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Brixia W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 50-77
13-15 4-17 15-25 18-20
Position#14
Record2-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.9
Allowed / game77.3
Brixia W
Italy
vs
Lucca W 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record6-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game74.5
ItalySerie A1 WRound 25
Women2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#7
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A08/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H15/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
50-78
50
78
-28
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/02
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A04/03
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
14-17
9-23
17-16
17-14
15-7
8-16
17-12
14-19
11-30
22-17
8-13
27-18
14-17
16-27
22-20
11-24
10-28
2-16
27-10
8-27
15-36
13-15
18-18
23-26
14-20
17-16
22-16
20-13
16-14
10-24
18-18
16-13
14-15
14-18
7-13
22-24
11-22
17-24
14-14
135.6Avg total
60.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)60.977.3138.2-16.48%
Season at home (12)63.279.0142.2-15.817%
Season away (12)58.575.6134.1-17.10%
Last 10 (10)60.375.3135.6-15.010%
Last 5 (5)61.877.2139.0-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)58.978.2137.1-19.34%
vs Similar (6)64.569.0133.5-4.533%
vs Weaker (1)75.071.0146.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Crema W
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-109
51
109
-58
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
19-19
14-16
23-16
14-12
20-21
18-12
23-15
18-20
10-26
16-25
15-21
19-18
21-14
24-23
18-10
18-20
11-22
12-21
4-23
9-19
9-12
23-21
13-9
15-16
21-26
27-14
15-23
20-31
11-31
9-22
11-25
21-13
22-18
13-16
22-13
13-20
33-18
25-14
16-26
144.2Avg total
67.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.074.5139.5-9.525%
Season at home (12)67.770.5138.2-2.833%
Season away (12)62.478.5140.9-16.117%
Last 10 (10)67.876.4144.2-8.640%
Last 5 (5)69.677.4147.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)59.978.9138.8-19.111%
vs Similar (7)69.968.6138.4+1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)68.559.8128.2+8.875%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
Brixia WLucca W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A08/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H15/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
21-52
21
52
-31
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
23-63
23
63
-40
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/02
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H26/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A04/03
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H08/03
Serie A1 W
71.2Avg total
30.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.741.473.1-9.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.140.172.3-8.027%-
Last 30 away (15)31.242.773.9-11.520%-
Last 10 (10)30.540.771.2-10.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.842.073.8-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)30.542.673.1-12.117%-
vs Similar (6)34.036.870.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Crema W
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-62
31
62
-31
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/03
Serie A1 W
73.6Avg total
33.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.039.271.2-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.736.570.3-2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)30.241.972.1-11.713%-
Last 10 (10)33.739.973.6-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.875.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.741.372.1-10.622%-
vs Similar (7)34.038.772.7-4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)32.029.861.8+2.275%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brixia W wins
1
Lucca W wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Lucca W v Brixia W60-48
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23HBasket Crema W64-84
04/03/23ASan Martino W51-59
26/02/23HLibertas Moncalieri W64-69
19/02/23ACampobasso W76-78
15/02/23ASchio W54-96
04/02/23HVenezia W50-78
28/01/23AValdarno W79-82
22/01/23ASan Giovanni W55-79
15/01/23HFaenza W57-49
08/01/23ARagusa W53-79
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ARagusa W87-78
08/03/23HLibertas Moncalieri W78-60
05/03/23ASchio W51-109
01/03/23HSassari W78-79
26/02/23HSan Giovanni W54-61
19/02/23AVenezia W45-86
04/02/23HValdarno W82-65
29/01/23HVirtus Bologna W59-92
22/01/23ASan Martino W75-60
08/01/23ABasket Crema W69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game60.963.258.5
Allowed / game77.379.075.6
Point differential-16.4-15.8-17.1
Avg total138.2142.2134.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game65.067.762.4
Allowed / game74.570.578.5
Point differential-9.5-2.8-16.1
Avg total139.5138.2140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2422292%84.263.0+21.2
2 Virtus Bologna W2422292%83.262.7+20.5
3 Venezia W2420483%79.064.3+14.7
4 Sassari W2418675%73.370.3+3.0
5 San Giovanni W2416867%66.963.7+3.2
6 Campobasso W24131154%66.266.5-0.3
7 Ragusa W24121250%73.970.2+3.7
8 Basket Crema W24101442%68.472.1-3.7
9 San Martino W24101442%66.770.5-3.8
10 Libertas Moncalieri W2471729%62.871.1-8.4
11 Faenza W2461825%68.175.5-7.4
12 Lucca W2461825%65.074.5-9.5
13 Valdarno W2442017%62.479.3-16.9
14 Brixia W242228%60.977.3-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W134151850
Lucca W1517252077
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