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Bornova vs Alagoz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 61-70
20-16 12-11 9-24 20-19
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.0
Bornova
Turkey
vs
Alagoz 🏆
Turkey
Position#11
Record3-1
FormLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game74.8
TurkeyTBLRound 5· Alt
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bornova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alagoz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BornovaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBornova
Date
Competition
Gemlik
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H14/04
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A22/04
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
101-100
101
100
+1
no box
H28/04
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H06/05
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A13/05
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H21/05
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 82
H17/09
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#9
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A23/09
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H01/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#10
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A07/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-21
19-19
23-14
25-28
19-20
17-15
23-23
31-19
20-35
31-26
19-20
27-35
21-20
31-25
26-19
20-19
19-20
18-13
20-23
17-21
28-18
18-22
22-25
18-29
22-20
28-21
22-23
16-18
17-21
17-10
19-17
18-23
23-26
20-18
12-23
19-29
24-19
17-21
12-14
168.6Avg total
84.0Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.083.0159.0-7.025%
Season at home (2)81.591.5173.0-10.00%
Season away (2)70.574.5145.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.084.6168.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)77.883.6161.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.780.2151.9-8.625%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.382.3160.7-4.042%
vs Weaker (2)95.074.5169.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Alagoz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlagozTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlagoz
Date
Competition
Cayirova
#7
L
57-76
57
76
-19
43avg 43
H16/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A23/09
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H30/09
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A07/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
12-22
15-11
12-21
20-17
16-17
26-19
25-18
25-16
19-16
25-24
20-18
21-18
22-27
25-13
16-20
154.0Avg total
79.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.274.8154.0+4.575%
Season at home (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
Season away (2)85.574.5160.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (4)79.274.8154.0+4.575%
Last 5 (4)79.274.8154.0+4.575%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.078.0162.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.773.7151.3+4.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bornova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
BornovaAlagoz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BornovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gemlik
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/04
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/04
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H28/04
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H06/05
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/05
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H21/05
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H17/09
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A23/09
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A07/10
TBL
88.1Avg total
42.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.781.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.342.984.2-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.588.1-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.885.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.941.179.1-3.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.142.983.0-2.833%-
vs Weaker (2)50.538.589.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Alagoz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlagozLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cayirova
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H16/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/09
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/09
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/10
TBL
77.0Avg total
38.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)38.238.877.0-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (2)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
Last 30 away (2)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (4)38.238.877.0-0.550%-
Last 5 (4)38.238.877.0-0.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.045.088.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bornova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bornovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bornova: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.8
53.0%
52.3%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.3%
37.5%27.8
🏀 Free throws14.08.8
62.5%
72.9%8.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alagoztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alagoz: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀11%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.02.0
7.1%
37.5%6.0
🏀 Free throws28.017.0
60.7%
72.9%17.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/1 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bornova
LLWLLWWWLW
Alagoz
WWWL
#13
League position
#11
-16.2
Net rating
-24.5
96.9
Offensive rating
73.4
113.1
Defensive rating
97.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
31.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
9.2%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
14.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.44
33.3%
3-point %
7.1%
63.0%
Assist %
89.5%
50%
Form (last 10/4)
75%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 73.4Defence113.1 · 97.9Shooting51.6% · 31.2%3-point %33.3% · 7.1%Ball care20.4% · 9.2%Off. rebounds23.7% · 14.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.44Form (last 10/4)50% · 75%
■ Bornova   ■ Alagoz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bornova wins
0
Alagoz wins
No previous meetings.
Bornovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23AAnkara Kolejliler72-83
01/10/23HMersin BŞB73-90
23/09/23ABalıkesir BŞB69-66
17/09/23HKonyaspor90-93
21/05/23HYalovaspor85-86
13/05/23AAnkara Kolejliler77-75
06/05/23HFenerbahce 2105-99
28/04/23HAnkaragucu Mamak101-100
22/04/23AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor84-86
14/04/23HGemlik84-68
Alagozlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23AMersin BŞB84-78
30/09/23HKonyaspor89-74
23/09/23AMKE Ankaragucu87-71
16/09/23HCayirova57-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bornova
TBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game76.081.570.5
Allowed / game83.091.574.5
Point differential-7.0-10.0-4.0
Avg total159.0173.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alagoz
TBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game79.273.085.5
Allowed / game74.875.074.5
Point differential+4.5-2.0+11.0
Avg total154.0148.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Yalovaspor440100%91.072.0+19.0
2 iLab Basketbol440100%79.274.0+5.2
3 Mersin BŞB43175%92.279.8+12.5
4 Ankara Kolejliler43175%79.572.8+6.8
5 Gaziantep43175%81.576.8+4.8
6 Alagoz43175%79.274.8+4.5
7 Harem Spor43175%80.076.2+3.8
8 Cayirova42250%82.075.0+7.0
9 Fenerbahce 242250%84.585.8-1.2
10 Kapakli Spor42250%96.099.0-3.0
11 Konyaspor42250%89.293.8-4.5
12 Final Spor41325%76.579.2-2.8
13 Balıkesir BŞB41325%71.875.0-3.2
14 Esenler Erokspor41325%68.572.0-3.5
15 Bornova41325%76.083.0-7.0
16 OGM Ormanspor41325%79.090.5-11.5
17 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor4040%70.283.2-13.0
18 MKE Ankaragucu4040%84.898.5-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bornova201292061
Alagoz1611241970
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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