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Guelph Nighthawks vs Ottawa Blackjacks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 107-93
35-23 19-29 29-25 24-16
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game83.0
Guelph Nighthawks 🏆
Canada
vs
Ottawa Blackjacks
Canada
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.0
CanadaCEBL· WinSport Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks
08 Jun 2025
GUEL107
OTTA93
09 Jun 2023
GUEL86
OTTA79
09 Jun 2022
GUEL86
OTTA79
06 Aug 2021
GUEL89
OTTA85
12 Jul 2021
GUEL90
OTTA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph Nighthawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ottawa Blackjacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 86
H03/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 86
A05/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
71avg 86
A09/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A11/05
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
92avg 86
A16/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
98-86
98
86
+12
93avg 86
A24/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-61
93
61
+32
92avg 86
H25/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
75avg 86
H30/05
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
83avg 86
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 86
H07/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
18-24
20-22
18-24
22-21
17-18
24-15
15-15
23-20
18-27
26-23
20-19
23-23
22-21
13-22
28-18
24-28
26-29
24-23
20-18
27-14
21-33
33-14
17-25
23-17
26-14
22-17
22-13
21-18
20-23
18-28
31-16
26-13
21-27
24-12
24-28
21-22
22-18
21-20
20-27
171.0Avg total
88.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.483.0174.4+8.471%
Season at home (3)89.077.7166.7+11.367%
Season away (4)93.287.0180.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)88.982.1171.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)92.079.8171.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.888.2169.0-7.525%
vs Similar (9)86.986.8173.7+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)95.085.8180.8+9.276%
This opponent (Ottawa Blackjacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ottawa BlackjacksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBlackjacks
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 85
H25/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
97-109
97
109
-12
88avg 85
A27/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
116-104
116
104
+12
116avg 85
H29/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
90-73
90
73
+17
79avg 85
A02/08
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 85
A04/08
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 85
H18/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
105-83
105
83
+22
99avg 85
H21/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
86-87
86
87
-1
83avg 85
A27/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 85
A01/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
73avg 85
A07/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
22-20
20-20
29-19
26-27
26-29
24-29
21-24
33-26
27-33
27-29
29-16
18-31
17-12
27-19
28-11
19-28
29-21
29-18
14-27
28-15
22-19
18-24
17-29
21-25
26-25
29-18
29-15
19-25
23-19
28-23
16-20
19-18
25-19
21-23
23-13
12-21
23-17
29-27
17-30
183.4Avg total
93.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.085.0174.0+4.040%
Season at home (2)95.085.0180.0+10.050%
Season away (3)85.085.0170.0+0.033%
Last 10 (10)93.789.7183.4+4.050%
Last 5 (5)89.085.0174.0+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)90.196.1186.1-6.029%
vs Similar (10)85.589.0174.5-3.540%
vs Weaker (6)95.788.0183.7+7.767%
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
Guelph NighthawksOttawa Blackjacks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/05
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A16/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A24/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H25/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H30/05
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/06
CEBL
87.1Avg total
44.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.589.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.884.9+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)45.447.893.2-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.287.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.246.087.2-4.80%-
vs Similar (9)42.045.187.1-3.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.243.991.1+3.365%-
This opponent (Ottawa Blackjacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ottawa BlackjacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H25/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A27/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H29/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A02/08
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A04/08
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H18/05
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H21/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A27/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A01/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/06
CEBL
92.5Avg total
46.2Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.846.891.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.646.594.1+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.447.189.5-4.819%-
Last 10 (10)46.246.392.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)44.949.093.9-4.129%-
vs Similar (10)43.044.187.1-1.140%-
vs Weaker (6)47.746.394.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.823.2
48.5%
50.7%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
34.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.116.6
66.1%
72.4%16.6
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ottawa Blackjackstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ottawa Blackjacks: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.4
52.9%
50.7%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.7
80.3%
72.4%14.7
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guelph Nighthawks
LWWWWLWLWW
Ottawa Blackjacks
LWLWLLWWLW
#2
League position
#6
+6.9
Net rating
+4.8
99.9
Offensive rating
112.1
93.0
Defensive rating
107.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.4%
3-point %
38.3%
54.9%
Assist %
66.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 112.1Defence93.0 · 107.3Shooting47.5% · 54.5%3-point %30.4% · 38.3%Ball care19.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 29.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Guelph Nighthawks   ■ Ottawa Blackjacks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guelph Nighthawks wins
1
Ottawa Blackjacks wins
DateGameScore
29/06/24Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks90-100
10/06/23Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks86-79
16/06/22Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks73-83
09/06/22Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks86-79
06/08/21Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks89-85
04/08/21Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks71-96
12/07/21Guelph Nighthawks v Ottawa Blackjacks90-87
28/06/21Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks96-79
Guelph Nighthawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers84-87
02/06/25AFraser Valley Bandits95-80
30/05/25HBrampton Honey Badgers90-85
25/05/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-61
24/05/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears98-86
16/05/25ANiagara River94-98
11/05/25AEdmonton Stingers86-84
09/08/24AFraser Valley Bandits87-89
05/08/24AEdmonton Stingers78-69
03/08/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears84-82
Ottawa Blackjackslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/25AFraser Valley Bandits81-95
01/06/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears88-73
27/05/25AScarborough Shooting Stars86-87
21/05/25HBrampton Honey Badgers105-83
18/05/25HNiagara River85-87
04/08/24ANiagara River91-94
02/08/24AScarborough Shooting Stars90-73
29/07/24HBrampton Honey Badgers116-104
27/07/24ANiagara River97-109
25/07/24HSaskatchewan Rattlers98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game91.489.093.2
Allowed / game83.077.787.0
Point differential+8.4+11.3+6.2
Avg total174.4166.7180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ottawa Blackjacks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.095.085.0
Allowed / game85.085.085.0
Point differential+4.0+10.0+0.0
Avg total174.0180.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montreal Alliance330100%95.073.3+21.7
2 Fraser Valley Bandits76186%100.382.3+18.0
3 Guelph Nighthawks75271%91.483.0+8.4
4 Niagara River75271%89.191.0-1.9
5 Scarborough Shooting Stars53260%89.686.2+3.4
6 Ottawa Blackjacks52340%89.085.0+4.0
7 Saskatchewan Rattlers62433%83.391.2-7.8
8 Edmonton Stingers72529%88.795.1-6.4
9 Winnipeg Sea Bears72529%80.390.7-10.4
10 Brampton Honey Badgers81712%77.991.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph Nighthawks35192924107
Ottawa Blackjacks2329251693
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