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Bourges W vs La Roche W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-59
17-8 15-21 24-20 21-10
Position#2
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game56.8
Allowed / game65.5
Bourges W 🏆
France
vs
La Roche W
France
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game70.2
FranceLFB WRound 5· Palais des sports du Prado
Women2025-26
Meetings · Bourges W v La Roche W
25 Oct 2025
BOUR77
LA R59
01 Feb 2025
BOUR94
LA R73
02 Mar 2024
BOUR100
LA R85
03 Feb 2023
BOUR77
LA R56
01 Oct 2021
BOUR80
LA R82
18 Nov 2020
BOUR92
LA R75
09 Oct 2019
BOUR69
LA R77
10 Feb 2019
BOUR82
LA R55
07 Apr 2018
BOUR86
LA R60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bourges W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Roche W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bourges WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Flammes Carolo W
#1
L
67-70
67
70
-3
56avg 68
H26/04
French Cup Women
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#13
L
64-75
64
75
-11
58avg 68
A18/09
Euroleague Women
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#13
W
89-59
89
59
+30
86avg 68
H24/09
Euroleague Women
Chartres W
#10
W
62-58
62
58
+4
51avg 68
A01/10
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
45avg 68
H04/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#5
L
57-77
57
77
-20
43avg 68
H08/10
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
54avg 68
A11/10
LFB W
VBW Gdynia W
#20
W
72-57
72
57
+15
70avg 68
A16/10
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
50-69
50
69
-19
35avg 68
A19/10
LFB W
Uni Girona W
#8
L
62-92
62
92
-30
53avg 68
A22/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-17
23-17
17-13
18-18
17-21
18-11
11-25
31-14
23-20
19-6
16-19
16-18
16-12
18-12
12-16
15-6
16-17
9-16
13-19
17-18
13-18
14-24
13-17
19-19
15-21
20-20
8-17
16-12
19-20
20-9
17-16
18-21
12-11
5-20
15-17
16-24
15-30
11-24
20-14
133.0Avg total
63.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)56.865.5122.2-8.825%
Season at home (1)53.058.0111.0-5.00%
Season away (3)58.068.0126.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)63.869.2133.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)60.674.4135.0-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.070.0137.0-3.00%
vs Similar (7)60.372.4132.7-12.114%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)74.264.8139.0+9.476%
This opponent (La Roche W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Chartres W
#11
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 58
H23/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
48avg 58
H30/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 58
H03/05
LFB W
Chartres W
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
57avg 58
A07/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
53-66
53
66
-13
43avg 58
A13/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
64-72
64
72
-8
62avg 58
H01/10
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
65-66
65
66
-1
57avg 58
A04/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 58
H11/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
61avg 58
A18/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#9
L
61-71
61
71
-10
50avg 58
A22/10
French Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
19-13
18-17
17-17
19-12
12-19
16-18
13-17
28-23
11-17
17-11
13-14
15-18
20-16
14-23
18-17
19-22
20-14
11-19
3-11
16-19
17-14
16-15
15-24
14-18
14-15
21-18
16-15
16-22
15-24
20-14
23-13
17-17
23-11
11-21
18-21
17-12
16-26
10-16
18-17
134.6Avg total
65.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.070.2138.2-2.225%
Season at home (2)69.072.5141.5-3.550%
Season away (2)67.068.0135.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)65.169.5134.6-4.420%
Last 5 (5)66.670.4137.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.676.1141.7-10.417%
vs Similar (10)70.068.2138.2+1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Bourges WLa Roche W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bourges WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flammes Carolo W
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H26/04
French Cup Women
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/09
Euroleague Women
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H24/09
Euroleague Women
Chartres W
#10
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A01/10
LFB W
Landes W
#1
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H04/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/10
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/10
LFB W
VBW Gdynia W
#20
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/10
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A19/10
LFB W
Uni Girona W
#8
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A22/10
Euroleague Women
69.9Avg total
33.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.270.1+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.832.670.4+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)34.435.669.9-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.936.069.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.870.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.040.067.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (7)32.136.969.0-4.714%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.933.271.1+4.667%-
This opponent (La Roche W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chartres W
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/05
LFB W
Chartres W
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A07/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A13/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H01/10
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A04/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H11/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A18/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/10
French Cup Women
70.0Avg total
34.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.637.871.4-4.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.137.670.8-4.514%-
Last 30 away (16)34.038.072.0-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)34.335.770.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.668.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.339.171.3-6.811%-
vs Similar (10)36.635.872.4+0.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bourges Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bourges W: 62.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.417.3
41.8%
46.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.2
24.3%
31.0%15.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
74.3%12.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Roche Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Roche W: 64.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.816.3
42.0%
46.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.9
26.0%
31.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.410.8
65.9%
74.3%10.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bourges W
LLWLLLWWLL
La Roche W
LLWLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#12
-8.5
Net rating
-5.8
84.0
Offensive rating
84.7
92.4
Defensive rating
90.5
40.0%
Effective FG%
40.8%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
24.5%
Turnover %
24.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
24.3%
3-point %
26.0%
62.7%
Assist %
70.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 84.7Defence92.4 · 90.5Shooting40.0% · 40.8%3-point %24.3% · 26.0%Ball care24.5% · 24.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 34.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Bourges W   ■ La Roche W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bourges W wins
1
La Roche W wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Bourges W v La Roche W94-73
20/10/24La Roche W v Bourges W50-88
02/03/24Bourges W v La Roche W100-85
19/11/23La Roche W v Bourges W53-71
03/02/23Bourges W v La Roche W77-56
29/10/22La Roche W v Bourges W68-84
29/03/22La Roche W v Bourges W76-86
01/10/21Bourges W v La Roche W80-82
13/03/21La Roche W v Bourges W56-76
18/11/20Bourges W v La Roche W92-75
Bourges Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25AUni Girona W62-92
19/10/25AESB Villeneuve W50-69
16/10/25AVBW Gdynia W72-57
11/10/25AFlammes Carolo W62-77
08/10/25HUSK Prague W57-77
04/10/25HLandes W53-58
01/10/25AChartres W62-58
24/09/25HKibirkstis Vilnius W89-59
18/09/25AKibirkstis Vilnius W64-75
26/04/25HFlammes Carolo W67-70
La Roche Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25ALanderneau Bretagne W61-71
18/10/25ALanderneau Bretagne W69-70
11/10/25HLattes Montpellier W74-73
04/10/25AToulouse W65-66
01/10/25HAngers W64-72
13/05/25AESB Villeneuve W53-66
07/05/25AChartres W67-74
03/05/25HLanderneau Bretagne W69-65
30/04/25HESB Villeneuve W60-66
23/04/25HChartres W69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bourges W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game56.853.058.0
Allowed / game65.558.068.0
Point differential-8.8-5.0-10.0
Avg total122.2111.0126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Roche W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game68.069.067.0
Allowed / game70.272.568.0
Point differential-2.2-3.5-1.0
Avg total138.2141.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W43175%64.554.2+10.2
2 Lattes Montpellier W43175%73.069.5+3.5
3 Angers W43175%71.871.5+0.2
4 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W43175%70.570.8-0.2
5 ESB Villeneuve W32167%71.364.0+7.3
6 Chartres W42250%77.278.0-0.8
7 Landerneau Bretagne W42250%66.271.0-4.8
8 Toulouse W31233%73.776.3-2.7
9 Flammes Carolo W41325%76.274.0+2.2
10 La Roche W41325%68.070.2-2.2
11 Lyon W41325%66.069.0-3.0
12 Bourges W41325%56.865.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bourges W1715242177
La Roche W821201059
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