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Brixia W vs Sanga Milano W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 68-54
14-13 22-14 13-15 19-12
Position#10
Record5-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#13
Record2-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game79.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 18· PalaLeonessa
Women2023-24
Meetings · Brixia W v Sanga Milano W
27 Apr 2024
BRIX86
SANG77
17 Feb 2024
BRIX68
SANG54
10 Apr 2022
BRIX47
SANG60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sanga Milano W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 53
H02/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
73avg 53
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
62avg 53
H17/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
64avg 53
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
75-51
75
51
+24
64avg 53
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
W
72-68
72
68
+4
69avg 53
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
44-75
44
75
-31
34avg 53
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 53
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
34-70
34
70
-36
17avg 53
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
56-81
56
81
-25
47avg 53
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
21-17
13-12
19-29
10-21
27-20
17-20
21-17
17-17
24-21
13-12
20-12
23-13
13-26
9-12
20-17
13-8
18-16
20-19
24-8
21-18
13-19
20-14
18-17
14-22
7-19
12-23
11-11
20-22
20-12
27-20
19-16
10-21
9-23
7-14
8-12
12-18
16-20
15-16
13-27
135.0Avg total
64.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)63.371.1134.5-7.833%
Season at home (7)56.371.4127.7-15.129%
Season away (8)69.570.9140.4-1.438%
Last 10 (10)64.570.5135.0-6.040%
Last 5 (5)58.472.8131.2-14.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)57.477.3134.7-19.95%
vs Similar (6)69.770.2139.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Sanga Milano W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sanga Milano WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
57-95
57
95
-38
45avg 53
A25/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
53-77
53
77
-24
40avg 53
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
52-76
52
76
-24
42avg 53
H17/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
58-84
58
84
-26
43avg 53
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
49-64
49
64
-15
38avg 53
A30/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 53
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
San Martino W
#9
L
63-96
63
96
-33
53avg 53
H14/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 53
A20/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
47avg 53
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 53
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-32
9-25
11-15
8-16
17-25
14-19
14-17
14-20
8-17
10-20
20-19
16-21
14-29
14-21
14-13
15-20
11-17
6-18
17-9
20-26
11-23
16-23
24-9
20-39
19-22
13-11
11-24
14-25
30-23
19-13
19-18
16-14
16-21
15-19
11-23
19-23
13-19
23-25
15-18
142.7Avg total
61.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)61.879.1140.9-17.412%
Season at home (7)65.779.3145.0-13.614%
Season away (9)58.779.0137.7-20.311%
Last 10 (10)61.381.4142.7-20.110%
Last 5 (5)68.883.6152.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)60.678.1138.7-17.46%
vs Similar (4)68.265.5133.8+2.875%
vs Weaker (7)68.952.0120.9+16.9100%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Brixia WSanga Milano W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H02/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
19-44
19
44
-25
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/01
Serie A1 W
69.6Avg total
31.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.438.869.2-8.427%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.037.766.7-8.731%-
Last 30 away (17)31.539.671.1-8.224%-
Last 10 (10)31.937.769.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)28.438.867.2-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)28.741.069.7-12.414%-
vs Similar (6)34.733.868.5+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.031.065.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Sanga Milano W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sanga Milano WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A25/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H17/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
San Martino W
#9
L
39-61
39
61
-22
H14/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A20/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/02
Serie A1 W
77.3Avg total
31.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.137.570.6-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.937.171.0-3.242%-
Last 30 away (18)32.637.770.3-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)31.845.577.3-13.70%-
Last 5 (5)35.647.082.6-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.541.772.2-11.211%-
vs Similar (4)38.236.875.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker (7)37.325.362.6+12.0100%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 63.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.315.1
39.4%
45.7%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws11.79.5
81.2%
74.9%9.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sanga Milano Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sanga Milano W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.315.0
40.2%
45.7%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
32.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.111.3
80.1%
74.9%11.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
LLWLWWLWLL
Sanga Milano W
LLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-9.4
Net rating
-27.9
87.0
Offensive rating
81.9
96.3
Defensive rating
109.8
43.3%
Effective FG%
41.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
22.0%
Turnover %
23.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.1%
3-point %
29.5%
60.3%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.0 · 81.9Defence96.3 · 109.8Shooting43.3% · 41.7%3-point %33.1% · 29.5%Ball care22.0% · 23.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 21.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Brixia W   ■ Sanga Milano W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brixia W wins
2
Sanga Milano W wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Sanga Milano W v Brixia W69-79
10/04/22Brixia W v Sanga Milano W47-60
18/12/21Sanga Milano W v Brixia W77-73
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AVenezia W56-81
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna W34-70
14/01/24AFaenza W86-70
07/01/24AVenezia W44-75
04/01/24ASassari W72-68
29/12/23ABattipaglia W75-51
23/12/23ASan Giovanni W65-68
17/12/23HOxygen Roma W74-62
10/12/23ACampobasso W75-78
02/12/23HSassari W64-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HVenezia W70-85
28/01/24AFaenza W58-77
20/01/24ABattipaglia W82-79
14/01/24HSan Martino W63-96
04/01/24ASan Giovanni W71-81
30/12/23ACampobasso W49-64
23/12/23ASchio W58-84
17/12/23HRagusa W52-76
10/12/23ASan Giovanni W53-77
25/11/23AOxygen Roma W57-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game63.356.369.5
Allowed / game71.171.470.9
Point differential-7.8-15.1-1.4
Avg total134.5127.7140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%14%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sanga Milano W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %12%14%11%
Points / game61.865.758.7
Allowed / game79.179.379.0
Point differential-17.4-13.6-20.3
Avg total140.9145.0137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia W1615194%76.458.9+17.4
2 Virtus Bologna W1613381%74.660.1+14.4
3 Schio W1613381%76.462.8+13.6
4 San Giovanni W1611569%67.864.4+3.4
5 Campobasso W1611569%62.058.8+3.2
6 Ragusa W158753%70.666.6+4.0
7 San Martino W158753%72.769.3+3.4
8 Oxygen Roma W156940%65.365.1+0.3
9 Sassari W1661038%65.171.7-6.6
10 Brixia W1551033%63.371.1-7.8
11 Faenza W1641225%64.171.8-7.7
12 Sanga Milano W1621412%61.879.1-17.4
13 Battipaglia W160160%59.079.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W1422131968
Sanga Milano W1314151254
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