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Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-71
26-21 10-21 24-14 19-15
Position#4
Record3-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game58.7
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game72.7
South-AmericaSouth American LeagueSouth American League - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#14
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/10
South American League
Aguada
#10
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H15/10
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#12
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H16/10
South American League
Argentino
#16
W
96-68
96
68
+28
A28/10
Liga A
Ferro
#15
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A30/10
Liga A
La Union
#9
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H01/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A05/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H21/11
Liga A
Penarol
#13
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A24/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H26/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
21-14
21-15
22-16
26-20
14-16
17-9
12-14
22-11
12-18
19-16
21-16
15-7
14-15
30-24
37-22
23-26
28-20
30-33
15-20
15-18
14-14
21-26
21-20
24-19
15-24
21-13
15-13
18-16
10-18
23-18
17-24
21-16
15-21
19-24
26-25
26-22
18-26
29-19
21-24
154.7Avg total
80.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.358.7133.0+15.7100%
Season at home (3)74.358.7133.0+15.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.474.3154.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)77.880.0157.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.282.7159.9-5.531%
vs Weaker (17)88.272.9161.1+15.482%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dep. San Jose
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A21/10
South American League
Unifacisa
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A22/10
South American League
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#16
W
107-65
107
65
+42
H24/10
South American League
Pato
#12
W
99-90 OT
99
90
+9
H28/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A29/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H01/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H05/11
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H17/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A23/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
93-71
93
71
+22
A25/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
16-18
25-27
24-26
17-11
14-16
18-19
16-15
29-26
30-11
21-10
27-18
23-21
20-17
19-27
20-17
19-30
17-22
24-19
9-11
13-23
28-15
13-17
22-17
21-20
21-13
12-12
24-27
22-12
21-11
18-29
21-21
22-18
19-16
28-12
17-24
16-21
25-19
33-13
19-18
159.0Avg total
84.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.372.7159.0+13.767%
Season at home (1)107.065.0172.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.274.8159.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)83.071.6154.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.087.3165.3-9.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.473.4148.9+2.056%
vs Weaker (18)91.272.0163.2+19.2100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Boca JuniorsSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#14
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H14/10
South American League
Aguada
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/10
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#12
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H16/10
South American League
Argentino
#16
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A28/10
Liga A
Ferro
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A30/10
Liga A
La Union
#9
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H01/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H21/11
Liga A
Penarol
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A24/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H26/11
Liga A
71.9Avg total
36.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.275.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.134.174.2+5.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.037.975.9+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.271.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.874.0-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.639.075.6-2.431%-
vs Weaker (17)40.834.074.8+6.871%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dep. San Jose
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/10
South American League
Unifacisa
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A22/10
South American League
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#16
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H24/10
South American League
Pato
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A29/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/11
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H17/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A23/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A25/11
NBB
77.6Avg total
41.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.034.277.2+8.980%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.834.379.1+10.587%-
Last 30 away (15)41.334.075.3+7.373%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.177.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.675.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.740.780.3-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.033.471.4+4.656%-
vs Weaker (18)46.133.479.6+12.7100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boca Juniors wins
0
Sao Paulo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HSan Lorenzo94-91
24/11/22APenarol81-86
21/11/22HObera TC68-76
05/11/22ASan Lorenzo75-69
01/11/22HLa Union71-78
30/10/22AFerro96-99
28/10/22AArgentino96-68
16/10/22HOlimpia Kings74-61
15/10/22HAguada69-59
14/10/22HLeones Quilpue80-56
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22AUniao Corinthians93-71
23/11/22ACaxias do Sul86-70
17/11/22HBauru82-73
05/11/22HCorinthians Paulista78-72
01/11/22HPinheiros76-72
29/10/22AFranca69-82
28/10/22HPato99-90 OT
24/10/22HTigrillos de Antioqui107-65
22/10/22AUnifacisa65-61
21/10/22ADep. San Jose87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
South American League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.374.3-
Allowed / game58.758.7-
Point differential+15.7+15.7-
Avg total133.0133.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Sao Paulo
South American League 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.3107.076.0
Allowed / game72.765.076.5
Point differential+13.7+42.0-0.5
Avg total159.0172.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors330100%74.358.7+15.7
2 Obera TC43175%81.265.2+16.0
3 Titanes de Barranquilla43175%75.561.8+13.8
4 Unifacisa43175%80.068.5+11.5
5 Dep. San Jose32167%96.078.0+18.0
6 Sao Paulo32167%86.372.7+13.7
7 Regatas32167%74.783.7-9.0
8 Aguada42250%75.870.2+5.5
9 Bauru42250%71.567.5+4.0
10 San Martin42250%72.272.0+0.2
11 Punto Rojo31233%68.373.7-5.3
12 Olimpia Kings31233%69.778.7-9.0
13 Sorocabana31233%60.073.3-13.3
14 Leones Quilpue3030%68.082.7-14.7
15 Pichincha Potosi3030%73.391.0-17.7
16 Tigrillos de Antioqui3030%63.7110.0-46.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2610241979
Sao Paulo2121141571
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