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Bradley vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-84 (OT)
31-31 33-33 26-20
Position#91
Record20-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.1
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Valparaiso
USA
Position#170
Record18-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bradley v Valparaiso
29 Dec 2026
BRAD v VALP
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BRAD90
VALP84
03 Feb 2026
BRAD72
VALP65
08 Mar 2025
BRAD70
VALP65
29 Dec 2024
BRAD81
VALP75
07 Jan 2023
BRAD88
VALP66
26 Feb 2022
BRAD79
VALP55
29 Jan 2020
BRAD80
VALP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
42-46
41-35
46-38
40-33
32-32
23-30
26-31
31-33
49-47
28-28
42-32
35-35
37-44
43-31
31-29
28-39
44-33
36-35
51-43
150.0Avg total
76.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.573.1150.5+4.465%
Season at home (19)79.168.6147.7+10.484%
Season away (12)74.980.1155.0-5.233%
Last 10 (10)76.273.8150.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.874.0151.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.586.0172.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.274.2147.4-1.050%
vs Weaker (9)84.670.6155.1+14.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
70-63 OT
70
63
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
32-32
28-26
30-32
38-40
43-36
34-34
30-52
49-43
27-32
35-35
44-37
31-29
40-38
36-37
38-34
42-34
37-46
28-37
35-25
144.6Avg total
72.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.670.9142.5+0.856%
Season at home (18)71.964.9136.8+6.978%
Season away (14)71.378.5149.8-7.229%
Last 10 (10)72.272.4144.6-0.270%
Last 5 (5)73.270.4143.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.868.2135.0-1.444%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.974.2147.1-1.357%
vs Weaker (7)77.963.6141.4+14.371%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
BradleyValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/03
NCAA
67.1Avg total
33.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.870.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.833.169.9+3.763%-
Last 30 away (11)32.537.870.3-5.418%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.867.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.667.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.037.572.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.135.370.4-0.356%-
vs Weaker (9)34.433.968.3+0.633%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/03
NCAA
70.9Avg total
35.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.065.6+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.530.164.6+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)32.534.466.9-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.570.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.468.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.430.262.7+2.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.434.868.1-1.436%-
vs Weaker (7)35.928.664.4+7.371%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bradley wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26Valparaiso v Bradley79-72
04/02/26Bradley v Valparaiso72-65
08/03/25Bradley v Valparaiso70-65
27/02/25Valparaiso v Bradley65-76
29/12/24Bradley v Valparaiso81-75 OT
04/01/24Valparaiso v Bradley61-86
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HMurray State87-78
25/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)86-93 OT
22/02/26HIllinois State74-60
19/02/26AValparaiso72-79
15/02/26ASouthern Illinois70-60
10/02/26HBelmont95-84 OT
07/02/26ANorthern Iowa49-61
04/02/26HValparaiso72-65
31/01/26ADrake87-73
25/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-85
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HIndiana State63-62
28/02/26AEvansville79-80
26/02/26HDrake74-71
21/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)71-67
19/02/26HBradley79-72
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75
13/02/26AIllinois State64-86
10/02/26ADrake81-76
07/02/26HEvansville70-63 OT
04/02/26ABradley65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %65%84%33%
Points / game77.579.174.9
Allowed / game73.168.680.1
Point differential+4.4+10.4-5.2
Avg total150.5147.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %13%5%25%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %56%78%29%
Points / game71.671.971.3
Allowed / game70.964.978.5
Point differential+0.8+6.9-7.2
Avg total142.5136.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)71% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %9%6%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3326779%82.974.1+8.8
2 Illinois State31201165%75.968.3+7.6
3 Bradley31201165%77.573.1+4.4
4 Northern Iowa32201262%69.261.1+8.2
5 Murray State32201262%83.379.9+3.4
6 Illinois (Chi.)32181456%75.870.1+5.7
7 Valparaiso32181456%71.670.9+0.8
8 Southern Illinois32161650%73.069.6+3.4
9 Drake33141942%75.874.9+0.9
10 Indiana State32112134%73.674.5-0.9
11 Evansville3272522%67.076.5-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Bradley31332690
Valparaiso31332084
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