Breogan vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 81-72

22-22 25-14 11-19 23-17

Position#1

Record10-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game68.2

Breogan 🏆

Melilla

Position#14

Record5-8

FormLWLWL

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game80.1

Primera FEBRound 15

Other2020-21

Meetings · Breogan v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#14

67-74

-7

A20/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

90-53

+37

H25/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

68-60

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

79-71

H05/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

76-65

+11

A13/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

76-63

+13

H18/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

80-66

+14

H23/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

83-79

A03/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

68-72

-4

H09/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

80-70

+10

A17/01

Primera FEB

13-22

18-15

19-14

17-23

18-13

26-13

27-16

19-11

22-14

17-21

20-16

9-9

20-6

20-17

20-23

19-25

21-10

19-16

10-22

26-17

20-14

25-19

19-18

12-12

21-20

16-13

29-13

14-20

28-17

16-20

22-18

17-24

13-12

20-22

13-20

22-18

25-18

21-19

19-13

15-20

144.0Avg total

76.7Scored

67.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	77.7	68.2	145.9	+9.4	83%
Season at home (6)	80.0	67.8	147.8	+12.2	83%
Season away (6)	75.3	68.7	144.0	+6.7	83%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	67.3	144.0	+9.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	70.0	147.4	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	77.5	77.3	154.7	+0.2	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	80.9	68.4	149.3	+12.5	84%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tizona Burgos

#18

93-88

H06/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

71-93

-22

A15/11

Primera FEB

Breogan

74-67

H20/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

84-89 OT

-5

A13/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

81-70

+11

H18/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

58-71

-13

H22/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

90-88

A15/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

72-80

-8

H23/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

78-75

H29/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

80-82

-2

A02/02

Primera FEB

23-28

25-18

21-25

24-17

20-24

19-19

18-22

14-28

22-13

15-18

14-19

23-17

19-22

30-28

13-17

17-12

21-11

21-18

16-22

23-19

12-10

17-33

15-13

14-15

29-19

22-18

17-23

22-28

16-17

17-20

16-20

23-23

26-15

15-19

21-19

16-22

22-21

21-21

20-17

17-23

158.4Avg total

78.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.5	80.1	155.5	-4.6	38%
Season at home (7)	75.7	75.1	150.9	+0.6	57%
Season away (6)	75.2	85.8	161.0	-10.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	80.3	158.4	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	79.2	154.8	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	74.2	79.4	153.6	-5.2	40%
vs Similar (15)	73.4	76.1	149.5	-2.7	40%
vs Weaker (10)	84.8	70.6	155.4	+14.2	90%

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BreoganMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	16.6	37.6	+4.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	14.9	35.9	+6.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	18.4	39.6	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	14.6	34.7	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.2	37.6	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.7	15.5	37.2	+6.2	89%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.7	18.7	42.4	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	18.9	37.6	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	17.2	35.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	20.8	40.8	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	15.6	36.5	+5.3	90%	-

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#14

31-37

-6

A20/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

44-26

+18

H25/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-35

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

40-23

+17

H05/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

40-26

+14

A13/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

45-33

+12

H18/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

37-33

H23/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

44-37

A03/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

33-34

-1

H09/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

46-37

A17/01

Primera FEB

72.0Avg total

39.9Scored

32.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	33.4	75.8	+8.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	37.3	77.2	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	32.1	72.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	34.8	75.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	40.5	39.7	80.3	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.6	32.6	74.2	+8.9	84%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tizona Burgos

#18

48-46

H06/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-43

-4

A15/11

Primera FEB

Breogan

37-31

H20/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

49-50

-1

A13/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

42-29

+13

H18/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

29-43

-14

H22/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

51-37

+14

A15/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

33-37

-4

H23/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

41-34

H29/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

43-42

A02/02

Primera FEB

80.4Avg total

41.2Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	36.8	76.1	+2.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.4	33.5	71.9	+4.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-1.0	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	38.6	78.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.6	37.0	73.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.4	38.5	74.9	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.6	34.3	78.9	+10.3	80%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.3	37.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	18.5	37.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	17.6	36.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.3	36.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	17.3	36.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.6	16.6	36.3	+3.0	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	19.4	38.3	-0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.1	74.3	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	36.2	76.6	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	35.9	71.7	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	35.2	72.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	35.2	71.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	36.9	37.5	74.5	-0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.1	35.2	74.3	+3.8	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.8	36.8	74.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.4	39.0	77.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	40.1	76.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.6	76.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.6	42.4	80.0	-4.8	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.6	37.0	73.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.2	36.3	76.5	+3.9	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.0	50.8%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.6%	33.7%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.3	70.0%	73.6%	13.3

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.4	56.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.9	38.7%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.1	75.3%	73.6%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.4	47.8%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.7%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.3%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.5	52.8%	51.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.7%	73.6%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Breogan wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/20	Melilla v Breogan	74-67
07/12/19	Breogan v Melilla	88-84
17/02/18	Breogan v Melilla	78-67
27/10/17	Melilla v Breogan	79-83
17/03/17	Melilla v Breogan	101-105 OT
26/11/16	Breogan v Melilla	80-76
15/01/16	Melilla v Breogan	70-61
17/10/15	Breogan v Melilla	69-68
28/02/15	Breogan v Melilla	86-74
16/11/14	Melilla v Breogan	77-83

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/21	A	Real Valladolid	80-70
09/01/21	H	Leyma Coruna	68-72
03/01/21	A	Tizona Burgos	83-79
23/12/20	H	Oviedo	80-66
18/12/20	H	Caceres	76-63
13/12/20	A	Palencia	76-65
05/12/20	H	Ourense	79-71
01/12/20	A	Leyma Coruna	68-60
25/11/20	H	Tizona Burgos	90-53
20/11/20	A	Melilla	67-74

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/21	A	Caceres	80-82
29/01/21	H	Leyma Coruna	78-75
23/01/21	H	Oviedo	72-80
15/01/21	A	Tizona Burgos	90-88
22/12/20	H	Palencia	58-71
18/12/20	H	Ourense	81-70
13/12/20	A	Real Valladolid	84-89 OT
20/11/20	H	Breogan	74-67
15/11/20	A	Leyma Coruna	71-93
06/11/20	H	Tizona Burgos	93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	83%	83%	83%
Points / game	77.7	80.0	75.3
Allowed / game	68.2	67.8	68.7
Point differential	+9.4	+12.2	+6.7
Avg total	145.9	147.8	144.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	38%
Home	WWLLW	57%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	38%	57%	17%
Points / game	75.5	75.7	75.2
Allowed / game	80.1	75.1	85.8
Point differential	-4.6	+0.6	-10.7
Avg total	155.5	150.9	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	12	10	2	83%	77.7	68.2	+9.4
2	Castello	13	10	3	77%	81.1	73.9	+7.2
3	Alicante	14	10	4	71%	80.3	72.9	+7.4
4	Leyma Coruna	12	8	4	67%	75.0	69.7	+5.3
5	Granada	11	7	4	64%	81.6	73.9	+7.7
6	Almansa	11	7	4	64%	77.2	74.7	+2.5
7	Oviedo	12	7	5	58%	76.8	75.7	+1.1
8	Palencia	13	7	6	54%	73.1	69.5	+3.6
9	Real Valladolid	13	7	6	54%	80.0	78.5	+1.5
10	Forca Lleida	13	7	6	54%	72.9	73.9	-1.0
11	Fibwi Palma	13	7	6	54%	79.9	81.2	-1.2
12	Basquet Girona	12	5	7	42%	75.5	76.6	-1.1
13	Melilla	13	5	8	38%	75.5	80.1	-4.6
14	Caceres	12	4	8	33%	72.4	76.2	-3.8
15	Real Murcia	12	4	8	33%	67.6	73.2	-5.6
16	Tizona Burgos	12	4	8	33%	76.3	84.5	-8.2
17	Ourense	13	4	9	31%	74.8	78.9	-4.1
18	Huesca	14	4	10	29%	68.7	75.6	-6.9
19	Real Canoe	11	1	10	9%	73.5	82.9	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Breogan	22	25	11	23	81
Melilla	22	14	19	17	72

← all games of the day

Breogan vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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