PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Martin vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-79
18-24 18-19 26-16 23-20
Position#12
Record9-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#2
Record10-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.3
ArgentinaLiga A· Fortín Rojinegro
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Martin v Boca Juniors
06 Mar 2027
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
SAN 97
BOCA101
28 Jan 2026
SAN 85
BOCA79
08 May 2025
SAN 69
BOCA64
21 May 2024
SAN 64
BOCA72
09 Mar 2023
SAN 81
BOCA71
15 Feb 2022
SAN 88
BOCA83
18 Dec 2020
SAN 74
BOCA64
17 Mar 2020
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
23 Jan 2019
SAN 90
BOCA76
15 May 2018
SAN 84
BOCA67
08 May 2018
SAN 83
BOCA95
06 May 2018
SAN 85
BOCA70
07 Jan 2018
SAN 102
BOCA88
29 Apr 2017
SAN 99
BOCA71
19 Feb 2016
SAN 80
BOCA79
24 Mar 2015
SAN 80
BOCA74
04 Dec 2011
SAN 80
BOCA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Martin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San MartinArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMartin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
68avg 68
A13/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
75-63
75
63
+12
74avg 68
H19/11
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
85-63
85
63
+22
89avg 68
H13/12
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
91-75
91
75
+16
88avg 68
A27/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 68
A30/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
59-67
59
67
-8
51avg 68
H09/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
87avg 68
H11/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
56avg 68
H14/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
A19/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
79-64
79
64
+15
76avg 68
A21/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
21-21
19-18
19-15
22-24
12-17
20-10
21-12
23-20
20-10
23-17
19-16
23-26
23-17
22-14
23-18
6-26
22-20
17-18
19-20
15-15
14-20
17-16
13-16
21-19
20-22
17-18
28-31
18-17
15-20
14-13
20-18
16-28
16-10
14-17
18-22
24-17
18-14
16-13
21-20
146.8Avg total
74.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.272.3146.5+1.847%
Season at home (9)78.268.9147.1+9.367%
Season away (10)70.575.4145.9-4.930%
Last 10 (10)74.272.6146.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)71.073.2144.2-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.674.1141.7-6.643%
vs Similar (20)73.870.7144.5+3.245%
vs Weaker (3)80.084.3164.3-4.333%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
116-83
116
83
+33
112avg 75
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 75
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
61-80
61
80
-19
49avg 75
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Obera TC
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 75
H17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
69avg 75
A29/12
Liga A
Minas
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 75
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
66-75
66
75
-9
49avg 75
H25/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
22-14
14-16
13-21
32-7
25-24
30-26
29-26
24-21
19-13
19-14
26-23
19-15
18-19
14-19
10-27
18-23
19-17
16-20
17-20
16-23
21-33
22-20
25-24
21-13
25-23
27-18
19-23
21-25
13-21
29-23
21-19
20-20
15-12
19-21
17-21
25-20
10-16
14-22
17-17
159.2Avg total
80.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.579.3160.8+2.250%
Season at home (9)80.774.1154.8+6.656%
Season away (11)82.283.6165.8-1.545%
Last 10 (10)80.378.9159.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.482.8162.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)77.680.1157.7-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.877.5163.2+8.267%
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
San MartinBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/11
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H13/12
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A30/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H09/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H14/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A21/01
Liga A
74.6Avg total
36.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.772.5+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.634.672.3+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)36.136.672.8-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.474.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.471.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.335.970.1-1.643%-
vs Similar (20)36.634.771.3+1.955%-
vs Weaker (3)44.042.086.0+2.067%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Obera TC
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A29/12
Liga A
Minas
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H25/01
Liga A
77.4Avg total
40.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.179.6+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.977.5+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.539.381.8+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.977.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)39.538.177.6+1.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.538.282.7+6.383%-
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Martintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Martin: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.815.2
51.3%
53.7%30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.8
35.0%
32.9%32.2
🏀 Free throws15.010.0
66.7%
71.5%10.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
53.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.110.7
66.5%
71.5%10.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Martin
WLLLLLWWWL
Boca Juniors
LLLWLLLWWW
#12
League position
#2
+0.7
Net rating
+5.3
103.4
Offensive rating
108.2
102.7
Defensive rating
103.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
33.7%
67.3%
Assist %
66.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 108.2Defence102.7 · 103.0Shooting51.9% · 52.2%3-point %35.0% · 33.7%Ball care0.0% · 12.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ San Martin   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Martin wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
San Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AQuimsa79-64
19/01/26AOlimpico64-77
14/01/26HIndependiente de Oliva67-68
11/01/26HRacing de Chivilcoy86-90
09/01/26HObera TC59-67
30/12/25ARegatas64-84
27/12/25ALa Union91-75
13/12/25HPlatense85-63
19/11/25HInstituto de Cordoba75-63
13/11/25APenarol72-75
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HQuimsa66-75
24/01/26HGimnasia71-74
17/01/26HAguada84-88
15/01/26HMinas92-77
29/12/25AFerro84-100
17/12/25HObera TC70-80
12/12/25HMinas61-80
11/12/25AAguada88-71
06/12/25HArgentino116-83
22/11/25AQuimsa71-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Martin
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayLWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game74.278.270.5
Allowed / game72.368.975.4
Point differential+1.8+9.3-4.9
Avg total146.5147.1145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%56%45%
Points / game81.580.782.2
Allowed / game79.374.183.6
Point differential+2.1+6.6-1.5
Avg total160.8154.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro1913668%85.581.4+4.1
2 Obras Sanitarias2114767%80.176.3+3.9
3 Independiente de Oliva2013765%85.280.1+5.2
4 Obera TC1912763%79.573.4+6.1
5 Regatas1912763%77.873.9+3.8
6 La Union2314961%80.877.8+3.0
7 Gimnasia2213959%79.274.3+5.0
8 Instituto de Cordoba23131057%75.775.7+0.0
9 Penarol2011955%80.881.7-0.9
10 Quimsa22121055%79.675.5+4.1
11 Union De Santa Fe1910953%82.282.5-0.3
12 Boca Juniors20101050%81.579.3+2.1
13 San Martin1991047%74.272.3+1.8
14 Olimpico2191243%78.778.3+0.4
15 Platense2181338%80.885.0-4.2
16 San Lorenzo2071335%78.883.7-4.8
17 Atenas2171433%74.279.9-5.7
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2261627%77.381.6-4.3
19 Argentino2131814%72.090.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Martin1818262385
Boca Juniors2419162079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.