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Bogazici W vs Ferhatoglu W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 59-78
16-22 22-11 7-29 14-16
Position#9
Record10-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#5
Record13-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game67.3
TurkeyTKBL WomenRound 23
Women2022-23
Meetings · Bogazici W v Ferhatoglu W
06 Oct 2023
BOGA52
FERH74
05 Mar 2023
BOGA59
FERH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bogazici W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferhatoglu W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bogazici WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#12
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A09/12
TKBL Women
Botas 2 W
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H16/12
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A24/12
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A30/12
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H06/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A14/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H20/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A26/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H29/01
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A04/02
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-4
12-21
22-6
10-26
23-17
15-10
5-15
11-19
18-24
23-25
15-15
18-25
16-20
12-14
15-22
22-14
17-10
8-15
13-15
16-17
23-21
16-19
17-18
21-18
14-16
12-13
17-12
14-24
13-28
15-26
17-13
14-20
19-12
19-21
6-24
16-14
21-15
22-25
12-11
20-11
133.3Avg total
63.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.571.0141.6-0.545%
Season at home (10)64.370.1134.4-5.830%
Season away (12)75.871.8147.6+3.958%
Last 10 (10)63.869.5133.3-5.730%
Last 5 (5)65.672.2137.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.374.3136.6-12.014%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.369.9138.2-1.753%
vs Weaker (5)83.058.0141.0+25.080%
This opponent (Ferhatoglu W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferhatoglu WTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalova W
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A10/12
TKBL Women
Karsiyaka W
#16
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H17/12
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A23/12
TKBL Women
Izmit Bld. W
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H30/12
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A08/01
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#12
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H13/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A20/01
TKBL Women
Botas 2 W
#4
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H26/01
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A29/01
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H04/02
TKBL Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
18-24
22-15
22-16
–
–
–
–
24-27
17-28
24-18
18-11
20-22
12-9
22-17
16-27
21-26
11-20
26-16
15-24
11-19
8-14
18-5
12-17
22-13
20-24
14-13
24-20
26-14
5-14
26-21
21-8
20-17
23-24
19-10
18-21
33-24
12-10
12-14
14-22
132.0Avg total
68.7Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.867.3137.1+2.559%
Season at home (11)65.460.8126.2+4.564%
Season away (11)74.373.8148.1+0.555%
Last 10 (10)68.763.3132.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)71.664.8136.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.575.5146.0-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.570.6140.1-1.140%
vs Weaker (11)67.157.0124.1+10.191%
This opponent (Bogazici W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Bogazici WFerhatoglu W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bogazici WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#12
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A09/12
TKBL Women
Botas 2 W
#4
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/12
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A24/12
TKBL Women
Urla Bld W
#14
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A30/12
TKBL Women
Antalya Gunesi W
#8
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H06/01
TKBL Women
Yalova W
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H20/01
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A26/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/01
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/02
TKBL Women
69.3Avg total
33.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)35.535.070.5+0.448%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.034.169.1+0.954%-
Last 30 away (14)35.935.971.9+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.669.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.274.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.736.069.7-2.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.535.869.3-2.327%-
vs Weaker (5)44.031.475.4+12.6100%-
This opponent (Ferhatoglu W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferhatoglu WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalova W
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/12
TKBL Women
Kirklareli W
#6
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/12
TKBL Women
Izmit Bld. W
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/12
TKBL Women
Fenerbahce 2 W
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A08/01
TKBL Women
Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W
#12
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H13/01
TKBL Women
Diba Ankara W
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A20/01
TKBL Women
Botas 2 W
#4
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H26/01
TKBL Women
Elazig Il Ozel Idare W
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A29/01
TKBL Women
Elazig W
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/02
TKBL Women
73.6Avg total
36.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.235.072.2+2.169%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.632.368.9+4.471%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.675.3+0.167%-
Last 10 (9)36.037.673.6-1.667%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.237.573.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.936.973.9+0.067%-
vs Weaker (10)37.931.269.1+6.780%-
This opponent (Bogazici W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bogazici Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bogazici W: 64.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.5
44.6%
44.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.86.2
35.2%
29.3%18.8
🏀 Free throws14.58.5
58.6%
70.3%8.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferhatoglu Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferhatoglu W: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.6 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.517.2
40.6%
44.3%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
29.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.810.5
76.4%
70.3%10.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bogazici W
WLLLWLLLLW
Ferhatoglu W
WWWWLLLLWW
#9
League position
#5
+11.3
Net rating
+12.3
96.6
Offensive rating
88.0
85.3
Defensive rating
75.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
41.9%
38.6%
Opp. effective FG%
37.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.2%
3-point %
29.5%
79.8%
Assist %
70.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 88.0Defence85.3 · 75.7Shooting47.0% · 41.9%3-point %35.2% · 29.5%Ball care19.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Bogazici W   ■ Ferhatoglu W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bogazici W wins
0
Ferhatoglu W wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Ferhatoglu W v Bogazici W66-68
17/09/22Ferhatoglu W v Bogazici W50-52
Bogazici Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23AElazig Il Ozel Idare W75-62
29/01/23HDiba Ankara W60-71
26/01/23AFenerbahce 2 W59-87
20/01/23HKirklareli W57-65
14/01/23AYalova W77-76
06/01/23HAntalya Gunesi W54-57
30/12/22AUrla Bld W65-70
24/12/22AElazig W74-89
16/12/22HBotas 2 W54-61
09/12/22AEmlak Konut Gelisim 2 W63-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HElazig W71-70
29/01/23AElazig Il Ozel Idare W80-72
26/01/23HBotas 2 W78-57
20/01/23ADiba Ankara W80-70
13/01/23HEmlak Konut Gelisim 2 W49-55
08/01/23AFenerbahce 2 W73-86
30/12/22HIzmit Bld. W70-75
23/12/22AKirklareli W83-84
17/12/22HKarsiyaka W20-0
10/12/22AYalova W83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bogazici W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%30%58%
Points / game70.564.375.8
Allowed / game71.070.171.8
Point differential-0.5-5.8+3.9
Avg total141.6134.4147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Ferhatoglu W
TKBL Women 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%64%55%
Points / game69.865.474.3
Allowed / game67.360.873.8
Point differential+2.5+4.5+0.5
Avg total137.1126.2148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarsus W2321291%79.663.3+16.3
2 Fenerbahce 2 W2218482%72.663.2+9.4
3 Izmit Bld. W2318578%74.367.3+6.9
4 Botas 2 W2114767%66.761.3+5.4
5 Kirklareli W2214864%78.372.3+6.0
6 Ferhatoglu W2213959%69.867.3+2.5
7 Elazig Il Ozel Idare W23131057%72.969.0+3.9
8 Elazig W22101245%74.572.0+2.5
9 Bogazici W22101245%70.571.0-0.5
10 Antalya Gunesi W2181338%66.970.3-3.4
11 Yalova W2271532%67.771.2-3.5
12 Urla Bld W2271532%63.166.9-3.8
13 Turgutlu W2271532%69.373.3-4.0
14 Diba Ankara W2271532%63.969.5-5.6
15 Emlak Konut Gelisim 2 W2261627%63.265.5-2.3
16 Karsiyaka W150150%44.790.1-45.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bogazici W162271459
Ferhatoglu W2211291678
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