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Maia vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-80
17-14 19-25 16-20 30-21
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game64.0
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Braga
Portugal
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game56.0
PortugalProligaRound 2· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2023-24
Meetings · Maia v Braga
07 Dec 2024
MAIA76
BRAG95
21 Oct 2023
MAIA82
BRAG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Galomar
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A05/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
96-81
96
81
+15
no box
A18/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A04/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H11/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
H18/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
H24/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
A26/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
117-107
117
107
+10
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
68-64
68
64
+4
56avg 56
A14/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
24-22
15-22
14-24
25-22
30-23
16-11
25-25
28-13
13-24
24-16
26-25
21-18
26-16
25-16
19-21
26-16
14-17
28-18
20-32
20-14
26-20
24-19
19-24
19-22
30-21
15-25
21-25
31-26
22-21
18-16
25-33
28-28
33-30
33-32
23-17
15-21
18-11
24-19
11-13
175.2Avg total
90.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.784.5175.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)93.290.0183.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.876.8150.5-3.025%
vs Similar (12)75.478.3153.8-2.942%
vs Weaker (14)83.977.3161.2+6.671%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
56-108
56
108
-52
no box
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
66avg 66
H14/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
10-23
14-24
16-30
15-12
7-10
26-18
19-16
143.5Avg total
61.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)61.582.0143.5-20.550%
Last 5 (2)61.582.0143.5-20.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -5.5-5.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -5.5-5.5
MaiaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A05/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A18/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A04/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H18/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H01/04
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/04
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/10
Proliga
87.0Avg total
47.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.576.1+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.834.973.7+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.639.478.0-0.859%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.987.0+7.2100%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.891.2+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.838.072.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (12)37.236.873.9+0.458%-
vs Weaker (14)41.137.979.0+3.171%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H14/10
Proliga
62.0Avg total
24.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
Last 30 at home (2)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (2)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
Last 5 (2)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)22.022.044.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.0
45.0%
50.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
31.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.012.0
57.1%
69.3%12.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.014.0
40.0%
50.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
31.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
69.3%12.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWLLWWWWWL
Braga
WL
#3
League position
#8
+2.8
Net rating
+14.7
93.4
Offensive rating
89.7
90.5
Defensive rating
75.0
43.5%
Effective FG%
45.8%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
32.9%
25.3%
Turnover %
29.8%
42.9%
Off. rebound %
40.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.3%
3-point %
36.0%
37.5%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/2)
50%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 89.7Defence90.5 · 75.0Shooting43.5% · 45.8%3-point %27.3% · 36.0%Ball care25.3% · 29.8%Off. rebounds42.9% · 40.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/2)70% · 50%
■ Maia   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maia wins
0
Braga wins
No previous meetings.
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AAcademica68-64
08/04/23ABelenenses117-107
01/04/23HBarreirense107-109 OT
26/03/23ABenfica Lisboa B85-93
24/03/23HBenfica Lisboa B89-77
18/03/23HGinasio Olhanense88-83
11/03/23HBelenenses91-71
04/03/23ABarreirense91-78
18/02/23AGinasio Olhanense96-81
05/02/23AGalomar75-82
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HSangalhos67-56
10/12/22HSporting CP56-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total132.0-132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game56.056.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total123.0123.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz220100%88.061.0+27.0
2 Vasco Da Gama110100%107.090.0+17.0
3 Barreirense220100%88.072.0+16.0
4 Braga110100%67.056.0+11.0
5 Maia110100%68.064.0+4.0
6 Galitos Aveiro110100%88.085.0+3.0
7 Benfica Lisboa B21150%63.064.5-1.5
8 CAB Madeira21150%71.075.0-4.0
9 Imortal B21150%67.574.5-7.0
10 Santo Andre21150%81.088.0-7.0
11 Illiabum1010%85.088.0-3.0
12 Academica1010%64.068.0-4.0
13 Ginasio Olhanense2020%73.078.5-5.5
14 Sangalhos1010%56.067.0-11.0
15 Sampaense1010%90.0107.0-17.0
16 Galitos Barreiro2020%67.085.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1719163082
Braga1425202180
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