Boca Juniors host San Martín on 6 November 2026 in the Liga A, with the Pythia model naming Boca Juniors the clear favourite at 87% thanks to their 3-3 record and 88.2 points per game compared with San Martín's 0-6 record and 84.8 points per game. Boca Juniors have gone 2-0 at home, averaging 95.5 points and allowing 78.0, while San Martín have struggled on the road, 0-4, scoring 87.5 and conceding 96.0. Boca's last five games include a 95-83 win over Regatas and a 80-72 win over Racing de Chivilcoy, but they also lost 82-84 to Argentino, showing some volatility; San Martín's last five are all losses, the most recent being a 72-81 defeat to Lanus. In their ten meetings Boca has won seven, most recently beating San Martín 101-97 on 30 April 2026. Pythia projects a 91-78 score, a total of 169.2, and gives Boca a 47% chance to cover the -13.5 line and a 56% chance the game will go over the 166.5 total, with a 3% overtime probability. The game will likely hinge on Boca's home advantage and San Martín's continued struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 88.2 | 85.0 | 173.2 | +3.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 78.0 | 173.5 | +17.5 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 84.5 | 88.5 | 173.0 | -4.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.5 | 87.5 | 174.0 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.6 | 87.4 | 174.0 | -0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 96.0 | 105.0 | 201.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 84.4 | 81.6 | 166.0 | +2.7 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 86.2 | 79.0 | 165.2 | +7.2 | 87% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 84.8 | 95.2 | 180.0 | -10.3 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.5 | 93.5 | 173.0 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 87.5 | 96.0 | 183.5 | -8.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.0 | 94.2 | 179.2 | -9.2 | 0% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.2 | 98.0 | 185.2 | -10.8 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 82.4 | 90.1 | 172.5 | -7.8 | 14% |
| vs Similar (15) | 76.3 | 79.3 | 155.5 | -3.0 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 82.0 | 79.0 | 161.0 | +3.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.0 | 40.4 | 84.4 | +3.5 | 63% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 45.1 | 39.2 | 84.3 | +5.9 | 69% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.6 | 41.9 | 84.5 | +0.8 | 57% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.2 | 44.3 | 89.5 | +0.9 | 50% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.0 | 45.4 | 91.4 | +0.6 | 60% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 54.0 | 49.0 | 103.0 | +5.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Similar (14) | 42.9 | 40.5 | 83.4 | +2.4 | 57% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 44.3 | 39.8 | 84.1 | +4.5 | 67% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.6 | 41.8 | 78.3 | -5.2 | 17% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.9 | 40.2 | 78.1 | -2.3 | 29% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 35.4 | 43.1 | 78.5 | -7.8 | 6% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.5 | 44.7 | 85.2 | -4.2 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 45.4 | 83.8 | -7.0 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 38.6 | 43.6 | 82.3 | -5.0 | 21% | 50% |
| vs Similar (15) | 34.9 | 39.9 | 74.9 | -5.0 | 13% | 20% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 32.0 | 43.0 | 75.0 | -11.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors under 101.5 | 86.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 111.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 70.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| San Martin +21 | 77.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| San Martin +20.5 | 75.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors over 71.5 | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| San Martin +19.5 | 72.8% | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| San Martin +20 | 74.9% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Lost |
| San Martin +21.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Lost |
| San Martin +33.5 | 95.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 72.5 | 96.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| San Martin +19 | 71.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors over 74.5 | 94.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| San Martin +28.5 | 91.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 80.5 | 84.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| San Martin +23.5 | 82.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors over 76.5 | 92.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| San Martin over 59.5 | 96.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| San Martin over 58.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| San Martin under 98.5 | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +11.5 | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | - |
| Under 194.5 | 94.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| San Martin +38.5 | 98.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 78.5 | 88.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 81.5 | 82.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| San Martin under 88.5 | 84.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| San Martin over 61.5 | 94.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Under 177 | 70.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| San Martin over 57.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +6.5 | 94.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 83.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 89.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 75.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| San Martin over 63.5 | 92.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Lost |
| Under 177.5 | 71.0% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| San Martin over 65.5 | 88.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Lost |
| Over 144.5 | 93.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| San Martin over 68.5 | 82.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Lost |
| San Martin over 67.5 | 84.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors (regulation) | 85.0% | 1.09 | 1.11 | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors -3.5 | 80.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 87.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors -5.5 | 74.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 80.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors -6 | 73.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +1.5 | 88.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors win | 86.8% | 1.08 | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 | +0.9pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors -6.5 | 71.5% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors -7 | 70.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Over 159.5 | 70.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.3 | 18.9 | 54.4% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.2 | 11.1 | 32.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.4 | 72.7% | 15.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.0 | 21.4 | 54.4% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.6 | 9.8 | 32.6% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.0 | 12.8 | 72.7% | 12.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 | San Martin v Boca Juniors | 97-101 |
| 28/04/26 | Boca Juniors v San Martin | 83-81 |
| 25/04/26 | Boca Juniors v San Martin | 98-95 |
| 29/01/26 | San Martin v Boca Juniors | 85-79 |
| 02/10/25 | Boca Juniors v San Martin | 89-56 |
| 09/05/25 | San Martin v Boca Juniors | 69-64 |
| 30/11/24 | Boca Juniors v San Martin | 66-64 |
| 22/05/24 | San Martin v Boca Juniors | 64-72 |
| 13/01/24 | Boca Juniors v San Martin | 86-71 |
| 10/03/23 | San Martin v Boca Juniors | 81-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Lanus | 72-81 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Penarol | 76-95 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Olimpico | 86-106 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Argentino | 79-82 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Racing de Chivilcoy | 123-126 OT |
| 01/10/26 | H | Instituto de Cordoba | 73-81 |
| 01/05/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 97-101 |
| 28/04/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 81-83 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 95-98 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Union De Santa Fe | 68-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| Points / game | 88.2 | 95.5 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 85.0 | 78.0 | 88.5 |
| Point differential | +3.2 | +17.5 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 173.2 | 173.5 | 173.0 |
| Over 168.5 | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 84.8 | 79.5 | 87.5 |
| Allowed / game | 95.2 | 93.5 | 96.0 |
| Point differential | -10.3 | -14.0 | -8.5 |
| Avg total | 180.0 | 173.0 | 183.5 |
| Over 168.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | - | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 84.9 | 73.4 | +11.4 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 82.2 | 74.5 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 76.6 | 73.5 | +3.1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.0 | 83.0 | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.7 | 73.7 | +1.0 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.4 | 85.7 | +1.7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 88.2 | 85.0 | +3.2 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.8 | 77.2 | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.3 | 80.3 | +0.0 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 77.7 | 81.0 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.9 | 83.1 | -2.2 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.5 | -3.5 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.5 | 81.7 | -4.2 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 77.1 | 81.5 | -4.4 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 74.8 | 78.2 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 80.8 | -4.5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 84.8 | 95.2 | -10.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 28 | 21 | 27 | 90 | |
| 13 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 63 |
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