentspils95-81
06/12/24ATartu Ulikool68-66
30/11/24AVEF Riga73-78
17/11/24HParnu76-87
13/11/24AValmiera Glass Via92-88
10/11/24AViimsi70-53
03/11/24AKeila Coolbet75-80
26/10/24ARigas Zelli71-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AParnu87-72
17/12/24ABK Liepaja75-90
13/12/24HTartu Ulikool81-102
11/12/24HRapla80-77
07/12/24AVEF Riga55-94
04/12/24AFyllingen91-73
27/11/24HVentspils82-75
12/11/24HBrno91-94
08/11/24AValmiera Glass Via89-93
03/11/24HBK Ogre80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %60%67%56%
Points / game80.181.279.4
Allowed / game76.775.777.4
Point differential+3.4+5.5+2.0
Avg total156.9156.8156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila Coolbet
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game79.581.577.9
Allowed / game82.279.384.6
Point differential-2.6+2.2-6.7
Avg total161.7160.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1614288%81.867.8+14.0
2 Rigas Zelli1815383%84.269.0+15.2
3 BC Kalev/Cramo1310377%87.272.6+14.6
4 Tartu Ulikool1510567%82.378.7+3.6
5 Valmiera Glass Via1711665%81.775.4+6.3
6 BK Ogre159660%80.176.7+3.4
7 Keila Coolbet137654%79.582.2-2.6
8 BK Liepaja158753%79.979.1+0.7
9 Rapla167944%78.782.2-3.5
10 Ventspils146843%89.188.9+0.2
11 Tal Tech1771041%76.784.3-7.6
12 Parnu1551033%79.179.9-0.9
13 Viimsi1641225%72.883.7-10.9
14 Keila KK141137%71.492.2-20.9
15 Latvijas Universitate161156%70.684.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2618182385
Keila Coolbet1721261882
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