The Bristol Flyers host the Surrey 89ers on 8 November 2026 in the SLB, with the model favouring Bristol at 68% to 32% for Surrey, projecting a 85-80 win for the home side and a total of 165.2 points; the home team's line is -6.5 with a 46% chance of covering. Bristol's season record stands at 5-4, 80.2 points per game and 79.0 allowed, placing them third, while their home record is 2-2, 79.5 points and 76.2 allowed; in their last five they went 3-2, including a 81-65 victory over Newcastle Eagles, a 74-78 loss to Manchester Basketball and a 85-72 win over BK Liepaja. Surrey, meanwhile, is 2-4, 81.0 points and 86.7 allowed, ninth in the league, with a road record of 1-2, 76.3 points and 84.0 allowed; their last five were 2-3, featuring a 107-91 win over Cheshire Phoenix, a 76-81 loss to Sheffield Sharks and a 55-82 loss to Newcastle Eagles. In the 10 meetings between the clubs, Bristol leads 6-4, though Surrey most recently edged Bristol 89-79 on 19 April 2026. The model estimates a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 80.2 | 79.0 | 159.2 | +1.2 | 56% |
| Season at home (4) | 79.5 | 76.2 | 155.8 | +3.2 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 80.8 | 81.2 | 162.0 | -0.4 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.0 | 80.2 | 158.2 | -2.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 77.2 | 158.4 | +4.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 75.5 | 88.3 | 163.8 | -12.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 83.4 | 82.9 | 166.2 | +0.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 84.7 | 75.7 | 160.3 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 81.0 | 86.7 | 167.7 | -5.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.7 | 89.3 | 175.0 | -3.7 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 76.3 | 84.0 | 160.3 | -7.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.8 | 91.3 | 174.1 | -8.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.8 | 88.2 | 172.0 | -4.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 81.8 | 95.2 | 177.0 | -13.3 | 8% |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 89.9 | 86.7 | 176.6 | +3.1 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 101.5 | 96.5 | 198.0 | +5.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.1 | 41.5 | 80.6 | -2.4 | 50% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.9 | 40.4 | 80.3 | -0.4 | 50% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.4 | 42.5 | 80.9 | -4.1 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.2 | 40.4 | 76.6 | -4.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 37.6 | 75.4 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 36.3 | 44.0 | 80.3 | -7.7 | 30% | 70% |
| vs Similar ◀ (16) | 41.1 | 40.7 | 81.8 | +0.4 | 56% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 40.7 | 35.3 | 76.0 | +5.3 | 100% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 45.0 | 88.3 | -1.7 | 50% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.6 | 45.5 | 91.1 | +0.1 | 57% | 93% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.3 | 44.6 | 85.9 | -3.2 | 44% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.7 | 46.1 | 87.8 | -4.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 47.4 | 92.2 | -2.6 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 40.7 | 46.1 | 86.8 | -5.4 | 25% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 44.7 | 43.2 | 87.9 | +1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 50.5 | 46.0 | 96.5 | +4.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surrey 89ers over 72.5 | 76.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers +16.5 | 83.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers over 73.5 | 73.2% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers over 69.5 | 84.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers +21.5 | 91.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers over 71.5 | 79.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers +14.5 | 79.4% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers +11.5 | 71.2% | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.31 | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 79.5 | 71.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers +12.5 | 74.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers +18.5 | 97.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers +13.5 | 76.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 71.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers under 100.5 | 93.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 70.5 | 92.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers under 95.5 | 84.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers +13.5 | 94.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers over 74.5 | 85.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers over 78.5 | 74.4% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers under 96.5 | 86.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 72.5 | 89.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers under 98.5 | 90.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers under 94.5 | 82.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 76.5 | 80.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers over 75.5 | 82.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| Over 153.5 | 75.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers under 99.5 | 96.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 84.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | - |
| Surrey 89ers under 98.5 | 95.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers under 97.5 | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 90.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers under 92.5 | 76.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers +8.5 | 87.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers under 95.5 | 92.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 91.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers under 93.5 | 90.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 86.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers under 91.5 | 86.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers +3.5 | 76.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers under 88.5 | 79.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers under 89.5 | 82.0% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 79.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Surrey 89ers under 87.5 | 76.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.1pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers +1.5 | 70.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Lost |
| Surrey 89ers under 85.5 | 70.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 17.1 | 50.9% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 10.8 | 35.0% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 12.6 | 70.4% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 20.7 | 50.9% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 9.1 | 35.0% | 27.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 14.1 | 70.4% | 14.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 | Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers | 79-89 |
| 09/01/26 | Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers | 93-80 |
| 28/12/25 | Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers | 86-87 OT |
| 04/10/25 | Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers | 66-96 |
| 27/04/25 | Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers | 87-86 OT |
| 13/04/25 | Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers | 73-82 |
| 15/02/25 | Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers | 83-89 OT |
| 30/11/24 | Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers | 84-88 |
| 12/10/24 | Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers | 69-92 |
| 05/10/24 | Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers | 86-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 81-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 74-78 |
| 27/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 85-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | London Lions | 76-82 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Liverpool | 90-89 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Syntainics MBC | 84-106 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Leicester Riders | 78-73 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 76-58 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Tindastoll | 68-85 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 68-94 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Sheffield Sharks | 76-81 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 107-91 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 55-82 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Leicester Riders | 107-102 OT |
| 10/10/26 | H | Liverpool | 74-85 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 67-79 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 95-100 |
| 01/05/26 | H | Cheshire Phoenix | 96-128 |
| 25/04/26 | H | London Lions | 62-86 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 89-79 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 56% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | WLWLW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Points / game | 80.2 | 79.5 | 80.8 |
| Allowed / game | 79.0 | 76.2 | 81.2 |
| Point differential | +1.2 | +3.2 | -0.4 |
| Avg total | 159.2 | 155.8 | 162.0 |
| Over 162 | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Win by 10+ | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 33% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Points / game | 81.0 | 85.7 | 76.3 |
| Allowed / game | 86.7 | 89.3 | 84.0 |
| Point differential | -5.7 | -3.7 | -7.7 |
| Avg total | 167.7 | 175.0 | 160.3 |
| Over 162 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 81.6 | 75.8 | +5.8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 84.7 | 76.6 | +8.1 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 80.2 | 79.0 | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.3 | 81.0 | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 96.2 | 96.1 | +0.1 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 81.3 | 83.2 | -1.9 | |
| 7 | Caledonia Gladiators | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 82.3 | 88.7 | -6.3 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 79.9 | 83.2 | -3.4 |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 81.0 | 86.7 | -5.7 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 84.2 | 89.4 | -5.1 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 53 | |
| 20 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 68 |
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