On 20 November 2026 the Bristol Flyers host the Cheshire Phoenix in the SLB, with the model favouring the away side and predicting a tight contest that will likely go into overtime. The Flyers, 6-5 overall with 78.3 points per game and 78.5 allowed, have struggled at home, 2-3 with 74.2 points scored and 74.6 conceded, and are 3rd in the league; their last five games were 3-2 and they recently beat Manchester Basketball 86-84 away, beat Dubrava 81-66 at home and lost to Surrey 53-68 at home. Cheshire, 4-6 overall with 91.5 points scored and 94.4 allowed, sits 7th and is stronger on the road, 3-2 with 96.0 points scored and 93.2 allowed; their last five were 2-3 and they recently lost to Newcastle 61-89 at home, lost to Sheffield 84-86 away and beat Manchester 93-90 away. In their last ten meetings Cheshire has won six to Bristol's four, though Bristol won the most recent encounter 101-92 on 20 September 2026. Pythia gives the Flyers a 44% chance of winning, the Phoenix 56%, projects a score of 87-89 and a total of 176.2 points, and a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 78.3 | 78.5 | 156.7 | -0.2 | 55% |
| Season at home (5) | 74.2 | 74.6 | 148.8 | -0.4 | 40% |
| Season away (6) | 81.7 | 81.7 | 163.3 | +0.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.8 | 78.3 | 157.1 | +0.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.0 | 72.2 | 147.2 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 75.5 | 88.3 | 163.8 | -12.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar ◀ (17) | 81.7 | 82.6 | 164.3 | -0.9 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 85.7 | 73.3 | 159.0 | +12.3 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 91.5 | 94.4 | 185.9 | -2.9 | 40% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.0 | 95.6 | 182.6 | -8.6 | 20% |
| Season away (5) | 96.0 | 93.2 | 189.2 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.5 | 94.4 | 185.9 | -2.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.2 | 96.0 | 185.2 | -6.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 83.7 | 92.8 | 176.4 | -9.1 | 33% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 95.5 | 94.8 | 190.3 | +0.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 103.3 | 88.9 | 192.2 | +14.5 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.4 | 41.7 | 81.1 | -2.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.1 | 40.3 | 80.3 | -0.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.8 | 43.1 | 81.9 | -4.3 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.6 | 39.1 | 77.7 | -0.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.4 | 39.2 | 78.6 | +0.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 36.3 | 44.0 | 80.3 | -7.7 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (17) | 40.9 | 41.1 | 81.9 | -0.2 | 59% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.7 | 37.7 | 79.3 | +4.0 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.4 | 45.4 | 92.8 | +1.9 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 47.9 | 45.8 | 93.6 | +2.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 46.9 | 45.1 | 92.1 | +1.8 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.4 | 45.9 | 89.3 | -2.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 48.0 | 91.2 | -4.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 40.0 | 47.4 | 87.4 | -7.4 | 22% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 47.7 | 45.7 | 93.3 | +2.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 51.7 | 44.1 | 95.8 | +7.5 | 80% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 17.1 | 50.9% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 10.8 | 34.9% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 12.6 | 70.8% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.7 | 21.4 | 50.9% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.7 | 12.8 | 34.9% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 17.5 | 70.8% | 17.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/09/26 | Cheshire Phoenix v Bristol Flyers | 92-101 |
| 29/03/26 | Cheshire Phoenix v Bristol Flyers | 116-73 |
| 20/02/26 | Bristol Flyers v Cheshire Phoenix | 94-95 |
| 23/11/25 | Cheshire Phoenix v Bristol Flyers | 111-84 |
| 24/10/25 | Bristol Flyers v Cheshire Phoenix | 86-95 |
| 25/04/25 | Bristol Flyers v Cheshire Phoenix | 81-93 |
| 02/02/25 | Cheshire Phoenix v Bristol Flyers | 94-122 |
| 15/12/24 | Cheshire Phoenix v Bristol Flyers | 92-86 |
| 08/12/24 | Cheshire Phoenix v Bristol Flyers | 102-108 |
| 06/12/24 | Bristol Flyers v Cheshire Phoenix | 92-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 86-84 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Dubrava | 81-66 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Surrey 89ers | 53-68 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 81-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 74-78 |
| 27/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 85-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | London Lions | 76-82 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Liverpool | 90-89 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Syntainics MBC | 84-106 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Leicester Riders | 78-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 61-89 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Sheffield Sharks | 84-86 OT |
| 06/11/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 93-90 OT |
| 30/10/26 | A | Liverpool | 117-108 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Surrey 89ers | 91-107 |
| 18/10/26 | H | London Lions | 83-87 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 105-91 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Leicester Riders | 108-94 |
| 23/09/26 | A | London Lions | 81-91 |
| 20/09/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 92-101 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 55% |
| Home | LWWLL | 40% |
| Away | LWLWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| Win % | 55% | 40% | 67% |
| Points / game | 78.3 | 74.2 | 81.7 |
| Allowed / game | 78.5 | 74.6 | 81.7 |
| Point differential | -0.2 | -0.4 | +0.0 |
| Avg total | 156.7 | 148.8 | 163.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 33% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 40% |
| Home | LWLLL | 20% |
| Away | LWWWL | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Points / game | 91.5 | 87.0 | 96.0 |
| Allowed / game | 94.4 | 95.6 | 93.2 |
| Point differential | -2.9 | -8.6 | +2.8 |
| Avg total | 185.9 | 182.6 | 189.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 81.4 | 75.9 | +5.5 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 85.1 | 75.2 | +9.9 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 78.3 | 78.5 | -0.2 | |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 83.9 | 82.7 | +1.2 |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 81.8 | 81.4 | +0.4 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 81.5 | 83.5 | -1.9 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 91.5 | 94.4 | -2.9 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 78.9 | 81.6 | -2.8 | |
| 9 | Caledonia Gladiators | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 83.4 | 92.8 | -9.4 |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 85.0 | 88.3 | -3.3 |
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