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Bochum vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 75-88
Projected total 163.1
Final 80-83
20-21 19-18 23-19 18-25
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.7
Vs
13%
87%
■ BOCH 13%■ CME 87%
Pythia win probability
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game66.3
GermanyPro ARound 8· Rundsporthalle Bochum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bochum v Crailsheim Merlins
07 Nov 2026
BOCH80
CME83
28 Sep 2025
BOCH84
CME110
29 Mar 2025
BOCH67
CME101
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 7 November 2026 the Pro A fixture pits Bochum against the Crailsheim Merlins, with the model favouring Crailsheim Merlins at 87% versus 13% for Bochum; the Merlins' 6-1 record, 80.4 points per game and 66.3 allowed per game, coupled with their 2-1 road record and 4-1 last-five, underpin that rating. Bochum, meanwhile, sits 16th with a 2-5 record, 79.4 points per game and 85.7 allowed per game, and their home form is 1-2 with 79.7 points and 82.0 allowed; the last five have yielded five straight defeats, including losses to Bayreuth 83-98, Wolmirstedt 73-76 and Tubingen 75-85. In the four meetings between the clubs, Crailsheim has won three times, most recently 90-77 on 18 April 2026. Pythia projects a 75-88 score for a 163.1 total, with a 10.5-point home line and a 42% chance that Bochum covers; the 159.0 over line carries a 60% probability, and the game has a 3% chance of overtime. The Merlins' recent road success and defensive edge suggest they will extend their advantage in this encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bochum winLost
13.0%fair 7.71
Best odds5.50
Implied18.6%
Edge-5.7pp
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
87.0%fair 1.15
Best odds1.18
Implied81.4%
Edge+5.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BochumGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/04
Pro A
Munster
#18
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H25/04
Pro A
Bayreuth
#10
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A02/05
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A26/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H02/10
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A04/10
Pro A
Gottingen
#11
L
93-100
93
100
-7
H10/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#8
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A16/10
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H24/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A30/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
18-20
22-28
23-19
34-13
22-24
17-25
23-22
17-22
28-28
24-28
19-25
19-15
16-15
21-20
25-27
21-21
25-15
8-18
19-16
23-15
21-25
8-32
26-22
20-25
24-18
27-30
22-27
17-20
15-18
21-17
22-30
27-22
13-14
12-24
21-16
23-17
24-18
16-29
20-34
169.4Avg total
81.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.485.7165.1-6.329%
Season at home (3)79.782.0161.7-2.333%
Season away (4)79.288.5167.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)81.787.7169.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)80.490.6171.0-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.188.4167.5-9.425%
vs Similar (11)85.486.3171.6-0.945%
vs Weaker (3)87.385.7173.0+1.767%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A10/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H13/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A15/05
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A26/09
Pro A
Tubingen
#8
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H02/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#13
W
91-47
91
47
+44
A04/10
Pro A
Giessen
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A18/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H31/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
16-23
17-19
24-22
17-19
26-22
24-17
21-28
15-13
20-22
20-31
15-21
14-20
21-24
22-10
24-13
22-17
26-16
16-15
21-16
14-12
26-10
20-13
31-12
16-19
23-23
26-16
18-18
18-18
30-21
15-28
15-17
16-18
17-18
27-16
20-16
15-17
13-15
9-15
28-11
152.6Avg total
80.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.466.3146.7+14.186%
Season at home (4)78.266.5144.8+11.8100%
Season away (3)83.366.0149.3+17.367%
Last 10 (10)80.072.6152.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)79.466.6146.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)94.588.5183.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)85.775.6161.3+10.182%
This opponent (Bochum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Over 153.5
Over 153.5
72.0%
@ 1.50+10.7pp
Under 153.5
28.0%
@ 2.37-10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 158.5 · main lineActual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
60.8%
@ 1.87+10.8pp
Under 158.5
39.2%
@ 1.87-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Under 163.5
Over 163.5
48.6%
@ 2.37+9.9pp
Under 163.5
51.4%
@ 1.50-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Bochum total 70.5Actual: Bochum over 70.5
Over 70.5
67.1%
@ 1.47+5.3pp
Under 70.5
32.9%
@ 2.42-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.26
Bochum total 74.5 · main lineActual: Bochum over 74.5
Over 74.5
51.8%
@ 1.93+4.1pp
Under 74.5
48.2%
@ 1.85-4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.74
1xBet
1.65
Bochum total 78.5Actual: Bochum over 78.5
Over 78.5
36.4%
@ 2.65+1.9pp
Under 78.5
63.6%
@ 1.40-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.56
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.34
Crailsheim Merlins total 80.5Actual: Crailsheim Merlins over 80.5
Over 80.5
77.5%
@ 1.42+13.4pp
Under 80.5
22.5%
@ 2.60-13.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.40
Crailsheim Merlins total 84.5 · main lineActual: Crailsheim Merlins under 84.5
Over 84.5
63.9%
@ 1.83+13.6pp
Under 84.5
36.1%
@ 1.88-13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Crailsheim Merlins total 88.5Actual: Crailsheim Merlins under 88.5
Over 88.5
48.0%
@ 2.52+11.6pp
Under 88.5
52.0%
@ 1.44-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bochum +7.5Actual: Bochum +7.5
BOCH +7.5
31.3%
@ 2.27-8.4pp
CME -7.5
68.7%
@ 1.53+8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
BOCH
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.26
CME
Betano
1.53
Marathon Be
1.52
1xBet
1.45
Spread Bochum +10.5 · main lineActual: Bochum +10.5
BOCH +10.5
41.6%
@ 1.89-7.9pp
CME -10.5
58.4%
@ 1.85+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BOCH
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
CME
Pinnacle
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Spread Bochum +13.5Actual: Bochum +13.5
BOCH +13.5
52.4%
@ 1.57-6.9pp
CME -13.5
47.6%
@ 2.22+6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BOCH
Betano
1.57
Marathon Be
1.55
1xBet
1.47
CME
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
BochumCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BochumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A18/04
Pro A
Munster
#18
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H25/04
Pro A
Bayreuth
#10
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A02/05
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A26/09
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H02/10
Pro A
Giessen
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/10
Pro A
Gottingen
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/10
Pro A
Wolmirstedt
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H24/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/10
Pro A
80.9Avg total
42.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)39.741.681.3-1.943%53%
Last 30 at home (15)40.440.981.3-0.553%53%
Last 30 away (15)39.142.381.4-3.333%53%
Last 10 (10)42.138.880.9+3.370%60%
Last 5 (5)41.438.479.8+3.080%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.243.181.3-4.844%56%
vs Similar (11)39.341.580.8-2.327%45%
vs Weaker (3)49.334.083.3+15.3100%67%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/05
Pro A
Giessen
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/05
Pro A
ETB Miners
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A26/09
Pro A
Tubingen
#8
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#13
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/10
Pro A
Giessen
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/10
Pro A
OrangeAcademy
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A18/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/10
Pro A
Paderborn
#14
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/10
Pro A
75.9Avg total
38.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)43.737.581.2+6.263%60%
Last 30 at home (15)43.536.980.3+6.667%60%
Last 30 away (15)44.038.182.1+5.960%60%
Last 10 (10)38.737.275.9+1.540%50%
Last 5 (5)37.634.271.8+3.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.045.592.5+1.550%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.536.980.4+6.664%57%
This opponent (Bochum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Crailsheim Merlins win
BOCH win
no forecast
@ 3.85
CME win
no forecast
@ 1.36
1st half Spread Bochum +6 · main lineActual: Bochum +6
BOCH +6
no forecast
@ 1.86
CME -6
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Bochum 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Bochum over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Crailsheim Merlins 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Crailsheim Merlins under 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: BOCH + total 79.5
BOCH & over
no forecast
@ 5.75
BOCH & under
no forecast
@ 5.75
1st half: Draw + total 79.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: CME + total 79.5
CME & over
no forecast
@ 2.70
CME & under
no forecast
@ 2.70
1st half Over/Under 78.25Actual: Under 78.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.77
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Spread Bochum +5Actual: Bochum +5
BOCH +5
no forecast
@ 2.05
CME -5
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread Bochum +7Actual: Bochum +7
BOCH +7
no forecast
@ 1.69
CME -7
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 77Actual: Over 77
Over
no forecast
@ 1.73
Under
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half Spread Bochum +3.5Actual: Bochum +3.5
BOCH +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
CME -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Bochum +8.5Actual: Bochum +8.5
BOCH +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
CME -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Crailsheim Merlins (regulation)
BOCH
no forecast
@ 3.45
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
CME
no forecast
@ 1.40

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BOCH win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
CME win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BOCH leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CME leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Crailsheim Merlins over 81.574.4%1.48
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
---+13.8ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins over 79.580.4%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+13.7ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins over 82.571.1%1.55
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.53
---+13.6ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins over 80.577.5%1.40
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
---+13.4ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins over 78.583.0%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+13.1ppWon
Over 153.572.0%1.50
Betano
1.50
----+10.7ppWon
Over 151.576.0%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+10.4ppWon
Over 152.574.0%1.44
Betano
1.44
----+10.4ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins -3.580.6%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+9.7ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins -4.577.9%1.34
Betano
1.34
----+9.5ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins (regulation)85.3%1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
--+8.7ppWon
Crailsheim Merlins -6.571.9%1.42
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.38
---+8.5ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins -5.575.0%1.35
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.31
---+8.3ppLost
Crailsheim Merlins win87.0%1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
WilliamHill
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.16
+5.7ppWon
Bochum over 69.570.6%1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
---+5.5ppWon
Overtime: no97.3%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+5.1pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bochumtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.2
30.8%
-27.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
-13.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bochum wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bochumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABayreuth83-98
24/10/26HWolmirstedt73-76
16/10/26ATubingen75-85
10/10/26HGottingen93-100
04/10/26AGiessen78-94
02/10/26HBremerhaven73-70
26/09/26APaderborn81-77
02/05/26ABayreuth88-103
25/04/26HMunster96-84
18/04/26ACrailsheim Merlins77-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPaderborn65-58
24/10/26HBremerhaven80-68
18/10/26AOrangeAcademy78-84
09/10/26HGiessen83-76
04/10/26APS Karlsruhe91-47
02/10/26HTubingen85-64
26/09/26AETB Miners81-67
15/05/26AGiessen70-87
13/05/26HGiessen88-86
10/05/26AGiessen79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bochum
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game79.479.779.2
Allowed / game85.782.088.5
Point differential-6.3-2.3-9.2
Avg total165.1161.7167.8
Over 158.557%33%75%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game80.478.283.3
Allowed / game66.366.566.0
Point differential+14.1+11.8+17.3
Avg total146.7144.8149.3
Over 158.529%25%33%
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kirchheim770100%93.175.4+17.7
2 Crailsheim Merlins76186%80.466.3+14.1
3 Wolmirstedt76186%79.073.4+5.6
4 Heidelberg75271%82.471.6+10.9
5 Koln85362%85.588.4-2.9
6 Giessen74357%82.078.4+3.6
7 Bremerhaven74357%82.682.7-0.1
8 Nurnberger84450%79.984.1-4.2
9 Gottingen73443%84.183.7+0.4
10 Tubingen73443%81.081.4-0.4
11 Koblenz73443%83.485.7-2.3
12 OrangeAcademy73443%83.186.3-3.1
13 PS Karlsruhe73443%75.683.9-8.3
14 Paderborn72529%79.680.3-0.7
15 Artland72529%84.386.3-2.0
16 Bochum72529%79.485.7-6.3
17 Bayreuth71614%87.998.1-10.3
18 ETB Miners71614%86.497.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bochum2019231880
Crailsheim Merlins2118192583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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