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Brazil W vs Mexico W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 83-61
19-18 19-15 23-8 22-20
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game59.5
Brazil W 🏆
vs
Mexico W
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game68.5
EuropeAmeriCup WomenAmeriCup Women - Quarter-finals· Domo de la Feria
Women2023Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brazil W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brazil WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Venezuela W
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
A18/06
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A19/06
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H12/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
92-53
92
53
+39
100avg 74
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 74
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
56-55
56
55
+1
47avg 74
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
67-54
67
54
+13
58avg 74
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
29-10
22-26
19-15
21-13
12-12
10-25
17-21
16-16
13-18
29-9
10-25
10-20
10-16
16-17
16-12
16-17
14-16
16-12
28-31
16-17
17-22
24-18
13-19
29-14
20-17
19-16
24-6
23-18
23-18
15-21
29-19
9-14
20-12
21-15
6-14
15-12
20-13
14-14
18-15
140.5Avg total
73.8Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.259.5135.8+16.8100%
Season at home (2)74.054.0128.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)78.565.0143.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.866.7140.5+7.160%
Last 5 (5)75.062.8137.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.977.2145.1-9.311%
vs Similar (4)69.262.5131.8+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.859.6141.4+22.188%
This opponent (Mexico W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Paraguay W
#5
L
67-73 OT
67
73
-6
no box
A09/08
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#8
L
51-62
51
62
-11
no box
H10/08
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
53-109
53
109
-56
no box
H22/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#6
L
52-67
52
67
-15
no box
A23/09
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#7
L
62-65
62
65
-3
no box
H25/09
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#5
L
39-79
39
79
-40
no box
A27/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
58avg 49
H02/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
57-83
57
83
-26
46avg 49
A03/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
60avg 49
H05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
33avg 49
A06/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
12-13
14-11
21-22
11-12
14-11
9-22
17-17
13-31
7-20
21-27
12-31
8-9
18-20
14-20
12-18
16-16
13-18
13-12
20-19
8-22
6-20
9-20
16-17
14-19
20-11
14-17
21-15
7-23
14-11
14-27
22-22
15-17
17-17
23-17
9-19
13-9
13-17
6-20
10-13
128.5Avg total
55.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)58.068.5126.5-10.525%
Season at home (2)66.566.0132.5+0.550%
Season away (2)49.571.0120.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)55.672.9128.5-17.310%
Last 5 (5)54.270.6124.8-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)52.475.2127.6-22.80%
vs Similar (1)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (3)73.358.3131.7+15.067%
This opponent (Brazil W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
Brazil WMexico W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brazil WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela W
#6
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#1
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A18/06
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A19/06
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
65.6Avg total
35.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.830.966.7+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.430.768.1+6.762%-
Last 30 away (14)34.031.265.2+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)35.330.365.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.469.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.137.268.3-6.122%-
vs Similar (4)35.230.565.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.427.766.1+10.776%-
This opponent (Mexico W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paraguay W
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/08
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#8
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H10/08
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
20-51
20
51
-31
H22/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A23/09
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/09
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#5
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A27/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A03/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A06/07
AmeriCup Women
58.8Avg total
25.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)26.434.260.6-7.920%-
Last 30 at home (10)25.736.662.3-10.920%-
Last 30 away (10)27.131.959.0-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)25.533.358.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)25.433.258.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)23.935.159.0-11.212%-
vs Similar (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (3)36.328.064.3+8.367%-
This opponent (Brazil W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brazil Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brazil W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.814.2
42.2%
39.1%28.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.0
33.6%
29.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.816.8
67.7%
65.9%16.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mexico Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mexico W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.215.2
36.1%
39.1%30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.2
30.0%
29.0%15.8
🏀 Free throws16.010.8
67.2%
65.9%10.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 08 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brazil W
WWWWLLLWLW
Mexico W
LLLWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#9
+20.9
Net rating
-13.8
96.7
Offensive rating
75.0
75.8
Defensive rating
88.8
46.1%
Effective FG%
38.7%
32.6%
Opp. effective FG%
37.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
24.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.6%
3-point %
30.0%
85.6%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 75.0Defence75.8 · 88.8Shooting46.1% · 38.7%3-point %33.6% · 30.0%Ball care19.4% · 24.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 25.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Brazil W   ■ Mexico W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brazil W wins
0
Mexico W wins
DateGameScore
26/09/13Mexico W v Brazil W45-97
27/09/11Mexico W v Brazil W61-88
Brazil Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/23AUSA W67-54
03/07/23HArgentina W56-55
02/07/23AVenezuela W90-76
01/07/23HCuba W92-53
13/02/22ASerbia W70-76
12/02/22HSouth Korea W74-76
10/02/22AAustralia W52-65
19/06/21ACanada W87-82 OT
18/06/21AUSA W60-71
17/06/21HVenezuela W90-59
Mexico Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/23AColombia W42-59
05/07/23HPuerto Rico W64-70
03/07/23ACanada W57-83
02/07/23HDominican Republic W69-62
27/09/19APuerto Rico W39-79
25/09/19HCuba W62-65
23/09/19ADominican Republic W52-67
22/09/19HCanada W53-109
10/08/17HCuba W51-62
09/08/17AParaguay W67-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brazil W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.274.078.5
Allowed / game59.554.065.0
Point differential+16.8+20.0+13.5
Avg total135.8128.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mexico W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game58.066.549.5
Allowed / game68.566.071.0
Point differential-10.5+0.5-21.5
Avg total126.5132.5120.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada W550100%82.453.4+29.0
2 Brazil W440100%76.259.5+16.8
3 USA W54180%74.654.0+20.6
4 Puerto Rico W54180%68.468.6-0.2
5 Colombia W52340%59.063.6-4.6
6 Mexico W41325%58.068.5-10.5
7 Cuba W41325%62.091.8-29.8
8 Argentina W51420%58.462.2-3.8
9 Venezuela W51420%75.680.4-4.8
10 Dominican Republic W4040%53.275.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brazil W1919232283
Mexico W181582061
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