PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brazil W vs USA W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 69-58
14-16 21-21 25-10 9-11
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game62.2
Brazil W 🏆
vs
USA W
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game55.5
EuropeAmeriCup WomenAmeriCup Women - Final· Domo de la Feria
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Brazil W v USA W
10 Jul 2023
BRAZ69
USA 58
11 Aug 2019
BRAZ79
USA 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brazil W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USA W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brazil WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canada W
#2
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A19/06
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H12/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
92-53
92
53
+39
100avg 76
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 76
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
56-55
56
55
+1
47avg 76
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
67-54
67
54
+13
58avg 76
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
83-61
83
61
+22
79avg 76
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
82avg 76
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
13-18
29-9
10-25
10-20
10-16
16-17
16-12
16-17
14-16
16-12
28-31
16-17
17-22
24-18
13-19
29-14
20-17
19-16
24-6
23-18
23-18
15-21
29-19
9-14
20-12
21-15
6-14
15-12
20-13
14-14
18-15
19-18
19-15
23-8
22-20
16-22
23-20
23-18
23-14
142.8Avg total
75.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.862.2141.0+16.7100%
Season at home (4)79.060.8139.8+18.2100%
Season away (2)78.565.0143.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.667.2142.8+8.470%
Last 5 (5)76.264.0140.2+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.977.2145.1-9.311%
vs Similar ◀ (2)73.063.5136.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker (19)82.060.5142.5+21.589%
This opponent (USA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
121-59
121
59
+62
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
88-55
88
55
+33
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
83-43
83
43
+40
no box
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
83-61
83
61
+22
no box
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
80-54
80
54
+26
83avg 71
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 71
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
43avg 71
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
106-44
106
44
+62
113avg 71
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
68avg 71
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 71
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
30-16
29-13
29-15
25-23
25-10
16-7
22-15
27-7
18-14
22-8
16-14
18-13
25-20
25-14
15-14
20-5
26-11
20-14
14-24
19-18
14-11
16-11
16-16
12-15
13-20
14-14
15-18
27-14
33-4
23-10
23-16
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
22-17
17-12
15-21
13-13
136.6Avg total
81.5Scored
55.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.355.5128.8+17.883%
Season at home (3)67.356.7124.0+10.767%
Season away (3)79.354.3133.7+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.555.1136.6+26.490%
Last 5 (5)72.055.8127.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (1)54.067.0121.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (28)90.259.0149.2+31.3100%
This opponent (Brazil W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
Brazil WUSA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brazil WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A19/06
AmeriCup Women
Australia W
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/02
World Cup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/07
AmeriCup Women
68.3Avg total
34.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.567.6+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.031.769.7+6.362%-
Last 30 away (14)34.031.265.2+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.568.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.469.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.137.268.3-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.031.568.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (19)38.428.767.2+9.774%-
This opponent (USA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
63-31
63
31
+32
H27/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
72.1Avg total
44.7Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.529.975.5+15.687%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.529.875.3+15.787%-
Last 30 away (15)45.630.175.7+15.587%-
Last 10 (10)44.727.472.1+17.390%-
Last 5 (5)40.028.068.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)25.035.060.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (28)46.529.876.3+16.789%-
This opponent (Brazil W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brazil Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brazil W: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.0
48.6%
39.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.8
32.6%
29.0%29.5
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
65.9%14.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.220.8
41.5%
39.1%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.54.5
29.0%
29.0%13.5
🏀 Free throws25.317.2
67.8%
65.9%17.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brazil W
WWWWWWLLLW
USA W
WWWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+22.4
Net rating
+22.8
102.8
Offensive rating
94.4
80.5
Defensive rating
71.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
42.0%
37.6%
Opp. effective FG%
33.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
24.3%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
44.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.6%
3-point %
29.0%
73.9%
Assist %
58.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 94.4Defence80.5 · 71.5Shooting48.7% · 42.0%3-point %32.6% · 29.0%Ball care18.2% · 24.3%Off. rebounds32.9% · 44.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Brazil W   ■ USA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brazil W wins
3
USA W wins
DateGameScore
04/07/23USA W v Brazil W54-67
18/06/21USA W v Brazil W71-60
26/09/19USA W v Brazil W89-73
11/08/19Brazil W v USA W79-73
17/07/15USA W v Brazil W75-69
Brazil Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HPuerto Rico W85-74
08/07/23HMexico W83-61
04/07/23AUSA W67-54
03/07/23HArgentina W56-55
02/07/23AVenezuela W90-76
01/07/23HCuba W92-53
13/02/22ASerbia W70-76
12/02/22HSouth Korea W74-76
10/02/22AAustralia W52-65
19/06/21ACanada W87-82 OT
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/23ACanada W67-63
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
05/07/23ACuba W106-44
04/07/23HBrazil W54-67
02/07/23AArgentina W65-56
01/07/23HVenezuela W80-54
01/10/22AChina W83-61
30/09/22ACanada W83-43
29/09/22HSerbia W88-55
27/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina W121-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brazil W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.879.078.5
Allowed / game62.260.865.0
Point differential+16.7+18.2+13.5
Avg total141.0139.8143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
USA W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game73.367.379.3
Allowed / game55.556.754.3
Point differential+17.8+10.7+25.0
Avg total128.8124.0133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brazil W660100%78.862.2+16.7
2 Canada W76186%79.358.1+21.1
3 USA W65183%73.355.5+17.8
4 Puerto Rico W74357%69.972.6-2.7
5 Colombia W52340%59.063.6-4.6
6 Cuba W41325%62.091.8-29.8
7 Argentina W51420%58.462.2-3.8
8 Venezuela W51420%75.680.4-4.8
9 Mexico W51420%58.671.4-12.8
10 Dominican Republic W4040%53.275.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brazil W142125969
USA W1621101158
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.