Brasilia vs Joinville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 98-90

23-29 22-11 30-27 23-23

Position#10

Record6-14

FormWWLLW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game84.7

Brasilia 🏆

Joinville

Position#13

Record4-17

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game83.9

NBB

Other2018-19

Meetings · Brasilia v Joinville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Joinville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

88-77

+11

H10/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

75-87

-12

A13/12

NBB

Paulistano

82-83

-1

A15/12

NBB

Paulistano

71-97

-26

H11/01

NBB

Mogi

76-80

-4

H15/01

NBB

Bauru

76-75

A22/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

84-82

H31/01

NBB

Cearense

#11

80-87

-7

H05/02

NBB

Franca

69-83

-14

A11/02

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

81-73

H15/02

NBB

20-12

22-20

15-20

31-25

26-23

16-18

14-22

19-24

26-23

11-30

24-16

21-14

11-22

23-21

14-24

23-30

18-28

22-15

23-12

13-25

23-28

13-15

22-16

18-16

24-22

27-22

22-14

11-24

21-32

24-4

20-20

15-31

13-24

13-20

24-18

19-21

28-16

19-19

16-25

18-13

160.6Avg total

78.2Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	77.8	84.7	162.4	-6.9	30%
Season at home (11)	80.5	85.9	166.4	-5.5	36%
Season away (9)	74.6	83.1	157.7	-8.6	22%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	82.4	160.6	-4.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	80.0	158.0	-2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	75.4	85.2	160.6	-9.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	81.9	83.9	165.9	-2.0	43%
vs Weaker (4)	78.5	76.5	155.0	+2.0	50%

This opponent (Joinville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Joinville

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

97-109

109

-12

A10/12

NBB

Franca

80-95

-15

H18/12

NBB

Mogi

84-90 OT

-6

H10/01

NBB

Vasco

#14

81-92

-11

H14/01

NBB

Minas

80-89

-9

H19/01

NBB

Flamengo

50-89

-39

H24/01

NBB

Pinheiros

70-92

-22

A13/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

83-92

-9

A15/02

NBB

Botafogo

54-59

-5

H19/02

NBB

Cearense

#11

77-88

-11

A26/02

NBB

29-28

13-24

24-27

31-30

21-22

15-22

21-23

23-28

26-15

17-24

20-22

14-16

10-23

22-25

20-22

29-22

26-21

10-26

17-20

27-22

18-19

11-19

9-22

12-29

12-18

25-23

12-29

21-22

18-18

22-33

22-20

21-21

15-14

13-19

13-11

13-15

26-18

21-26

7-22

23-22

165.1Avg total

75.6Scored

89.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	75.6	83.9	159.4	-8.3	19%
Season at home (11)	73.4	82.5	155.9	-9.2	18%
Season away (10)	78.0	85.3	163.3	-7.3	20%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	89.5	165.1	-13.9	0%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	84.0	150.8	-17.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	71.8	83.8	155.5	-12.0	14%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	75.6	77.4	153.0	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaJoinville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.4	46.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.5	23.9	43.4	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	20.8	37.5	-4.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	20.1	36.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	19.4	38.2	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.7	38.7	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	24.1	41.0	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	16.5	20.6	37.0	-4.1	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

42-32

+10

H10/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

42-41

A13/12

NBB

Paulistano

37-53

-16

A15/12

NBB

Paulistano

34-43

-9

H11/01

NBB

Mogi

40-43

-3

H15/01

NBB

Bauru

36-43

-7

A22/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

51-44

H31/01

NBB

Cearense

#11

45-36

H05/02

NBB

Franca

26-44

-18

A11/02

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

47-35

+12

H15/02

NBB

81.4Avg total

40.0Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	41.6	79.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	41.6	77.8	-5.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	41.4	81.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.4	81.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.1	44.2	81.2	-7.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.6	40.6	80.3	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.2	37.2	74.5	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Joinville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JoinvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

42-52

-10

A10/12

NBB

Franca

36-44

-8

H18/12

NBB

Mogi

43-39

H10/01

NBB

Vasco

#14

32-48

-16

H14/01

NBB

Minas

36-47

-11

H19/01

NBB

Flamengo

29-38

-9

H24/01

NBB

Pinheiros

37-41

-4

A13/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

40-51

-11

A15/02

NBB

Botafogo

28-33

-5

H19/02

NBB

Cearense

#11

47-44

A26/02

NBB

80.7Avg total

37.0Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	38.9	74.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	41.1	78.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	43.7	80.7	-6.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.4	77.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	35.8	41.1	76.9	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.6	37.0	75.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.1	39.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	19.5	42.2	+3.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	20.7	37.3	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.8	38.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	20.8	33.4	-8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.4	19.1	35.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.0	37.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.7	21.2	39.8	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.1	41.7	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.6	80.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	42.7	82.1	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	41.0	79.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.1	40.6	80.8	-0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	39.2	80.5	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	41.5	77.2	-5.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.4	40.1	75.5	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	42.9	79.0	-6.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	44.5	82.4	-6.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	42.6	73.2	-12.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	35.6	42.1	77.7	-6.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.1	39.8	75.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Joinville wins

Date	Game	Score
23/11/18	Joinville v Brasilia	77-84
09/03/13	Joinville v Brasilia	86-96
22/12/12	Brasilia v Joinville	94-83
28/01/12	Brasilia v Joinville	100-83
21/11/11	Joinville v Brasilia	70-82
01/04/11	Brasilia v Joinville	90-88
21/01/11	Joinville v Brasilia	81-91
06/05/09	Joinville v Brasilia	85-81
18/03/09	Brasilia v Joinville	79-88

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/19	H	Sao Jose	81-73
11/02/19	A	Franca	69-83
05/02/19	H	Cearense	80-87
31/01/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	84-82
22/01/19	A	Bauru	76-75
15/01/19	H	Mogi	76-80
11/01/19	H	Paulistano	71-97
15/12/18	A	Paulistano	82-83
13/12/18	A	Sao Jose	75-87
10/12/18	H	Minas	88-77

Joinvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/19	A	Cearense	77-88
19/02/19	H	Botafogo	54-59
15/02/19	A	Corinthians Paulista	83-92
13/02/19	A	Pinheiros	70-92
24/01/19	H	Flamengo	50-89
19/01/19	H	Minas	80-89
14/01/19	H	Vasco	81-92
10/01/19	H	Mogi	84-90 OT
18/12/18	H	Franca	80-95
10/12/18	A	Paulistano	97-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	30%
Home	LLWLW	36%
Away	LLLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	30%	36%	22%
Points / game	77.8	80.5	74.6
Allowed / game	84.7	85.9	83.1
Point differential	-6.8	-5.5	-8.6
Avg total	162.4	166.4	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	18%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

Joinville

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	LLLLL	18%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	19%	18%	20%
Points / game	75.6	73.4	78.0
Allowed / game	83.9	82.5	85.3
Point differential	-8.3	-9.2	-7.3
Avg total	159.4	155.9	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	20	17	3	85%	86.2	77.5	+8.7
2	Pinheiros	20	17	3	85%	82.7	75.2	+7.5
3	Flamengo	20	16	4	80%	82.9	71.7	+11.2
4	Mogi	21	15	6	71%	85.5	80.6	+4.9
5	Paulistano	21	14	7	67%	84.7	79.7	+5.0
6	Minas	22	10	12	45%	79.9	81.1	-1.2
7	Botafogo	20	9	11	45%	73.9	76.2	-2.4
8	Sao Jose	21	9	12	43%	79.8	81.1	-1.4
9	Corinthians Paulista	20	8	12	40%	80.3	80.5	-0.2
10	Bauru	19	7	12	37%	76.9	79.4	-2.5
11	Cearense	23	8	15	35%	72.6	76.4	-3.9
12	Brasilia	20	6	14	30%	77.8	84.7	-6.8
13	Vasco	22	5	17	23%	74.4	83.5	-9.1
14	Joinville	21	4	17	19%	75.6	83.9	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	23	22	30	23	98
Joinville	29	11	27	23	90

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Joinville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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