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Braga vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 20:15
Final 92-65
29-8 12-22 27-23 24-12
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game69.0
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Academica
Portugal
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalProligaRound 3· Arena SC Braga
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
56-108
56
108
-52
no box
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
66avg 66
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
67avg 66
A21/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
10-23
14-24
16-30
15-12
7-10
26-18
19-16
14-17
25-19
20-16
21-30
149.7Avg total
67.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.569.0142.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (3)67.782.0149.7-14.333%
Last 5 (3)67.782.0149.7-14.333%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#10
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A18/02
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
no box
A26/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
A04/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H11/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
67-79
67
79
-12
no box
H18/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
H25/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
53avg 74
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 74
A21/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
28-25
18-17
16-18
22-18
15-17
21-20
22-23
25-19
20-26
16-15
24-15
17-15
28-21
13-24
28-13
17-25
14-17
23-14
13-23
18-18
29-24
18-20
23-19
23-8
11-18
13-18
26-20
15-18
24-20
18-21
15-27
21-15
11-18
19-24
13-11
26-20
30-30
27-15
17-19
156.8Avg total
80.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.076.0158.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)64.068.0132.0-4.00%
Season away (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.576.3156.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)79.476.6156.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.886.9161.7-12.10%
vs Similar (7)73.971.6145.4+2.343%
vs Weaker (14)80.273.8154.0+6.471%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
BragaAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/10
Proliga
66.3Avg total
29.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)29.037.366.3-8.333%-
Last 30 at home (2)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
Last 30 away (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
Last 10 (3)29.037.366.3-8.333%-
Last 5 (3)29.037.366.3-8.333%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)22.022.044.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#10
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A18/02
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H25/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H01/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A21/10
Proliga
80.9Avg total
42.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.177.3+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.236.572.7-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.139.881.9+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.780.9+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.879.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.941.178.0-4.256%-
vs Similar (7)38.637.375.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (14)40.936.677.6+4.371%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.014.0
41.2%
50.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.5
39.0%
31.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.010.0
62.5%
69.3%10.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.0
44.4%
50.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.513.0
47.3%
31.2%39.0
🏀 Free throws18.010.0
55.6%
69.3%10.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWL
Academica
WLLWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#14
+4.4
Net rating
+8.3
92.0
Offensive rating
112.0
87.5
Defensive rating
103.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
38.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
24.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.0%
3-point %
47.3%
56.9%
Assist %
58.6%
33%
Form (last 3/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 112.0Defence87.5 · 103.7Shooting49.2% · 55.9%3-point %39.0% · 47.3%Ball care24.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 3/10)33% · 70%
■ Braga   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
0
Academica wins
No previous meetings.
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AMaia80-82
14/10/23HSangalhos67-56
10/12/22HSporting CP56-108
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ASampaense100-84
14/10/23HMaia64-68
08/04/23ABenfica Lisboa B72-86
01/04/23HGinasio Olhanense73-64
25/03/23HBelenenses88-81
18/03/23HBarreirense67-79
11/03/23HBenfica Lisboa B86-73
04/03/23AGinasio Olhanense85-75
26/02/23ABelenenses80-78
18/02/23ABarreirense90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.567.080.0
Allowed / game69.056.082.0
Point differential+4.5+11.0-2.0
Avg total142.5123.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academica
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.064.0100.0
Allowed / game76.068.084.0
Point differential+6.0-4.0+16.0
Avg total158.0132.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz220100%88.061.0+27.0
2 Barreirense220100%88.072.0+16.0
3 Maia330100%80.775.0+5.7
4 Illiabum32167%80.071.3+8.7
5 Vasco Da Gama32167%86.378.0+8.3
6 CAB Madeira32167%76.775.7+1.0
7 Academica21150%82.076.0+6.0
8 Braga21150%73.569.0+4.5
9 Benfica Lisboa B21150%63.064.5-1.5
10 Imortal B21150%67.574.5-7.0
11 Santo Andre21150%81.088.0-7.0
12 Galitos Aveiro31233%78.082.3-4.3
13 Sangalhos31233%66.373.7-7.3
14 Ginasio Olhanense3030%74.381.7-7.3
15 Galitos Barreiro2020%67.085.0-18.0
16 Sampaense3030%79.097.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2912272492
Academica822231265
← all games of the day
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