Bristol Flyers host Dubrava in the ENBL on 11 November 2026, with the model favouring the Flyers at 87% because their 1-2 record and 79.0 points per game contrast with Dubrava's 1-1 record and 83.0 points per game, while the Flyers have allowed 87.7 points per game compared to Dubrava's 91.5. The Flyers are 14th in the league, having scored 68.0 points at home and allowed 85.0 in their sole home outing, and have won 2 of their last 5 games, with a recent loss to Surrey 89ers 53-68 at home on 8 November 2026, a win over Newcastle Eagles 81-65 away on 6 November 2026 and a loss to Manchester Basketball 74-78 at home on 30 October 2026. Dubrava, 11th in the standings, has scored 79.0 points on the road and allowed 101.0, winning only 1 of 5 recent games, including a home win over Zabok 81-75 on 7 November 2026, a loss to Kvarner 81-95 away on 31 October 2026 and a loss to Syntainics MBC 79-101 away on 28 October 2026. The model projects a 88-75 score, 162.6 total points, a -7.0 spread with a 71% chance the Flyers cover, a 162.5 total with a 50% over probability, and a 3% overtime likelihood. The Flyers' recent home defeat to Surrey 89ers remains a stark reminder of their early season struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 79.0 | 87.7 | 166.7 | -8.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 68.0 | 85.0 | 153.0 | -17.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 84.5 | 89.0 | 173.5 | -4.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.5 | 77.6 | 154.1 | -1.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.8 | 73.0 | 146.8 | +0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 75.5 | 88.3 | 163.8 | -12.8 | 10% |
| vs Similar (17) | 81.6 | 82.0 | 163.6 | -0.4 | 47% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 84.7 | 75.7 | 160.3 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 83.0 | 91.5 | 174.5 | -8.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 87.0 | 82.0 | 169.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 79.0 | 101.0 | 180.0 | -22.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.5 | 87.0 | 164.5 | -9.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.6 | 88.0 | 164.6 | -11.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 80.2 | 86.2 | 166.4 | -6.0 | 40% |
| vs Similar (13) | 82.2 | 84.1 | 166.3 | -1.8 | 23% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 90.0 | 81.5 | 171.5 | +8.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.3 | 41.0 | 80.3 | -1.7 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.7 | 39.9 | 79.5 | -0.2 | 53% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.9 | 42.1 | 81.0 | -3.3 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.7 | 38.2 | 74.9 | -1.5 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 34.4 | 70.8 | +2.0 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 36.3 | 44.0 | 80.3 | -7.7 | 30% | 70% |
| vs Similar (17) | 40.8 | 40.2 | 81.0 | +0.5 | 59% | 35% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 40.7 | 35.3 | 76.0 | +5.3 | 100% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.4 | 41.5 | 79.9 | -3.1 | 23% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.9 | 40.4 | 79.3 | -1.6 | 29% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.1 | 42.4 | 80.5 | -4.4 | 19% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.6 | 43.8 | 80.4 | -7.2 | 10% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.0 | 45.8 | 78.8 | -12.8 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 36.9 | 42.8 | 79.7 | -5.9 | 13% | 33% |
| vs Similar (13) | 40.2 | 40.4 | 80.5 | -0.2 | 31% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.0 | 39.0 | 78.0 | +0.0 | 50% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Flyers -4 | 80.1% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers -3.5 | 80.6% | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 82 | 72.5% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +19.4pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers -4.5 | 77.9% | 1.42 | 1.49 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +17.0pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers -5 | 77.2% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +16.0pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers -5.5 | 74.9% | 1.48 | 1.54 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers -7 | 70.9% | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.65 | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers -6 | 74.1% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers -6.5 | 71.9% | 1.74 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.76 | +13.9pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 82.5 | 70.1% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers over 81.5 | 73.5% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Bristol Flyers -2.5 | 82.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 80.5 | 76.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 79.5 | 79.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers over 78.5 | 82.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers (regulation) | 85.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Bristol Flyers win | 87.0% | 1.21 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +8.9pp | Won |
| Dubrava under 82.5 | 77.7% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Dubrava under 81.5 | 74.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Dubrava under 80.5 | 71.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 17.1 | 53.5% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 10.8 | 32.5% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 12.6 | 70.7% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.4 | 16.2 | 53.5% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.9 | 10.6 | 32.5% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.8 | 13.5 | 70.7% | 13.5 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Surrey 89ers | 53-68 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 81-65 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 74-78 |
| 27/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 85-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | London Lions | 76-82 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Liverpool | 90-89 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Syntainics MBC | 84-106 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Leicester Riders | 78-73 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 76-58 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Tindastoll | 68-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Zabok | 81-75 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kvarner | 81-95 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Syntainics MBC | 79-101 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Dubrovnik | 80-84 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Dinamo Zagreb | 62-85 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Split | 62-86 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 84-89 |
| 29/09/26 | H | CIU | 87-82 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Skrljevo | 72-81 |
| 19/05/26 | A | Cibona | 87-92 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 33% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 79.0 | 68.0 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 87.7 | 85.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | -8.7 | -17.0 | -4.5 |
| Avg total | 166.7 | 153.0 | 173.5 |
| Over 160 | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 83.0 | 87.0 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 91.5 | 82.0 | 101.0 |
| Point differential | -8.5 | +5.0 | -22.0 |
| Avg total | 174.5 | 169.0 | 180.0 |
| Over 160 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 100.5 | 79.2 | +21.2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 69.3 | +15.3 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.2 | 72.2 | +5.0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 77.5 | 67.2 | +10.2 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.0 | 85.8 | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 96.3 | 87.0 | +9.3 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 89.0 | 82.0 | +7.0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.2 | 82.4 | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 72.0 | +3.5 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.0 | 91.5 | -8.5 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 78.8 | -0.6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.0 | -3.0 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 90.7 | -6.0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 79.0 | 87.7 | -8.7 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 89.8 | -13.5 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 74.8 | 85.4 | -10.6 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 77.5 | 82.0 | -4.5 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 75.0 | 90.0 | -15.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 21 | 25 | 14 | 81 | |
| 18 | 25 | 8 | 15 | 66 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.