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Toulouse W vs La Roche W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-65
18-14 15-14 18-21 15-16
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
La Roche W
France
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game72.0
FranceLFB WRound 2· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2025-26
Meetings · Toulouse W v La Roche W
04 Apr 2026
TOUL75
LA R62
04 Oct 2025
TOUL66
LA R65
17 Dec 2022
TOUL79
LA R82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Roche W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
81-45
81
45
+36
75avg 64
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 64
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 64
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 64
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
57avg 64
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
27avg 64
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
81avg 64
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
73avg 64
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 64
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 64
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
17-11
17-12
25-11
29-11
21-11
11-17
11-20
29-17
16-15
19-23
21-24
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
16-13
9-7
22-7
13-20
10-17
14-20
12-10
24-11
17-18
14-10
20-18
22-16
18-16
15-18
22-12
19-15
15-15
22-13
15-15
9-14
18-19
23-18
17-16
15-17
131.8Avg total
71.2Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.260.6131.8+10.6100%
Last 5 (5)68.261.6129.8+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)65.073.0138.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (28)68.859.8128.6+9.086%
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 57
A23/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#3
L
59-80
59
80
-21
45avg 57
H30/03
LFB W
Landes W
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 57
H06/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
L
71-72
71
72
-1
64avg 57
A18/04
LFB W
Chartres W
#11
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 57
H23/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
48avg 57
H30/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
69-65
69
65
+4
56avg 57
H03/05
LFB W
Chartres W
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
57avg 57
A07/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
53-66
53
66
-13
43avg 57
A13/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
64-72
64
72
-8
62avg 57
H01/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
23-18
14-19
18-23
23-22
15-18
14-21
7-19
12-19
16-23
24-19
13-10
26-20
19-12
14-23
12-17
15-25
19-13
18-17
17-17
19-12
12-19
16-18
13-17
28-23
11-17
17-11
13-14
15-18
20-16
14-23
18-17
19-22
20-14
11-19
3-11
16-19
17-14
16-15
15-24
138.7Avg total
65.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.773.0138.7-7.310%
Last 5 (5)62.668.6131.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)63.877.6141.3-13.810%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.668.4139.0+2.156%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
Toulouse WLa Roche W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USBD Alencon W
#7
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/03
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
65.3Avg total
36.1Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.830.365.2+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.526.662.1+8.993%-
Last 30 away (16)34.233.667.9+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.265.3+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.866.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (28)34.829.664.4+5.271%-
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A23/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H30/03
LFB W
Landes W
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H06/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A18/04
LFB W
Chartres W
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/05
LFB W
Chartres W
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A07/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A13/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H01/10
LFB W
74.6Avg total
37.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.238.071.2-4.817%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.436.769.1-4.313%-
Last 30 away (15)34.039.373.3-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.674.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.870.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)31.539.070.5-7.55%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.636.173.7+1.444%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.3
52.5%
46.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.0
32.1%
31.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws12.69.9
78.6%
74.3%9.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Roche Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Roche W: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.4
43.4%
46.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.4
27.0%
31.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws14.410.1
70.1%
74.3%10.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
WWWWWWWWWW
La Roche W
LLLWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#12
+15.0
Net rating
-8.8
98.1
Offensive rating
85.2
83.1
Defensive rating
94.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
42.2%
42.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
23.2%
Turnover %
22.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.1%
3-point %
27.0%
72.2%
Assist %
69.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 85.2Defence83.1 · 94.0Shooting51.1% · 42.2%3-point %32.1% · 27.0%Ball care23.2% · 22.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)100% · 10%
■ Toulouse W   ■ La Roche W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toulouse W wins
1
La Roche W wins
DateGameScore
25/03/23La Roche W v Toulouse W73-76
17/12/22Toulouse W v La Roche W79-82
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AMontbrison W73-70
11/05/25HMontbrison W61-57
30/04/25AMondeville W74-61
27/04/25HMondeville W73-62
16/04/25ANice W60-58
12/04/25HNice W60-47
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68
29/03/25AAulnoye AS W85-79
26/03/25HCentre Federal BB W72-59
22/03/25HUSBD Alencon W81-45
La Roche Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25HAngers W64-72
13/05/25AESB Villeneuve W53-66
07/05/25AChartres W67-74
03/05/25HLanderneau Bretagne W69-65
30/04/25HESB Villeneuve W60-66
23/04/25HChartres W69-72
18/04/25ALanderneau Bretagne W71-72
06/04/25HLandes W65-71
30/03/25HLattes Montpellier W59-80
23/03/25ATarbes GB W80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
La Roche W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total136.0136.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W220100%58.548.0+10.5
2 Angers W110100%72.064.0+8.0
3 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W110100%69.064.0+5.0
4 Lattes Montpellier W110100%71.070.0+1.0
5 Bourges W21150%57.558.0-0.5
6 Flammes Carolo W1010%70.071.0-1.0
7 Chartres W1010%58.062.0-4.0
8 Lyon W1010%64.069.0-5.0
9 La Roche W1010%64.072.0-8.0
10 Landerneau Bretagne W1010%43.059.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W1815181566
La Roche W1414211665
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