Brasilia vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 80-87

21-32 24-4 20-20 15-31

Position#10

Record5-12

FormLLLWW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game85.3

Brasilia

Cearense 🏆

Position#11

Record6-14

FormLLLWL

Points / game70.9

Allowed / game75.8

NBB

Other2018-19

Meetings · Brasilia v Cearense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cearense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

61-79

-18

A21/11

NBB

Joinville

#13

84-77

A23/11

NBB

Cearense

#11

63-76

-13

A05/12

NBB

Minas

88-77

+11

H10/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

75-87

-12

A13/12

NBB

Paulistano

82-83

-1

A15/12

NBB

Paulistano

71-97

-26

H11/01

NBB

Mogi

76-80

-4

H15/01

NBB

Bauru

76-75

A22/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

84-82

H31/01

NBB

16-24

11-13

13-20

21-22

18-19

19-18

27-20

20-20

14-17

15-22

24-19

10-18

20-12

22-20

15-20

31-25

26-23

16-18

14-22

19-24

26-23

11-30

24-16

21-14

11-22

23-21

14-24

23-30

18-28

22-15

23-12

13-25

23-28

13-15

22-16

18-16

24-22

27-22

22-14

11-24

157.3Avg total

76.0Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.0	85.3	163.3	-7.3	29%
Season at home (9)	80.4	87.2	167.7	-6.8	33%
Season away (8)	75.2	83.1	158.4	-7.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	81.3	157.3	-5.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	83.4	161.2	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.0	85.4	161.4	-9.4	27%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	80.1	84.6	164.8	-4.5	36%
vs Weaker (5)	78.6	76.6	155.2	+2.0	60%

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#10

76-63

+13

H05/12

NBB

Vasco

#14

66-60

H07/12

NBB

Minas

70-61

H12/12

NBB

Paulistano

65-77

-12

H09/01

NBB

Franca

74-82

-8

A12/01

NBB

Bauru

71-82

-11

A14/01

NBB

Mogi

60-73

-13

H17/01

NBB

Botafogo

69-78

-9

A22/01

NBB

Vasco

#14

79-77

A24/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

77-90

-13

H29/01

NBB

17-14

22-15

19-24

18-10

17-14

13-14

24-15

12-17

15-8

19-21

18-17

18-15

14-15

15-21

20-20

16-21

18-13

25-23

19-22

12-24

15-16

17-29

24-10

15-27

25-23

14-19

7-17

14-14

13-21

18-19

21-15

17-23

15-18

23-23

18-15

23-21

16-22

21-24

21-23

19-21

145.0Avg total

70.7Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	70.9	75.8	146.7	-4.8	30%
Season at home (10)	69.7	71.5	141.2	-1.8	50%
Season away (10)	72.1	80.0	152.1	-7.9	10%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	74.3	145.0	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	80.0	151.2	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	70.6	79.2	149.8	-8.6	24%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	71.2	72.5	143.6	-1.3	36%
vs Weaker (2)	72.5	68.5	141.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.9	40.9	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.6	45.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.1	23.9	44.0	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	20.8	40.6	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.8	35.2	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	17.6	34.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	16.4	32.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.4	18.9	37.4	-0.5	59%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	15.9	16.5	32.4	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	20.6	36.8	-4.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.9	21.2	39.1	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.1	35.9	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.6	18.1	33.7	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.5	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	0%	-

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

27-37

-10

A21/11

NBB

Joinville

#13

37-37

A23/11

NBB

Cearense

#11

29-39

-10

A05/12

NBB

Minas

42-32

+10

H10/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#12

42-41

A13/12

NBB

Paulistano

37-53

-16

A15/12

NBB

Paulistano

34-43

-9

H11/01

NBB

Mogi

40-43

-3

H15/01

NBB

Bauru

36-43

-7

A22/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

51-44

H31/01

NBB

78.7Avg total

37.5Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	42.1	81.1	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	41.9	78.2	-5.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.2	78.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	45.2	84.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.1	44.2	82.3	-6.1	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.7	42.0	79.7	-4.3	21%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.2	37.0	73.2	-0.8	40%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

#10

39-29

+10

H05/12

NBB

Vasco

#14

30-28

H07/12

NBB

Minas

34-29

H12/12

NBB

Paulistano

29-36

-7

H09/01

NBB

Franca

43-36

A12/01

NBB

Bauru

32-45

-13

A14/01

NBB

Mogi

39-42

-3

H17/01

NBB

Botafogo

31-40

-9

A22/01

NBB

Vasco

#14

38-41

-3

A24/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

37-46

-9

H29/01

NBB

72.4Avg total

35.2Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.1	37.0	71.1	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.8	35.7	68.5	-2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	38.1	73.4	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	37.2	72.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.8	78.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	33.6	37.7	71.4	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	34.9	36.3	71.2	-1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.0	34.5	68.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.9	42.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.6	20.1	40.6	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.4	19.8	43.2	+3.6	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.5	19.1	36.5	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	21.4	40.9	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	17.7	35.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.3	35.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.1	20.2	38.2	-2.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.3	16.0	34.3	+2.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.4	80.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	42.3	83.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.1	78.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.9	41.2	79.1	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	39.6	82.0	+2.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.3	74.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.0	37.5	73.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.0	75.6	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	37.1	72.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.2	73.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.4	40.9	77.3	-4.5	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.7	35.1	70.8	+0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	34.0	72.5	+4.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/18	Cearense v Brasilia	76-63
03/02/17	Brasilia v Cearense	88-52
17/11/16	Cearense v Brasilia	72-81
12/02/16	Brasilia v Cearense	82-95
17/11/15	Cearense v Brasilia	81-85
13/03/15	Cearense v Brasilia	96-84
22/12/14	Brasilia v Cearense	81-68
30/01/14	Cearense v Brasilia	88-77
21/11/13	Brasilia v Cearense	88-75
26/02/13	Cearense v Brasilia	100-104 OT

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	84-82
22/01/19	A	Bauru	76-75
15/01/19	H	Mogi	76-80
11/01/19	H	Paulistano	71-97
15/12/18	A	Paulistano	82-83
13/12/18	A	Sao Jose	75-87
10/12/18	H	Minas	88-77
05/12/18	A	Cearense	63-76
23/11/18	A	Joinville	84-77
21/11/18	A	Pinheiros	61-79

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/19	H	Corinthians Paulista	77-90
24/01/19	A	Vasco	79-77
22/01/19	A	Botafogo	69-78
17/01/19	H	Mogi	60-73
14/01/19	A	Bauru	71-82
12/01/19	A	Franca	74-82
09/01/19	H	Paulistano	65-77
12/12/18	H	Minas	70-61
07/12/18	H	Vasco	66-60
05/12/18	H	Brasilia	76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	29%
Home	WWLLW	33%
Away	WLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	29%	33%	25%
Points / game	78.0	80.4	75.2
Allowed / game	85.3	87.2	83.1
Point differential	-7.3	-6.8	-7.9
Avg total	163.3	167.7	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Cearense

NBB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	30%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LLLLW	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	30%	50%	10%
Points / game	70.9	69.7	72.1
Allowed / game	75.8	71.5	80.0
Point differential	-4.8	-1.8	-7.9
Avg total	146.7	141.2	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	17	15	2	88%	86.2	77.5	+8.7
2	Pinheiros	19	16	3	84%	82.2	75.5	+6.7
3	Flamengo	19	15	4	79%	83.1	71.6	+11.5
4	Mogi	19	14	5	74%	85.1	79.6	+5.4
5	Paulistano	19	12	7	63%	83.1	79.9	+3.2
6	Minas	20	9	11	45%	79.0	79.7	-0.7
7	Bauru	18	7	11	39%	76.2	78.7	-2.4
8	Sao Jose	18	7	11	39%	79.7	82.2	-2.5
9	Botafogo	18	7	11	39%	74.4	77.6	-3.2
10	Corinthians Paulista	19	7	12	37%	79.7	80.4	-0.7
11	Cearense	20	6	14	30%	70.9	75.8	-4.8
12	Brasilia	17	5	12	29%	78.0	85.3	-7.3
13	Vasco	18	5	13	28%	74.5	82.1	-7.6
14	Joinville	17	4	13	24%	76.6	84.1	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	21	24	20	15	80
Cearense	32	4	20	31	87

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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