Boston College hosts Wagner on 3 November 2026 in a tightly contested NCAA game where the margin for favour is slim, with Pythia giving Boston College a 54% chance to win against Wagner's 46% and naming the Eagles the model favourite; the projected score is 70-69 with a total of 138.9 points, and a 5% chance the game will go into overtime. Boston College's recent form includes a win over Notre Dame 77-69 at home on 7 March 2026, followed by losses to Virginia Tech 63-72 and Miami (FL) 54-76, while Wagner has won four of its last five games, including a 70-60 victory over Central Connecticut State on 4 March 2026 and an 80-61 home win against Chicago State on 28 February 2026. The matchup will hinge on whether Boston College can maintain its narrow edge in the final minutes, as the projected 70-69 outcome suggests a very close finish.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 66.0 | 75.5 | 141.5 | -9.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.4 | 75.6 | 142.0 | -9.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 65.7 | 73.2 | 138.9 | -7.5 | 20% |
| vs Similar (10) | 69.9 | 64.4 | 134.3 | +5.5 | 70% |
| vs Weaker ◀ | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 67.6 | 67.4 | 135.0 | +0.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.2 | 60.6 | 127.8 | +6.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 64.0 | 67.3 | 131.3 | -3.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (17) | 67.4 | 71.6 | 139.0 | -4.2 | 35% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 78.1 | 67.4 | 145.6 | +10.7 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 68.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.7 | 32.5 | 63.2 | -1.7 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 at home (20) | 30.9 | 32.0 | 62.9 | -1.1 | 40% | 15% |
| Last 30 away (10) | 30.4 | 33.4 | 63.8 | -3.0 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.5 | 35.8 | 65.3 | -6.3 | 10% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.2 | 34.6 | 60.8 | -8.4 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 30.6 | 34.2 | 64.8 | -3.6 | 30% | 25% |
| vs Similar (10) | 31.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | +2.0 | 60% | 10% |
| vs Weaker ◀ | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 68.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.7 | 31.8 | 64.5 | +0.9 | 50% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 34.6 | 29.5 | 64.2 | +5.1 | 62% | 23% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 31.3 | 33.5 | 64.8 | -2.2 | 41% | 24% |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.2 | 29.3 | 59.5 | +0.9 | 40% | 0% |
| Last 5 (5) | 29.4 | 27.0 | 56.4 | +2.4 | 20% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 31.3 | 28.0 | 59.3 | +3.3 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Similar (17) | 30.1 | 31.9 | 62.0 | -1.8 | 41% | 18% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 37.1 | 31.1 | 68.2 | +6.0 | 56% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner +11 | 81.2% | 3.70 | 3.70 | - | - | - | - | +56.0pp | Lost |
| Wagner +12 | 83.5% | 3.25 | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | +54.9pp | Lost |
| Wagner +13 | 85.6% | 2.90 | 2.90 | - | - | - | - | +53.6pp | Lost |
| Wagner +14 | 87.4% | 2.65 | 2.65 | - | - | - | - | +52.3pp | Lost |
| Wagner +10.5 | 79.3% | 3.40 | 3.75 | 3.05 | - | - | - | +51.8pp | Lost |
| Wagner +11.5 | 81.7% | 3.06 | 3.35 | 2.77 | - | - | - | +51.2pp | Lost |
| Wagner +9 | 76.0% | 3.70 | 3.70 | - | - | - | - | +50.7pp | Lost |
| Wagner +10 | 78.7% | 3.30 | 3.30 | - | - | - | - | +50.6pp | Lost |
| Wagner +17.5 | 91.9% | 1.94 | 2.30 | 2.02 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.85 | +50.6pp | Lost |
| Wagner +12.5 | 83.9% | 2.80 | 3.05 | 2.55 | - | - | - | +50.5pp | Lost |
| Wagner +18 | 92.9% | 2.05 | 2.20 | 1.98 | 1.97 | - | - | +49.8pp | Lost |
| Wagner +13.5 | 85.8% | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.35 | - | - | - | +49.3pp | Lost |
| Wagner +9.5 | 76.7% | 3.38 | 3.40 | 3.35 | - | - | - | +49.3pp | Lost |
| Wagner +8.5 | 73.8% | 3.75 | 3.75 | - | - | - | - | +49.1pp | Lost |
| Wagner +14.5 | 87.6% | 2.37 | 2.55 | 2.18 | - | - | - | +48.2pp | Lost |
| Wagner +18.5 | 93.0% | 1.92 | 2.11 | 1.95 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.87 | +48.0pp | Lost |
| Wagner +16 | 90.5% | 2.12 | 2.22 | 2.02 | - | - | - | +46.8pp | Lost |
| Wagner +19 | 93.9% | 1.90 | 2.01 | 1.88 | 1.80 | - | - | +46.6pp | Lost |
| Wagner +15 | 89.0% | 2.21 | 2.50 | 1.91 | - | - | - | +46.0pp | Lost |
| Wagner +17 | 91.8% | 1.97 | 2.05 | 1.89 | - | - | - | +44.8pp | Lost |
| Wagner +19.5 | 94.0% | 1.83 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.74 | +44.3pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 77.5 | 76.8% | 2.77 | 2.77 | - | - | - | - | +44.1pp | Won |
| Wagner +15.5 | 89.2% | 2.08 | 2.30 | 2.07 | 1.87 | - | - | +43.8pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 76.5 | 73.8% | 3.10 | 3.10 | - | - | - | - | +43.7pp | Won |
| Boston College under 78.5 | 79.7% | 2.48 | 2.55 | 2.50 | 2.38 | - | - | +43.1pp | Won |
| Wagner +20 | 94.8% | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.68 | - | - | +42.6pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 79.5 | 82.3% | 2.27 | 2.27 | - | - | - | - | +42.5pp | Won |
| Boston College under 75.5 | 70.5% | 3.25 | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | +42.1pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 80.5 | 84.7% | 2.07 | 2.07 | - | - | - | - | +41.1pp | Won |
| Wagner +16.5 | 90.6% | 1.90 | 2.12 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +40.6pp | Lost |
| Wagner +20.5 | 94.9% | 1.65 | 1.75 | 1.71 | 1.64 | 1.50 | - | +40.4pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 83 | 90.4% | 1.82 | 1.82 | - | - | - | - | +39.6pp | Won |
| Wagner +21 | 95.6% | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +39.1pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 82.5 | 88.8% | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.80 | +38.8pp | Won |
| Boston College under 82 | 88.6% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.84 | - | - | - | +38.5pp | Won |
| Wagner +21.5 | 95.6% | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.55 | 1.42 | - | - | +37.4pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 81 | 86.6% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +36.9pp | Won |
| Boston College under 81.5 | 86.9% | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.80 | - | +36.7pp | Won |
| Boston College under 83.5 | 90.5% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +35.2pp | Won |
| Wagner +22 | 96.2% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +33.7pp | Lost |
| Wagner +23 | 96.8% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +31.8pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 84.5 | 92.1% | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.54 | 1.44 | - | - | +31.7pp | Won |
| Boston College under 85.5 | 93.4% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +31.0pp | Won |
| Wagner +22.5 | 96.2% | 1.42 | 1.47 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +30.9pp | Lost |
| Wagner +24 | 97.3% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +29.2pp | Lost |
| Wagner +23.5 | 96.8% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +28.6pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 86.5 | 94.5% | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +28.0pp | Won |
| Wagner +24.5 | 97.3% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +26.9pp | Lost |
| Wagner +25 | 97.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +26.3pp | Lost |
| Wagner over 62 | 75.5% | 1.87 | 1.87 | - | - | - | - | +26.0pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 87.5 | 95.5% | 1.29 | 1.32 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +24.3pp | Won |
| Wagner over 62.5 | 73.1% | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.52 | - | +22.8pp | Lost |
| Wagner over 63 | 72.2% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.84 | - | - | - | +22.0pp | Lost |
| Boston College under 88.5 | 96.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +21.8pp | Won |
| Under 147.5 | 70.4% | 1.79 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +20.0pp | Won |
| Wagner over 59.5 | 81.8% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +19.3pp | Lost |
| Under 148.5 | 72.4% | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.62 | - | +18.9pp | Won |
| Boston College under 90.5 | 97.6% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Under 148 | 71.9% | 1.66 | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Under 149.5 | 74.4% | 1.62 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 1.54 | - | - | +16.6pp | Won |
| Under 150.5 | 76.3% | 1.54 | 1.60 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Under 149 | 73.9% | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +15.4pp | Won |
| Under 151.5 | 78.0% | 1.47 | 1.53 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Won |
| Under 154 | 82.6% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Won |
| Under 150 | 75.8% | 1.58 | 1.64 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Won |
| Under 152.5 | 79.7% | 1.42 | 1.47 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Under 155 | 84.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| Under 153.5 | 81.4% | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Under 151 | 77.6% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Wagner over 56.5 | 88.6% | 1.23 | 1.29 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Lost |
| Under 152 | 79.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Under 155.5 | 84.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Wagner over 58.5 | 84.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Lost |
| Wagner over 61.5 | 76.2% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Lost |
| Under 153 | 81.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Under 154.5 | 82.9% | 1.30 | 1.38 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 87.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Wagner over 60.5 | 79.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Under 162.5 | 92.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Under 167.5 | 95.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Under 172.5 | 97.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Under 164.5 | 93.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 89.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 96.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Wagner under 82.5 | 90.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Wagner under 80.5 | 87.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -4.5pp | Won |
| Over 119.5 | 87.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -5.7pp | Won |
| Wagner under 78.5 | 82.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -7.7pp | Won |
| Over 122.5 | 83.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -9.0pp | Won |
| Over 124.5 | 80.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -9.6pp | Won |
| Wagner under 76.5 | 77.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -10.8pp | Won |
| Wagner under 74.5 | 70.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -12.9pp | Won |
| Over 129.5 | 71.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -14.4pp | Lost |
| Over 127.5 | 75.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -14.5pp | Lost |
| Boston College over 62.5 | 76.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -16.9pp | Won |
| Boston College over 63.5 | 73.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -20.0pp | Won |
| Boston College over 64.5 | 70.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -21.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | Notre Dame | 77-69 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Virginia Tech | 63-72 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Miami (FL) | 54-76 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Wake Forest | 68-67 |
| 21/02/26 | A | SMU Mustangs | 70-94 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Florida State | 72-80 |
| 14/02/26 | H | California | 75-86 |
| 12/02/26 | H | Stanford | 64-70 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Miami (FL) | 68-74 |
| 04/02/26 | A | Duke | 49-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | A | LIU Sharks | 56-64 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Central Connecticut State | 70-60 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Chicago State | 80-61 |
| 27/02/26 | H | New Haven Chargers | 65-62 |
| 21/02/26 | A | St. Francis (PA) | 65-56 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Mercyhurst Lakers | 83-80 OT |
| 17/02/26 | A | LIU Sharks | 65-83 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Stonehill | 68-57 |
| 13/02/26 | H | LIU Sharks | 57-67 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Central Connecticut State | 67-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 142.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 142.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 57.0 | +38.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 50.0 | +34.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 115.0 | 86.0 | +29.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 62.0 | +21.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 64.0 | +19.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 58.0 | +16.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 70.0 | +14.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 72.0 | +13.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 72.0 | +13.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 65.0 | +9.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 72.0 | +8.0 | |
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 67.0 | 77.0 | -10.0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 69.0 | 112.0 | -43.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 56.0 | +28.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 68.0 | -12.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 60.0 | 74.0 | -14.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 58.0 | 74.0 | -16.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 43.0 | 78.0 | -35.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 106.0 | -42.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 96.0 | -49.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 59.0 | 109.0 | -50.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 45.0 | 120.0 | -75.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 38 | 76 | |
| 23 | 27 | 50 |
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