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BK Ogre vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 65-80
29-16 16-20 6-21 14-23
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Tartu Ulikool
06 Feb 2027
BK O v TUL
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
BK O78
TUL83
08 Feb 2025
BK O79
TUL86
21 Oct 2023
BK O65
TUL80
23 Nov 2022
BK O75
TUL86
13 Nov 2021
BK O85
TUL66
09 Feb 2019
BK O99
TUL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
no box
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A13/05
LBL
Rapla
#10
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
76avg 78
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 78
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 78
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
91-59
91
59
+32
99avg 78
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
86avg 78
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
69avg 78
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
19-19
15-11
13-17
29-29
28-12
11-19
18-26
26-20
24-24
16-19
16-18
25-19
17-20
19-21
14-22
13-23
25-11
12-18
16-14
22-17
14-27
20-27
18-23
21-14
19-9
18-18
20-23
23-15
29-19
18-14
21-11
22-20
22-13
22-16
20-13
11-18
14-22
26-21
20-19
159.4Avg total
80.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.272.7151.8+6.550%
Season at home (3)78.377.7156.0+0.733%
Season away (3)80.067.7147.7+12.367%
Last 10 (10)80.678.8159.4+1.840%
Last 5 (5)80.071.8151.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.984.6156.4-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Weaker (14)87.172.4159.6+14.771%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
72avg 71
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 71
A10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 71
H12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
60avg 71
A18/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
62avg 71
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
79avg 71
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 71
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
72avg 71
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
64avg 71
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 71
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-16
14-17
18-15
15-19
29-17
20-28
15-21
14-10
22-18
17-25
25-15
18-13
14-23
21-16
12-19
17-24
18-31
23-17
15-18
19-16
24-20
19-26
20-27
20-17
11-20
15-21
25-16
19-16
23-17
18-18
16-25
12-11
15-19
20-16
16-10
13-12
22-14
22-16
17-30
150.4Avg total
74.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.872.5145.2+0.250%
Season at home (3)73.372.0145.3+1.367%
Season away (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.076.4150.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)74.675.8150.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.380.6151.9-9.320%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.575.4153.9+3.264%
vs Weaker (9)83.372.1155.4+11.278%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
BK OgreTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A07/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/05
LBL
Rapla
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
80.4Avg total
42.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.783.3-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.284.9-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.281.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.280.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.874.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.642.679.1-6.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.146.289.3-3.133%-
vs Weaker (14)43.138.481.5+4.864%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
72.1Avg total
36.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.676.7+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.736.274.8+2.558%-
Last 30 away (11)39.640.279.8-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.672.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.468.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.738.473.1-3.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.337.576.7+1.855%-
vs Weaker (9)43.637.080.6+6.667%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.3
52.7%
50.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.45.6
30.2%
32.1%16.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
70.5%13.6
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
50.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
32.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.5
70.7%
70.5%13.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWWLLLWLL
Tartu Ulikool
WWLLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#5
+9.9
Net rating
-2.4
103.6
Offensive rating
99.0
93.7
Defensive rating
101.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
22.0%
Turnover %
22.1%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.2%
3-point %
32.6%
72.4%
Assist %
55.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 99.0Defence93.7 · 101.5Shooting50.3% · 49.1%3-point %30.2% · 32.6%Ball care22.0% · 22.1%Off. rebounds33.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BK Ogre wins
1
Tartu Ulikool wins
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AKeila KK71-80
14/10/23HBK Liepaja86-62
11/10/23AViimsi91-59
07/10/23ALatvijas Universitate78-64
04/10/23HVEF Riga74-94
29/09/23HRapla75-77 OT
13/05/23ABK Liepaja75-82
10/05/23HBK Liepaja82-81
07/05/23ABK Liepaja108-111 OT
04/05/23HBK Liepaja66-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HVEF Riga74-72
06/10/23HRigas Zelli63-56
29/09/23HVentspils83-88 OT
21/09/23ABC Kalev/Cramo71-74
27/05/23ABC Kalev/Cramo82-89
23/05/23HBC Kalev/Cramo73-90
18/05/23ABC Kalev/Cramo65-71
12/05/23HParnu78-68
10/05/23AParnu79-85
08/05/23HParnu72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game79.278.380.0
Allowed / game72.777.767.7
Point differential+6.5+0.7+12.3
Avg total151.8156.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.873.371.0
Allowed / game72.572.074.0
Point differential+0.2+1.3-3.0
Avg total145.2145.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey330100%95.067.0+28.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%92.267.0+25.2
3 Rigas Zelli43175%74.563.0+11.5
4 Tal Tech43175%87.878.0+9.8
5 Parnu53260%73.869.4+4.4
6 VEF Riga42250%81.073.0+8.0
7 BK Ogre63350%79.272.7+6.5
8 Ventspils42250%96.590.0+6.5
9 BK Liepaja42250%86.586.2+0.2
10 Tartu Ulikool42250%72.872.5+0.2
11 Tallinna Kalev42250%68.079.5-11.5
12 Valmiera Glass Via52340%75.879.0-3.2
13 Rapla52340%72.276.6-4.4
14 Keila KK52340%73.278.4-5.2
15 Viimsi61517%65.890.5-24.7
16 Latvijas Universitate71614%65.484.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre291661465
Tartu Ulikool1620212380
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