Bradley faces Pacific on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, with Bradley the clear favourite as the model rates them 93% to win, a reflection of their 1-0 season record, 85.0 points per game and only 41.0 allowed, placing them 20th in the league, while Pacific is 7th with 102.0 points per game and 47.0 allowed. Bradley's lone game this season was a 85-41 home victory, and they have won 3 of their last 5, including a 90-84 win over Valparaiso, whereas Pacific's single game was a 102-47 home win, and they have won 2 of their last 5, including a 61-58 home win over Seattle. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 80-63 score, with Bradley winning 93% of the time and Pacific 7%, a 142.7 total points projection; Bradley is also 92% likely to cover the -2.0 spread and the over is 46% likely on the 144.0 line, with a 2% chance of overtime. Bradley's recent 85-41 win over Monmouth on 2 November 2026 sets the tone for this matchup.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bradley winLost
92.8%fair 1.08
Best odds1.93
Implied50.0%
Edge+42.8pp
Pacific winWon
7.2%fair 13.81
Best odds2.13
Implied50.0%
Edge-42.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Bradley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 135.5Actual: Under 135.5
Over 135.5
67.0%
@ 1.47+0.0pp
Under 135.5
33.0%
@ 3.25-0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 140.5 · main lineActual: Under 140.5
Over 140.5
55.2%
@ 1.93+5.7pp
Under 140.5
44.8%
@ 2.22-5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Bet365
2.22
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.87
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
42.9%
@ 2.40-2.4pp
Under 145.5
57.1%
@ 1.74+2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
2.10
SBO
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
SBO
1.74
Marathon Be
1.67
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Bradley total 67.5Actual: Bradley under 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 3.10
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.10
Betano
2.35
Bradley total 72 · main lineActual: Bradley under 72
Over 72
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under 72
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Bradley total 76Actual: Bradley under 76
Over 76
65.6%
Under 76
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacific total 67Actual: Pacific under 67
Over 67
33.1%
Under 67
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacific total 71 · main lineActual: Pacific under 71
Over 71
20.0%
@ 1.85-30.3pp
Under 71
80.0%
@ 1.87+30.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Pacific total 75Actual: Pacific under 75
Over 75
10.8%
Under 75
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Bradley -2Actual: Pacific +2
BRAD -2
91.6%
@ 2.15+47.0pp
PACI +2
8.4%
@ 1.87-47.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BRAD
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathon Be
2.04
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
PACI
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathon Be
1.70
Spread Bradley +1 · main lineActual: Pacific -1
BRAD +1
93.5%
@ 1.88+42.3pp
PACI -1
6.5%
@ 2.05-42.3pp
Best 5 market prices
BRAD
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.76
Bet365
1.68
PACI
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.97
SBO
1.92
Spread Bradley +4Actual: Pacific -4
BRAD +4
96.0%
@ 1.44+31.0pp
PACI -4
4.0%
@ 2.67-31.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BRAD
Bet365
1.44
PACI
Bet365
2.67
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
BradleyPacific
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Bradley -8.5
77.3%
3.30
Betano
3.45
Bet365
3.15
-
-
-
+49.1pp
Lost
Bradley -7.5
79.9%
3.00
Betano
3.15
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
+49.1pp
Lost
Bradley -7
81.9%
2.80
Bet365
2.80
-
-
-
-
+48.9pp
Lost
Bradley -8
79.4%
3.05
Bet365
3.05
-
-
-
-
+48.8pp
Lost
Bradley -6.5
82.3%
2.76
Betano
2.87
Bet365
2.65
-
-
-
+48.7pp
Lost
Bradley -9
76.6%
3.30
Bet365
3.30
-
-
-
-
+48.5pp
Lost
Bradley -6
84.2%
2.60
Bet365
2.60
-
-
-
-
+48.4pp
Lost
Bradley -5.5
84.6%
2.56
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
+48.3pp
Lost
Bradley -9.5
74.5%
3.45
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.40
-
-
-
+47.7pp
Lost
Bradley -5
86.4%
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
-
+47.6pp
Lost
Bradley -2.5
90.0%
2.07
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.12
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.95
-
+47.2pp
Lost
Bradley -2
91.6%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathon Bet
2.04
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
-
+47.0pp
Lost
Bradley -4.5
86.7%
2.33
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.25
-
-
-
+46.9pp
Lost
Bradley -4
88.4%
2.24
Pinnacle
2.28
Bet365
2.20
-
-
-
+46.4pp
Lost
Bradley -1.5
91.8%
1.96
Pinnacle
2.05
SBO
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.97
Betano
1.95
+45.0pp
Lost
Bradley -3.5
88.6%
2.18
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.19
Bet365
2.10
-
-
+44.9pp
Lost
Bradley -1
92.7%
1.90
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.89
Bet365
1.80
-
+44.5pp
Lost
Bradley (regulation)
91.6%
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.91
Betano
1.90
-
-
-
+44.4pp
Lost
Bradley -3
89.9%
2.03
Pinnacle
2.09
SBO
2.00
Bet365
2.00
-
-
+44.0pp
Lost
Bradley win
92.8%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
+42.8pp
Lost
Bradley +1
93.5%
1.78
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.68
-
+42.3pp
Lost
Bradley +1.5
93.5%
1.74
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.78
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.64
-
+40.7pp
Lost
Bradley +2
94.6%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
+39.4pp
Lost
Bradley +2.5
94.6%
1.61
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.55
-
-
+37.3pp
Lost
Bradley +3
95.3%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+36.2pp
Lost
Bradley over 74.5
70.5%
2.52
Betano
2.52
-
-
-
-
+34.4pp
Lost
Bradley +3.5
95.3%
1.51
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+33.5pp
Lost
Bradley +4
96.0%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+31.0pp
Lost
Bradley +4.5
96.0%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+30.9pp
Lost
Pacific under 71
80.0%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+30.3pp
Won
Bradley +5.5
96.7%
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+28.9pp
Lost
Bradley +5
96.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+28.7pp
Lost
Bradley over 73.5
73.9%
2.08
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
1.86
-
-
+28.5pp
Lost
Bradley +6.5
97.2%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Bradley +6
97.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+26.4pp
Lost
Pacific under 71.5
80.6%
1.78
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.67
+26.1pp
Won
Bradley +7.5
97.6%
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
-
+24.8pp
Lost
Pacific under 72.5
83.1%
1.53
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
-
+24.1pp
Won
Pacific under 70.5
77.8%
1.80
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
+23.8pp
Won
Pacific under 69.5
74.8%
1.88
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
+23.7pp
Won
Pacific under 68.5
71.5%
2.13
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
1.95
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
Pacific under 73.5
85.4%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Won
Pacific under 74.5
87.5%
1.41
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Won
Bradley +8.5
98.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Lost
Pacific under 76.5
91.0%
1.32
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+21.4pp
Won
Pacific under 75.5
89.4%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+20.1pp
Won
Bradley +13.5
99.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Bradley +18.5
99.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
Overtime: no
98.3%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+8.6pp
-
Bradley +23.5
99.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Under 168.5
94.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
Under 163.5
90.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Under 151
70.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Under 151.5
70.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Over 133.5
71.4%
1.30
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Lost
Under 153.5
75.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Under 158.5
83.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Over 123.5
88.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Lost
Over 128.5
80.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Lost
Bradley under 91.5
88.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Bradley under 89.5
83.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
Pacific over 53.5
82.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
Bradley under 87.5
78.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-12.2pp
Won
Pacific over 54.5
79.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.5pp
Won
Pacific over 55.5
76.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-14.0pp
Won
Bradley under 85.5
71.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-16.9pp
Won
Pacific over 56.5
73.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-17.2pp
Won
Pacific over 57.5
70.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-18.5pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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