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Bristol Flyers vs Cheshire Phoenix Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 87-89
Projected total 176.2
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.5
Vs
44%
56%
■ BRIS 44%■ CHES 56%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game94.4
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Cheshire Phoenix
29 Jan 2027
BRIS v CHES
upcoming
20 Nov 2026
BRIS v CHES
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
BRIS94
CHES95
24 Oct 2025
BRIS86
CHES95
25 Apr 2025
BRIS81
CHES93
06 Dec 2024
BRIS92
CHES83
08 Nov 2024
BRIS84
CHES88
03 May 2024
BRIS77
CHES91
10 Feb 2024
BRIS76
CHES78
27 Oct 2023
BRIS74
CHES70
14 Apr 2023
BRIS87
CHES73
18 Nov 2022
BRIS78
CHES73
06 Nov 2021
BRIS76
CHES68
12 Mar 2021
BRIS75
CHES81
12 Feb 2021
BRIS69
CHES71
01 Feb 2020
BRIS98
CHES94
26 Jan 2019
BRIS63
CHES68
24 Mar 2018
BRIS91
CHES82
03 Mar 2018
BRIS96
CHES93
13 Oct 2017
BRIS79
CHES82
07 Apr 2017
BRIS91
CHES78
18 Mar 2016
BRIS86
CHES78
26 Sep 2015
BRIS82
CHES90
15 Nov 2014
BRIS73
CHES86
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 20 November 2026 the Bristol Flyers host the Cheshire Phoenix in the SLB, with the model favouring the away side and predicting a tight contest that will likely go into overtime. The Flyers, 6-5 overall with 78.3 points per game and 78.5 allowed, have struggled at home, 2-3 with 74.2 points scored and 74.6 conceded, and are 3rd in the league; their last five games were 3-2 and they recently beat Manchester Basketball 86-84 away, beat Dubrava 81-66 at home and lost to Surrey 53-68 at home. Cheshire, 4-6 overall with 91.5 points scored and 94.4 allowed, sits 7th and is stronger on the road, 3-2 with 96.0 points scored and 93.2 allowed; their last five were 2-3 and they recently lost to Newcastle 61-89 at home, lost to Sheffield 84-86 away and beat Manchester 93-90 away. In their last ten meetings Cheshire has won six to Bristol's four, though Bristol won the most recent encounter 101-92 on 20 September 2026. Pythia gives the Flyers a 44% chance of winning, the Phoenix 56%, projects a score of 87-89 and a total of 176.2 points, and a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers win
44.2%fair 2.26
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cheshire Phoenix win
55.8%fair 1.79
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 73
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
68avg 73
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 73
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 73
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 73
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 73
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
53-68
53
68
-15
no box
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
23-21
17-13
22-24
26-24
13-21
22-34
23-27
25-22
18-27
28-15
19-25
8-17
20-20
17-24
31-21
19-20
21-8
18-28
27-16
23-24
12-11
18-24
21-19
28-12
15-27
17-17
21-9
17-20
19-13
4-17
13-18
21-18
21-25
25-8
14-15
25-20
16-26
23-25
22-13
157.1Avg total
78.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.378.5156.7-0.255%
Season at home (5)74.274.6148.8-0.440%
Season away (6)81.781.7163.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)78.878.3157.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)75.072.2147.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.588.3163.8-12.810%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.782.6164.3-0.947%
vs Weaker (3)85.773.3159.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Cheshire Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cheshire PhoenixUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhoenix
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
92-101
92
101
-9
81avg 90
H20/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 90
A23/09
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
108-94
108
94
+14
102avg 90
H27/09
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
W
105-91
105
91
+14
99avg 90
A09/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
72avg 90
H18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
91-107
91
107
-16
84avg 90
H25/10
SLB
Liverpool
#4
W
117-108
117
108
+9
117avg 90
A30/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A06/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A08/11
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
H15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
23-21
22-26
18-21
12-20
11-24
25-27
33-20
30-18
25-19
28-23
25-34
20-26
33-13
27-21
25-31
17-18
18-27
27-21
21-21
22-32
35-26
17-20
17-29
34-28
32-25
29-20
22-35
15-27
17-20
30-10
17-22
28-15
9-24
24-15
14-21
8-25
16-18
18-25
19-21
185.9Avg total
91.5Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.594.4185.9-2.940%
Season at home (5)87.095.6182.6-8.620%
Season away (5)96.093.2189.2+2.860%
Last 10 (10)91.594.4185.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)89.296.0185.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.792.8176.4-9.133%
vs Similar ◀ (6)95.594.8190.3+0.750%
vs Weaker (15)103.388.9192.2+14.580%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
76.8%
Under 164
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
66.2%
Under 169
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
54.3%
Under 174
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bristol Flyers total 81
Over 81
73.1%
Under 81
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol Flyers total 85
Over 85
58.5%
Under 85
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol Flyers total 89
Over 89
42.6%
Under 89
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cheshire Phoenix total 80
Over 80
81.3%
Under 80
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cheshire Phoenix total 84
Over 84
68.7%
Under 84
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cheshire Phoenix total 88
Over 88
53.3%
Under 88
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bristol Flyers -3
BRIS -3
35.2%
CHES +3
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
BRIS
No market prices yet.
CHES
No market prices yet.
Spread Bristol Flyers 0
BRIS 0
44.2%
CHES 0
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
BRIS
No market prices yet.
CHES
No market prices yet.
Spread Bristol Flyers +3
BRIS +3
53.3%
CHES -3
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
BRIS
No market prices yet.
CHES
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
Bristol FlyersCheshire Phoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
SLB
77.7Avg total
38.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.1-2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.380.3-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.181.9-4.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.177.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.344.080.3-7.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.941.181.9-0.259%-
vs Weaker (3)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Cheshire Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cheshire PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H20/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A23/09
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H27/09
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A09/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H18/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H25/10
SLB
Liverpool
#4
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A30/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/11
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/11
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H15/11
SLB
89.3Avg total
43.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.492.8+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.945.893.6+2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)46.945.192.1+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.989.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.091.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.047.487.4-7.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)47.745.793.3+2.033%-
vs Weaker (15)51.744.195.8+7.580%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.1
48.7%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.8
34.1%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.6
74.6%
70.8%12.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cheshire Phoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cheshire Phoenix: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.4
56.8%
50.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.8
38.0%
34.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws24.517.5
71.4%
70.8%17.5
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
WWLWLWLWLW
Cheshire Phoenix
LLWWLLWWLL
#3
League position
#7
-3.9
Net rating
+1.2
89.2
Offensive rating
103.5
93.1
Defensive rating
102.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
38.0%
52.0%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 103.5Defence93.1 · 102.4Shooting49.9% · 56.9%3-point %34.1% · 38.0%Ball care15.6% · 13.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Cheshire Phoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AManchester Basketball86-84
11/11/26HDubrava81-66
08/11/26HSurrey 89ers53-68
06/11/26ANewcastle Eagles81-65
30/10/26HManchester Basketball74-78
27/10/26ABK Liepaja85-72
24/10/26ALondon Lions76-82
18/10/26HLiverpool90-89
13/10/26ASyntainics MBC84-106
09/10/26ALeicester Riders78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNewcastle Eagles61-89
08/11/26ASheffield Sharks84-86 OT
06/11/26AManchester Basketball93-90 OT
30/10/26ALiverpool117-108
25/10/26HSurrey 89ers91-107
18/10/26HLondon Lions83-87
09/10/26AManchester Basketball105-91
27/09/26HLeicester Riders108-94
23/09/26ALondon Lions81-91
20/09/26HBristol Flyers92-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game78.374.281.7
Allowed / game78.574.681.7
Point differential-0.2-0.4+0.0
Avg total156.7148.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cheshire Phoenix
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game91.587.096.0
Allowed / game94.495.693.2
Point differential-2.9-8.6+2.8
Avg total185.9182.6189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions109190%81.475.9+5.5
2 Newcastle Eagles117464%85.175.2+9.9
3 Bristol Flyers116555%78.378.5-0.2
4 Liverpool105550%83.982.7+1.2
5 Sheffield Sharks84450%81.881.4+0.4
6 Manchester Basketball115645%81.583.5-1.9
7 Cheshire Phoenix104640%91.594.4-2.9
8 Surrey 89ers83538%78.981.6-2.8
9 Caledonia Gladiators83538%83.492.8-9.4
10 Leicester Riders92722%85.088.3-3.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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