Breogan vs Araberri Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 106-98

19-37 37-15 27-32 23-14

Position#1

Record23-6

FormLLWLW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game73.8

Breogan 🏆

Araberri

Position#9

Record13-16

FormWLLLW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game83.3

Primera FEBRound 30

Other2017-18

Meetings · Breogan v Araberri

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Araberri winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prat Joventut

81-79

A23/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

81-49

+32

H28/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

84-77

A09/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

78-67

+11

H17/02

Primera FEB

Castello

91-89

A23/02

Primera FEB

Palencia

80-82

-2

H04/03

Primera FEB

Manresa

78-90

-12

A11/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#14

105-64

105

+41

H16/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

#13

70-80

-10

A21/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#15

91-53

+38

H25/03

Primera FEB

18-27

20-17

23-16

20-19

21-10

11-18

28-13

21-8

13-26

28-17

26-13

17-21

16-15

21-9

25-28

25-21

28-19

15-20

23-29

20-23

18-16

21-22

21-21

15-21

15-22

20-26

28-21

20-18

33-13

23-17

29-16

20-23

22-12

11-18

17-27

16-15

28-9

31-7

16-22

156.9Avg total

83.9Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	85.6	73.8	159.4	+11.8	79%
Season at home (14)	90.6	67.8	158.4	+22.8	93%
Season away (15)	81.0	79.5	160.5	+1.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	73.0	156.9	+10.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	73.8	158.6	+11.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	81.0	92.0	173.0	-11.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	85.6	73.8	159.4	+11.8	79%

This opponent (Araberri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Araberri

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palencia

96-97

-1

A24/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

104-74

104

+30

H28/01

Primera FEB

Manresa

88-99

-11

A11/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

90-97

-7

H17/02

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#14

89-77

+12

A25/02

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

83-81

H03/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

#13

70-71

-1

A11/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

49-75

-26

H17/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#15

70-82

-12

A21/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

93-84

H25/03

Primera FEB

24-24

22-21

28-31

32-22

20-17

29-21

23-14

26-20

21-31

23-28

18-20

23-22

25-22

23-35

19-18

25-19

18-18

26-24

20-16

26-20

22-22

16-21

19-18

22-24

11-14

20-13

17-20

11-14

8-27

14-21

16-13

25-24

17-17

15-21

13-20

27-17

22-15

27-26

17-26

166.9Avg total

83.2Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	82.4	83.3	165.8	-0.9	45%
Season at home (15)	84.0	81.0	165.0	+3.0	67%
Season away (14)	80.8	85.9	166.6	-5.1	21%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	83.7	166.9	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	78.6	151.6	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.8	82.3	157.2	-7.5	33%
vs Similar (23)	83.8	84.3	168.1	-0.5	43%
vs Weaker (1)	88.0	66.0	154.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BreoganAraberri

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.2	40.4	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	22.6	44.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.6	44.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	16.1	37.2	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	13.9	36.0	+8.3	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	15.8	37.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	14.4	37.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.2	15.9	37.1	+5.3	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	100%	-

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prat Joventut

38-44

-6

A23/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

32-28

H28/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

41-43

-2

A09/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

32-30

H17/02

Primera FEB

Castello

53-40

+13

A23/02

Primera FEB

Palencia

38-39

-1

H04/03

Primera FEB

Manresa

30-43

-13

A11/03

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#14

53-31

+22

H16/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

#13

42-35

A21/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#15

44-24

+20

H25/03

Primera FEB

76.0Avg total

40.3Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	35.8	77.6	+6.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	31.9	76.4	+12.7	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	39.3	78.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.7	76.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.4	75.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	37.0	42.0	79.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	42.0	35.6	77.6	+6.3	72%	-

This opponent (Araberri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AraberriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palencia

46-45

A24/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

52-39

+13

H28/01

Primera FEB

Manresa

47-51

-4

A11/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

48-44

H17/02

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#14

43-37

A25/02

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

48-42

H03/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

#13

33-38

-5

A11/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

19-41

-22

H17/03

Primera FEB

Huesca

#15

42-41

A21/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

49-32

+17

H25/03

Primera FEB

83.7Avg total

42.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	41.2	82.8	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	44.2	84.9	-3.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	41.0	83.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.8	43.0	80.8	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (23)	42.3	43.2	85.5	-0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	28.0	62.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.6	39.2	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	15.7	39.7	+8.3	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	16.1	38.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	31.0	29.0	60.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.1	44.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.2	19.7	35.8	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	21.6	43.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	13.0	21.0	34.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.8	21.7	42.4	-0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	17.0	47.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	38.6	82.3	+5.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.0	35.9	81.9	+10.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	40.9	82.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.3	80.9	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.4	82.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	44.0	50.0	94.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	43.7	38.2	81.9	+5.4	66%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.7	81.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	41.6	81.7	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	39.8	74.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.0	39.3	76.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar (23)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.3	52%	-
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	38.0	92.0	+16.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Breogan wins

Araberri wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/17	Araberri v Breogan	97-91
15/04/17	Araberri v Breogan	86-84
17/12/16	Breogan v Araberri	80-88

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/18	H	Huesca	91-53
21/03/18	A	Iberojet Palma	70-80
16/03/18	H	Barcelona B	105-64
11/03/18	A	Manresa	78-90
04/03/18	H	Palencia	80-82
23/02/18	A	Castello	91-89
17/02/18	H	Melilla	78-67
09/02/18	A	Caceres	84-77
28/01/18	H	Forca Lleida	81-49
23/01/18	A	Prat Joventut	81-79

Araberrilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/18	H	Forca Lleida	93-84
21/03/18	A	Huesca	70-82
17/03/18	H	Prat Joventut	49-75
11/03/18	A	Iberojet Palma	70-71
03/03/18	H	Valladolid	83-81
25/02/18	A	Barcelona B	89-77
17/02/18	H	Ourense	90-97
11/02/18	A	Manresa	88-99
28/01/18	H	Oviedo	104-74
24/01/18	A	Palencia	96-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan

Primera FEB 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	79%
Home	WWLWW	93%
Away	WWWLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	79%	93%	67%
Points / game	85.6	90.6	81.0
Allowed / game	73.8	67.8	79.5
Point differential	+11.8	+22.8	+1.5
Avg total	159.4	158.4	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	93%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	0% (1)	100% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Araberri

Primera FEB 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	45%
Home	WLWLW	67%
Away	LLWLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	45%	67%	21%
Points / game	82.4	84.0	80.8
Allowed / game	83.3	81.0	85.9
Point differential	-0.9	+3.0	-5.1
Avg total	165.8	165.0	166.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	60% (5)	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	29	23	6	79%	85.6	73.8	+11.8
2	Manresa	29	22	7	76%	79.7	72.3	+7.3
3	Prat Joventut	29	22	7	76%	73.6	67.0	+6.6
4	Oviedo	29	19	10	66%	76.3	73.7	+2.6
5	Melilla	29	18	11	62%	73.9	71.2	+2.8
6	Castello	30	16	14	53%	77.3	77.5	-0.2
7	Palencia	29	15	14	52%	75.1	73.3	+1.8
8	Leyma Coruna	29	15	14	52%	76.5	75.2	+1.3
9	Valladolid	30	15	15	50%	78.4	76.6	+1.8
10	Araberri	29	13	16	45%	82.4	83.3	-0.9
11	Ourense	29	12	17	41%	75.2	76.0	-0.8
12	Forca Lleida	29	11	18	38%	74.9	77.3	-2.3
13	Caceres	29	11	18	38%	74.9	79.9	-5.0
14	Clavijo	30	11	19	37%	73.9	78.1	-4.2
15	Huesca	30	11	19	37%	70.5	75.3	-4.8
16	Barcelona B	29	10	19	34%	75.0	80.6	-5.6
17	Iberojet Palma	30	10	20	33%	72.6	77.0	-4.3
18	Iraurgi SB	30	10	20	33%	69.6	76.7	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Breogan	19	37	27	23	106
Araberri	37	15	32	14	98

← all games of the day

Breogan vs Araberri Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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