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Brescia vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 110-74
25-22 26-21 31-16 28-15
Position#13
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.1
Brescia 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
83-68
83
68
+15
76avg 79
H20/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 79
A23/11
Eurocup
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
84-122
84
122
-38
no box
A23/11
NCAA
Trieste
#15
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
A26/11
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
60-80
60
80
-20
51avg 79
H29/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
93avg 79
H04/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 79
A07/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A10/12
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A14/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 79
H18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-17
18-19
22-16
21-21
30-28
17-24
18-18
0-0
31-61
0-0
53-61
21-19
18-27
25-19
17-16
13-21
11-25
14-18
22-16
26-15
21-23
34-22
14-12
14-26
22-17
20-14
14-22
25-20
22-24
17-14
15-24
29-20
14-24
17-18
23-18
19-25
13-24
26-18
19-22
166.1Avg total
80.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.180.1159.2-1.038%
Season at home (3)77.773.7151.3+4.033%
Season away (5)80.084.0164.0-4.040%
Last 10 (10)80.885.3166.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)80.880.4161.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.790.0161.7-18.314%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.984.2164.1-4.336%
vs Weaker (9)92.682.3174.9+10.267%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
86-90
86
90
-4
83avg 80
H02/11
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
no box
H19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 80
A22/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
95-80
95
80
+15
88avg 80
H30/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
65-78
65
78
-13
58avg 80
A06/12
Eurocup
Konyaspor
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 80
H13/12
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-25
18-17
27-25
23-29
22-21
20-24
23-19
30-17
15-24
20-26
24-13
19-16
26-16
12-19
17-18
24-19
18-23
25-13
28-25
23-22
14-30
22-26
32-25
18-20
13-14
17-29
17-15
29-25
24-23
27-16
19-23
16-22
20-13
20-11
19-23
25-23
26-11
28-25
17-26
169.2Avg total
85.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.079.0161.0+3.062%
Season at home (4)84.277.8162.0+6.575%
Season away (4)79.880.2160.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)85.883.4169.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)85.284.4169.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.283.9169.1+1.360%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.581.5164.0+0.955%
vs Weaker (9)86.170.6156.7+15.689%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
BresciaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A23/11
Eurocup
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A23/11
NCAA
Trieste
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/11
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H29/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A10/12
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H18/12
Lega A
84.6Avg total
39.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.783.4-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.242.184.3+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)37.844.982.7-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.384.6-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.684.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.944.176.0-12.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.543.683.1-4.143%-
vs Weaker (9)46.243.389.6+2.944%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H02/11
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A22/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H30/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
Eurocup
Konyaspor
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H13/12
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.2Avg total
42.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.180.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.839.582.3+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.879.4+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.684.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.241.083.2+1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.342.182.4-1.845%-
vs Weaker (9)42.733.476.1+9.289%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.1
49.5%
53.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
74.2%14.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.7
51.8%
53.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.1
40.7%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.013.9
69.5%
74.2%13.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLLWLWLLW
Bursaspor
WWWLLWWWLL
#13
League position
#15
-1.8
Net rating
+4.3
110.7
Offensive rating
112.2
112.5
Defensive rating
107.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.5%
3-point %
40.7%
60.4%
Assist %
61.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 112.2Defence112.5 · 107.9Shooting52.2% · 55.9%3-point %37.5% · 40.7%Ball care18.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
0
Bursaspor wins
No previous meetings.
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HVirtus Bologna77-89
14/12/22ACedevita Olimpija83-80
10/12/22AVenezia79-82
07/12/22ALietkabelis70-79
04/12/22HBasket Napoli95-72
29/11/22HVenezia60-80
26/11/22ATrieste91-90 OT
23/11/22AEastern Kentucky84-122
23/11/22ACluj-Napoca86-91
20/11/22HTortona83-68
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/22HManisa96-85
13/12/22HLietkabelis75-69
10/12/22AKonyaspor99-87
06/12/22AVenezia65-78
03/12/22HBuyukcekmece91-103
30/11/22HCluj-Napoca95-80
26/11/22ABahcesehir Kol.74-69
22/11/22AJL Bourg89-80
19/11/22HGalatasaray88-93
02/11/22HUlm86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game79.177.780.0
Allowed / game80.173.784.0
Point differential-1.0+4.0-4.0
Avg total159.2151.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Bursaspor
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game82.084.279.8
Allowed / game79.077.880.2
Point differential+3.0+6.5-0.5
Avg total161.0162.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom86275%86.179.0+7.1
2 Gran Canaria86275%84.279.2+5.0
3 JL Bourg86275%84.983.0+1.9
4 Buducnost85362%79.272.0+7.2
5 Venezia85362%79.174.2+4.9
6 Joventut Badalona85362%81.877.9+3.9
7 Bursaspor85362%82.079.0+3.0
8 Paris85362%82.581.4+1.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv95456%87.478.4+9.0
10 Promitheas95456%81.983.6-1.7
11 Prometey84450%88.588.8-0.2
12 Lietkabelis84450%79.580.6-1.1
13 London Lions84450%79.681.1-1.5
14 Ulm84450%85.690.4-4.8
15 Brescia83538%79.180.1-1.0
16 Cluj-Napoca83538%86.888.2-1.5
17 Hamburg83538%82.185.5-3.4
18 Trento82625%73.082.4-9.4
19 Cedevita Olimpija81712%83.888.8-5.0
20 Slask Wroclaw8080%73.988.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia25263128110
Bursaspor2221161574
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