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Lucca W vs Libertas Moncalieri W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-60
21-13 22-18 13-16 22-13
Position#12
Record4-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#10
Record7-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game70.5
ItalySerie A1 WRound 23
Women2022-23
Meetings · Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W
10 Apr 2023
LUCC73
LIBE54
08 Mar 2023
LUCC78
LIBE60
17 Oct 2021
LUCC76
LIBE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertas Moncalieri W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Faenza W
#11
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-109
51
109
-58
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
10-20
23-15
22-21
18-12
15-18
5-11
11-11
13-23
19-19
14-16
23-16
14-12
20-21
18-12
23-15
18-20
10-26
16-25
15-21
19-18
21-14
24-23
18-10
18-20
11-22
12-21
4-23
9-19
9-12
23-21
13-9
15-16
21-26
27-14
15-23
20-31
11-31
9-22
11-25
137.8Avg total
62.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)63.575.0138.5-11.518%
Season at home (11)66.771.5138.2-4.727%
Season away (11)60.278.5138.7-18.49%
Last 10 (10)62.875.0137.8-12.220%
Last 5 (5)62.080.0142.0-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)58.879.9138.8-21.16%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.570.0138.5-1.533%
vs Weaker (4)68.559.8128.2+8.875%
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Libertas Moncalieri WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#7
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A21/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H01/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A07/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H15/01
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
46-69
46
69
-23
A04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H05/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
11-12
18-28
17-13
13-9
14-16
9-16
22-23
20-18
17-17
16-19
9-18
16-22
21-12
10-11
8-12
17-22
17-23
10-17
18-16
16-20
11-21
16-20
22-18
10-21
6-12
12-22
18-14
21-26
7-26
19-19
19-22
13-20
14-16
24-10
18-18
11-15
21-16
11-17
19-14
134.5Avg total
61.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)62.770.5133.2-7.732%
Season at home (11)66.570.7137.3-4.245%
Season away (11)58.970.2129.1-11.318%
Last 10 (10)61.872.7134.5-10.910%
Last 5 (5)64.477.2141.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)57.273.2130.5-16.08%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.068.4135.4-1.446%
vs Weaker (4)69.065.5134.5+3.575%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Lucca WLibertas Moncalieri W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Faenza W
#11
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-62
31
62
-31
A05/03
Serie A1 W
69.8Avg total
30.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.339.771.0-8.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.136.970.0-3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)29.842.171.9-12.46%-
Last 10 (10)30.239.669.8-9.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.841.872.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.342.272.4-11.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.540.072.5-7.533%-
vs Weaker (4)32.029.861.8+2.275%-
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Libertas Moncalieri WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#7
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A21/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H01/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A07/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/01
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/03
Serie A1 W
65.0Avg total
28.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.135.667.7-3.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.734.469.1+0.367%-
Last 30 away (15)29.536.766.3-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)28.936.165.0-7.240%-
Last 5 (5)26.038.664.6-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)26.836.263.0-9.515%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.635.773.3+1.977%-
vs Weaker (4)31.533.064.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lucca W wins
1
Libertas Moncalieri W wins
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23ASchio W51-109
01/03/23HSassari W78-79
26/02/23HSan Giovanni W54-61
19/02/23AVenezia W45-86
04/02/23HValdarno W82-65
29/01/23HVirtus Bologna W59-92
22/01/23ASan Martino W75-60
08/01/23ABasket Crema W69-74
30/12/22HCampobasso W49-52
21/12/22AFaenza W66-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HValdarno W76-81 OT
26/02/23ABrixia W69-64
18/02/23HSchio W66-93
04/02/23AVirtus Bologna W46-69
29/01/23HSassari W65-79
22/01/23ABasket Crema W62-78
15/01/23HSan Martino W55-57
07/01/23AFaenza W62-72
01/01/23HSan Giovanni W58-64
21/12/22ARagusa W59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game63.566.760.2
Allowed / game75.071.578.5
Point differential-11.5-4.7-18.4
Avg total138.5138.2138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertas Moncalieri W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game62.766.558.9
Allowed / game70.570.770.2
Point differential-7.7-4.2-11.3
Avg total133.2137.3129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2322196%84.762.6+22.1
2 Virtus Bologna W2220291%83.562.4+21.1
3 Venezia W2218482%79.363.9+15.4
4 Sassari W2217577%74.071.0+3.0
5 San Giovanni W2214864%66.163.8+2.3
6 Campobasso W23131057%66.366.2+0.1
7 Ragusa W22121055%74.168.9+5.3
8 San Martino W2291341%66.171.1-5.0
9 Basket Crema W2281436%67.973.0-5.1
10 Libertas Moncalieri W2271532%62.770.5-7.7
11 Faenza W2261627%68.474.7-6.3
12 Lucca W2241818%63.575.0-11.5
13 Valdarno W2341917%62.979.7-16.9
14 Brixia W232219%60.777.0-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W2122132278
Libertas Moncalieri W1318161360
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