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Brampton Honey Badgers vs Guelph Nighthawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-94
11-27 26-25 19-20 29-22
Position#10
Record4-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game88.7
Brampton Honey Badgers
Canada
vs
Guelph Nighthawks 🏆
Canada
Position#2
Record8-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game85.9
CanadaCEBL· CAA Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Brampton Honey Badgers v Guelph Nighthawks
03 Jul 2025
BRAM85
GUEL94
03 Jul 2024
BRAM108
GUEL105
21 Jun 2023
BRAM93
GUEL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brampton Honey Badgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph Nighthawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brampton Honey BadgersCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBadgers
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 75
H25/05
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
70avg 75
A29/05
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 75
A30/05
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 75
H04/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 75
H06/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 75
A08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
95-91
95
91
+4
95avg 75
H14/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
87avg 75
H21/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 75
H22/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
82avg 75
H29/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
21-15
21-20
21-26
24-28
18-25
19-25
20-21
18-21
23-20
28-18
16-31
16-19
18-27
22-29
15-17
22-21
23-24
15-18
21-11
16-31
19-22
25-20
20-21
24-33
25-14
24-24
22-20
30-23
20-23
22-20
16-20
21-26
21-23
19-18
15-22
31-16
25-19
11-16
24-15
169.5Avg total
82.4Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.188.7169.8-7.633%
Season at home (7)82.684.0166.6-1.457%
Season away (5)79.095.2174.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)82.487.1169.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)86.085.2171.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)83.093.0176.0-10.126%
vs Similar (3)83.388.7172.0-5.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
98-86
98
86
+12
93avg 84
A24/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-61
93
61
+32
92avg 84
H25/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
75avg 84
H30/05
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
83avg 84
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 84
H07/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
107-93
107
93
+14
98avg 84
H08/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
94-80
94
80
+14
80avg 84
H15/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
69avg 84
H20/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
100-83
100
83
+17
97avg 84
H22/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 84
A27/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
21-33
33-14
17-25
23-17
26-14
22-17
22-13
21-18
20-23
18-28
31-16
26-13
21-27
24-12
24-28
21-22
22-18
21-20
20-27
35-23
19-29
29-25
24-16
20-14
28-25
25-23
21-18
24-24
22-26
17-27
32-21
25-31
33-13
23-20
19-19
28-21
23-28
20-23
18-24
179.4Avg total
94.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.885.9179.7+7.867%
Season at home (7)94.783.9178.6+10.971%
Season away (5)92.488.8181.2+3.660%
Last 10 (10)94.584.9179.4+9.670%
Last 5 (5)97.090.0187.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.091.5183.5+0.550%
vs Similar (8)88.282.9171.1+5.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.987.0181.9+7.970%
This opponent (Brampton Honey Badgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
Brampton Honey BadgersGuelph Nighthawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brampton Honey BadgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/05
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A29/05
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/05
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H04/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H14/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H21/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H22/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H29/06
CEBL
88.7Avg total
42.8Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.647.188.7-5.420%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.944.387.2-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.349.990.2-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.988.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.446.092.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.347.588.8-6.215%-
vs Similar (3)44.743.388.0+1.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A24/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H25/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H30/05
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H08/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H20/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H22/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A27/06
CEBL
91.8Avg total
48.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.345.091.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.642.288.8+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)46.047.593.5-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)48.543.391.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)51.446.898.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.548.594.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.643.987.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.445.192.5+2.265%-
This opponent (Brampton Honey Badgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brampton Honey Badgerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brampton Honey Badgers: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.9
51.4%
50.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
72.4%16.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.325.7
53.2%
50.7%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.419.0
69.3%
72.4%19.0
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brampton Honey Badgers
WLWWLWLLLL
Guelph Nighthawks
LWLWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#2
-3.5
Net rating
+10.6
103.5
Offensive rating
105.1
107.0
Defensive rating
94.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.1%
3-point %
29.5%
59.1%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 105.1Defence107.0 · 94.5Shooting51.3% · 50.0%3-point %34.1% · 29.5%Ball care19.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Brampton Honey Badgers   ■ Guelph Nighthawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brampton Honey Badgers wins
2
Guelph Nighthawks wins
DateGameScore
30/05/25Guelph Nighthawks v Brampton Honey Badgers90-85
03/07/24Brampton Honey Badgers v Guelph Nighthawks108-105
16/06/24Guelph Nighthawks v Brampton Honey Badgers88-76
21/06/23Brampton Honey Badgers v Guelph Nighthawks93-80
Brampton Honey Badgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25HNiagara River91-66
22/06/25HOttawa Blackjacks76-89
21/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers88-86
14/06/25HEdmonton Stingers95-91
08/06/25ANiagara River80-94
06/06/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears81-74
04/06/25HMontreal Alliance71-92
30/05/25AGuelph Nighthawks85-90
29/05/25AEdmonton Stingers81-99
25/05/25HScarborough Shooting Stars76-90
Guelph Nighthawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers89-96
22/06/25HFraser Valley Bandits100-83
20/06/25HEdmonton Stingers95-98
15/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars94-80
08/06/25HOttawa Blackjacks107-93
07/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers84-87
02/06/25AFraser Valley Bandits95-80
30/05/25HBrampton Honey Badgers90-85
25/05/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-61
24/05/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brampton Honey Badgers
CEBL 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%57%0%
Points / game81.182.679.0
Allowed / game88.784.095.2
Point differential-7.6-1.4-16.2
Avg total169.8166.6174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game93.894.792.4
Allowed / game85.983.988.8
Point differential+7.8+10.9+3.6
Avg total179.7178.6181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits1310377%96.885.2+11.6
2 Guelph Nighthawks128467%93.885.9+7.8
3 Niagara River127558%85.992.2-6.3
4 Edmonton Stingers148657%92.890.5+2.3
5 Ottawa Blackjacks126650%90.185.5+4.6
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars147750%91.489.8+1.6
7 Montreal Alliance115645%88.487.1+1.3
8 Winnipeg Sea Bears135838%84.292.2-7.9
9 Brampton Honey Badgers124833%81.188.7-7.6
10 Saskatchewan Rattlers1331023%85.392.8-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brampton Honey Badgers1126192985
Guelph Nighthawks2725202294
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