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Sao Paulo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 99-90 (OT)
23-21 20-17 19-27 20-17 17-8
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game79.3
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Pato
28 Mar 2025
SAO 65
PATO69
20 Nov 2023
SAO 89
PATO67
27 Oct 2022
SAO 99
PATO90
12 Jan 2022
SAO 86
PATO77
01 Mar 2021
SAO 84
PATO85
29 Dec 2019
SAO 87
PATO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#6
W
85-62
85
62
+23
A01/05
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A03/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A11/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H14/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A21/05
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A17/10
NBB
Dep. San Jose
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A21/10
South American League
Unifacisa
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A22/10
South American League
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#16
W
107-65
107
65
+42
H24/10
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
26-11
26-21
16-14
18-10
21-12
29-25
20-24
14-18
21-17
24-20
19-25
19-17
32-11
17-20
19-26
11-25
16-18
12-18
26-17
13-19
19-18
20-22
26-22
33-17
26-21
21-10
18-23
22-21
16-18
25-27
24-26
17-11
14-16
18-19
16-15
29-26
30-11
21-10
27-18
157.3Avg total
83.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.071.0169.0+27.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)98.071.0169.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.873.5157.3+10.360%
Last 5 (5)87.074.0161.0+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.590.0172.5-7.50%
vs Similar (7)74.473.7148.1+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.672.1162.7+18.595%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#6
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A31/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H06/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H08/04
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H20/04
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A23/04
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A24/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H17/10
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
20-20
10-26
20-19
15-16
19-21
22-21
13-24
25-21
22-17
15-27
28-24
8-19
22-15
20-14
9-20
25-20
10-10
16-16
21-17
22-25
19-21
16-20
14-16
15-25
21-23
21-17
22-23
12-21
16-15
22-19
11-16
13-18
9-19
15-30
27-24
15-20
21-17
9-15
24-24
150.2Avg total
70.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.779.3144.0-14.70%
Season at home (2)62.581.0143.5-18.50%
Season away (1)69.076.0145.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)70.879.4150.2-8.620%
Last 5 (5)68.881.6150.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.580.3153.7-6.826%
vs Similar (11)73.276.2149.4-3.055%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Sao PauloPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#6
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A01/05
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A03/05
NBB
Franca
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H14/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A21/05
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A17/10
NBB
Dep. San Jose
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/10
South American League
Unifacisa
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A22/10
South American League
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#16
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H24/10
South American League
74.7Avg total
41.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.934.077.9+9.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.934.078.9+10.981%-
Last 30 away (14)42.834.076.8+8.871%-
Last 10 (10)41.433.374.7+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.535.076.5+6.550%-
vs Similar (7)36.934.371.1+2.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.533.880.3+12.790%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H06/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H08/04
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H20/04
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A23/04
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A24/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/10
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A24/10
NBB
73.5Avg total
35.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.772.5-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.136.570.5-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)35.638.974.5-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.273.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.873.4-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.039.275.2-3.237%-
vs Similar (11)32.835.067.8-2.218%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Paulo wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
23/03/22Pato v Sao Paulo62-82
12/01/22Sao Paulo v Pato86-77
01/03/21Sao Paulo v Pato84-85
05/12/20Pato v Sao Paulo71-80
03/02/20Pato v Sao Paulo86-106
29/12/19Sao Paulo v Pato87-63
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/22HTigrillos de Antioqui107-65
22/10/22AUnifacisa65-61
21/10/22ADep. San Jose87-92
17/10/22ARio Claro98-71
21/05/22AFranca78-81
16/05/22HFranca65-78
14/05/22HFranca87-74
11/05/22AFranca78-80
03/05/22ABauru88-71
01/05/22ABauru85-62
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/22APaulistano69-76
22/10/22HFlamengo64-91
17/10/22HSao Jose61-71
24/04/22ABauru79-88
23/04/22ABauru71-82
20/04/22HBauru72-63
08/04/22HCaxias do Sul59-68
06/04/22HUniao Corinthians90-89
02/04/22APinheiros69-82
31/03/22ABauru74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+27.0-+27.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pato
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.762.569.0
Allowed / game79.381.076.0
Point differential-14.7-18.5-7.0
Avg total144.0143.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo110100%98.071.0+27.0
2 Flamengo550100%85.864.0+21.8
3 Franca330100%90.077.7+12.3
4 Pinheiros330100%82.377.7+4.7
5 Caxias do Sul110100%68.065.0+3.0
6 Corinthians Paulista43175%77.873.2+4.5
7 Sao Jose32167%77.072.3+4.7
8 Unifacisa32167%75.780.3-4.7
9 Bauru21150%79.074.0+5.0
10 Cerrado31233%86.088.3-2.3
11 Minas41325%79.883.0-3.2
12 Brasilia41325%70.075.8-5.8
13 Paulistano41325%70.876.5-5.8
14 Rio Claro41325%80.094.2-14.2
15 Uniao Corinthians1010%65.068.0-3.0
16 Cearense4040%69.081.0-12.0
17 Pato3030%64.779.3-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sao Paulo232019201799
Pato21172717890
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