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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-89
19-25 13-24 26-18 19-22
Position#8
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.8
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#161
L
45-112
45
112
-67
no box
A13/11
NCAA
Tortona
#3
W
83-68
83
68
+15
76avg 79
H20/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 79
A23/11
Eurocup
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
84-122
84
122
-38
no box
A23/11
NCAA
Trieste
#15
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
A26/11
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
60-80
60
80
-20
51avg 79
H29/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
93avg 79
H04/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 79
A07/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A10/12
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A14/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-43
0-0
25-69
22-16
21-17
18-19
22-16
21-21
30-28
17-24
18-18
0-0
31-61
0-0
53-61
21-19
18-27
25-19
17-16
13-21
11-25
14-18
22-16
26-15
21-23
34-22
14-12
14-26
22-17
20-14
14-22
25-20
22-24
17-14
15-24
29-20
14-24
17-18
23-18
165.2Avg total
77.6Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.583.3169.8+3.250%
Season at home (5)89.080.4169.4+8.680%
Season away (5)84.086.2170.2-2.220%
Last 10 (10)77.687.6165.2-10.040%
Last 5 (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.890.2161.0-19.317%
vs Similar (14)79.984.2164.1-4.336%
vs Weaker (10)90.782.2172.9+8.560%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 79
A20/11
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 79
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 79
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
72avg 79
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
108-100
108
100
+8
114avg 79
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-117
71
117
-46
64avg 79
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 79
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 79
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 79
H16/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
24-17
16-18
11-19
21-12
20-26
21-29
14-9
18-19
16-21
19-23
27-22
32-19
18-19
29-12
19-18
23-17
18-25
14-25
19-16
28-20
28-27
23-22
29-31
15-31
20-30
20-23
16-33
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
18-15
22-14
23-23
22-24
20-16
24-25
13-19
21-13
166.5Avg total
82.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.373.8160.1+12.590%
Season at home (5)87.273.6160.8+13.680%
Season away (5)85.474.0159.4+11.4100%
Last 10 (10)82.783.8166.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)83.890.0173.8-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.188.9164.0-13.729%
vs Similar (11)75.075.2150.2-0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.073.4158.4+11.691%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#161
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Tortona
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A23/11
Eurocup
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A23/11
NCAA
Trieste
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/11
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H29/11
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A10/12
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Eurocup
82.8Avg total
38.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.183.1-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.141.584.6+1.658%-
Last 30 away (18)38.044.282.2-6.228%-
Last 10 (10)38.144.782.8-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.843.375.2-11.517%-
vs Similar (14)39.543.683.1-4.143%-
vs Weaker (10)45.742.287.9+3.550%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/11
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A04/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
41.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.679.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.836.377.1+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.042.181.1-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.481.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.884.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.345.783.0-8.414%-
vs Similar (11)40.135.875.9+4.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.640.683.3+2.055%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.9
50.1%
51.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.4
37.8%
36.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.9
78.4%
76.1%14.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.4
59.0%
51.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
36.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
76.1%16.6
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWLWLLWL
Virtus Bologna
WWLLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#2
-0.6
Net rating
+5.2
112.0
Offensive rating
112.8
112.5
Defensive rating
107.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
57.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.8%
3-point %
36.8%
60.4%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 112.8Defence112.5 · 107.7Shooting52.7% · 57.4%3-point %37.8% · 36.8%Ball care17.7% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.8% · 25.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22ACedevita Olimpija83-80
10/12/22AVenezia79-82
07/12/22ALietkabelis70-79
04/12/22HBasket Napoli95-72
29/11/22HVenezia60-80
26/11/22ATrieste91-90 OT
23/11/22AEastern Kentucky84-122
23/11/22ACluj-Napoca86-91
20/11/22HTortona83-68
13/11/22AWestern Carolina45-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-73
14/12/22HAlba Berlin85-76
11/12/22HScafati77-84
09/12/22AOlympiacos71-117
04/12/22AVarese108-100
02/12/22ACrvena zvezda74-83
27/11/22HBrindisi98-68
25/11/22HAnadolu Efes80-85
23/11/22APanathinaikos85-88 OT
20/11/22ATrento71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game86.589.084.0
Allowed / game83.380.486.2
Point differential+3.2+8.6-2.2
Avg total169.8169.4170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%80%100%
Points / game86.387.285.4
Allowed / game73.873.674.0
Point differential+12.5+13.6+11.4
Avg total160.1160.8159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna109190%86.373.8+12.5
2 Olimpia Milano119282%82.571.9+10.5
3 Tortona107370%79.272.7+6.5
4 Varese117464%93.191.9+1.2
5 Trento117464%74.974.6+0.3
6 Pesaro106460%88.884.6+4.2
7 Brescia105550%86.583.3+3.2
8 Venezia105550%79.177.4+1.7
9 Sassari115645%78.578.8-0.3
10 Brindisi115645%79.183.1-4.0
11 Scafati104640%77.979.4-1.5
12 Basket Napoli114736%77.282.0-4.8
13 Verona103730%78.688.7-10.1
14 Treviso113827%75.982.2-6.3
15 Trieste113827%80.289.5-9.3
16 Reggiana102820%70.873.4-2.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1913261977
Virtus Bologna2524182289
← all games of the day
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