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BK Ogre vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-83
20-30 23-21 14-11 21-21
Position#8
Record9-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2025
Meetings · BK Ogre v Tartu Ulikool
06 Feb 2027
BK O v TUL
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
BK O78
TUL83
08 Feb 2025
BK O79
TUL86
21 Oct 2023
BK O65
TUL80
23 Nov 2022
BK O75
TUL86
13 Nov 2021
BK O85
TUL66
09 Feb 2019
BK O99
TUL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
77avg 76
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
110avg 76
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#10
W
100-92
100
92
+8
85avg 76
A17/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 76
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 76
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
69avg 76
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 76
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
95-66
95
66
+29
no box
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
W
114-98
114
98
+16
no box
H17/01
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
75avg 76
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
29-19
18-19
15-22
17-26
23-26
24-13
18-17
28-33
13-23
35-10
24-26
23-22
25-18
19-17
23-20
20-27
21-22
22-14
22-20
18-20
23-19
20-23
10-23
20-27
14-22
23-24
15-16
29-14
17-18
26-20
23-14
34-24
23-16
32-33
25-25
18-22
20-20
20-17
19-19
174.1Avg total
89.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.278.2158.4+1.947%
Season at home (9)83.078.4161.4+4.656%
Season away (10)77.678.0155.6-0.440%
Last 10 (10)89.284.9174.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)85.883.2169.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.389.5172.8-6.231%
vs Similar (7)78.478.7157.1-0.343%
vs Weaker (9)84.073.2157.2+10.867%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#8
W
65-59
65
59
+6
52avg 78
H22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
103-86
103
86
+17
105avg 78
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
77avg 78
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 78
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
76avg 78
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
89-57
89
57
+32
91avg 78
H30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
96avg 78
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 78
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-93
96
93
+3
no box
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
8-27
22-16
22-32
15-16
12-20
16-11
22-12
30-26
28-21
23-21
22-18
26-18
14-23
22-18
24-22
24-29
19-24
18-26
10-27
17-20
25-21
20-23
16-12
18-11
30-11
17-17
24-18
21-21
26-18
25-13
23-13
20-27
17-15
21-22
14-21
30-21
28-29
20-17
18-26
163.5Avg total
83.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.678.1163.7+7.589%
Season at home (10)84.378.5162.8+5.880%
Season away (8)87.277.6164.9+9.6100%
Last 10 (10)83.679.9163.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)86.075.2161.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.886.1166.9-5.443%
vs Similar (4)85.082.5167.5+2.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.574.7163.2+13.8100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
BK OgreTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A17/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#3
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H17/01
Latvian Cup
Viimsi
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
86.8Avg total
43.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.984.4+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.339.784.0+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.043.884.8-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.886.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.844.387.1-1.554%-
vs Similar (7)40.140.380.4-0.157%-
vs Weaker (9)44.238.082.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#8
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
85.1Avg total
43.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.084.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.339.682.9+3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.685.2+0.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.485.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.885.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.642.983.5-2.236%-
vs Similar (4)47.840.888.5+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.238.883.0+5.367%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.7
51.8%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.1%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
69.8%15.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.3
52.6%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.3
33.1%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.214.8
73.3%
69.8%14.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWWWL
Tartu Ulikool
WLWWWLWWWL
#8
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+6.6
104.6
Offensive rating
108.3
106.0
Defensive rating
101.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
33.1%
62.5%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 108.3Defence106.0 · 101.6Shooting52.8% · 51.3%3-point %36.1% · 33.1%Ball care17.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BK Ogre wins
5
Tartu Ulikool wins
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AViimsi77-78
17/01/26HVentspils114-98
14/01/26HKeila Coolbet95-66
10/01/26AVentspils72-89
07/01/26AParnu71-85
04/01/26AVentspils85-83
20/12/25HValmiera Glass Via90-77
17/12/25AJekabpils100-92
13/12/25HBC Kalev/Cramo111-101 OT
10/12/25ATal Tech77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AKeila KK96-93
10/01/26HBC Kalev/Cramo72-85
04/01/26AKeila Coolbet95-65
30/12/25HViimsi89-57
27/12/25ARigas Zelli78-76
21/12/25HVentspils71-106
13/12/25HValmiera Glass Via86-81
05/12/25HLatvijas Universitate103-86
22/11/25HBK Ogre65-59
19/11/25HAntwerp Giants81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game80.283.077.6
Allowed / game78.278.478.0
Point differential+1.9+4.6-0.4
Avg total158.4161.4155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game85.684.387.2
Allowed / game78.178.577.6
Point differential+7.5+5.8+9.6
Avg total163.7162.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool1816289%85.678.1+7.5
2 Rigas Zelli1915479%92.878.5+14.4
3 VEF Riga1814478%90.478.2+12.2
4 Ventspils1914574%92.282.9+9.3
5 Tal Tech1913668%84.780.7+3.9
6 BC Kalev/Cramo1812667%94.682.0+12.6
7 Valmiera Glass Via1812667%89.380.7+8.6
8 BK Ogre1991047%80.278.2+1.9
9 Parnu1981142%79.278.9+0.3
10 Viimsi1841422%74.989.0-14.1
11 Keila KK1941521%81.094.6-13.6
12 BK Liepaja1731418%78.188.8-10.6
13 Latvijas Universitate1721512%77.694.2-16.6
14 Keila Coolbet1821611%75.293.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2023142178
Tartu Ulikool3021112183
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