Bucknell hosts Old Dominion on 7 November 2026 in an NCAA contest where the model names Bucknell the favourite, projecting a 61% chance of victory and a 74-point score for the home side against 70 for the visitors, a total of 143.9 points that sits just below the 144.5 over-under line with a 48% probability of the over. The Bucknell squad, 0-1 overall, has averaged 67.0 points and allowed 96.0, while Old Dominion, 2-0 overall, has posted 76.0 points and 48.0 points allowed, a stark contrast that underpins the model's odds. Bucknell's last five games feature two wins and three losses, including a 67-96 defeat to Maryland and a 69-74 loss to Navy, whereas Old Dominion's five-game span shows four wins and one loss, highlighted by 91-47 and 61-49 home victories but an 84-88 away loss to Georgia Southern. The teams have met once before, with the most recent encounter recorded as a 74-70 Bucknell win, a result that echoes the projected score. The spread of 4.5 points favours Bucknell, who the model estimates has a 74% chance of covering, and the game's 5% overtime probability suggests a tightly contested finish.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bucknell winLost
61.4%fair 1.63
Best odds2.98
Implied32.3%
Edge+29.2pp
Old Dominion winWon
38.6%fair 2.59
Best odds1.45
Implied67.7%
Edge-29.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Over 139.5
Over 139.5
59.8%
@ 1.83+7.3pp
Under 139.5
40.2%
@ 2.00-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Be
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
SBO
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Over/Under 144.5 · main lineActual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
47.8%
@ 2.50-2.2pp
Under 144.5
52.2%
@ 1.87+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.32
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
36.0%
@ 3.90+5.4pp
Under 149.5
64.0%
@ 1.47-5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.90
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.22
📊 3. Team Totals
Bucknell total 65.5Actual: Bucknell under 65.5
Over 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under 65.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.10
Bucknell total 70 · main lineActual: Bucknell under 70
Over 70
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 70
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Bucknell total 74Actual: Bucknell under 74
Over 74
48.2%
Under 74
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Old Dominion total 70.5Actual: Old Dominion over 70.5
Over 70.5
48.8%
@ 1.74-5.3pp
Under 70.5
51.2%
@ 2.20+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.53
Under
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.05
Old Dominion total 74.5 · main lineActual: Old Dominion over 74.5
Over 74.5
33.9%
@ 2.05-16.1pp
Under 74.5
66.1%
@ 1.85+16.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Old Dominion total 78.5Actual: Old Dominion over 78.5
Over 78.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
Under 78.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.42
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Bucknell +3Actual: Old Dominion -3
BUCK +3
70.1%
@ 2.22+25.7pp
OLD -3
29.9%
@ 1.72-25.7pp
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.16
OLD
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.60
Spread Bucknell +6 · main lineActual: Old Dominion -6
BUCK +6
79.1%
@ 1.90+28.5pp
OLD -6
20.9%
@ 2.00-28.5pp
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.80
OLD
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
Spread Bucknell +9Actual: Old Dominion -9
BUCK +9
86.0%
@ 1.50+23.1pp
OLD -9
14.0%
@ 2.55-23.1pp
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
Bet365
1.50
OLD
Bet365
2.55
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
BucknellOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#145
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Regent University
#400
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H05/11
NCAA
79.0Avg total
40.3Scored
38.7Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 76.5
Last 30 (29)
40.2
40.7
80.9
-0.6
41%
59%
Last 30 at home (14)
42.4
38.4
80.9
+4.0
71%
57%
Last 30 away (15)
38.1
42.9
80.9
-4.8
13%
60%
Last 10 (10)
40.3
38.7
79.0
+1.6
50%
60%
Last 5 (5)
40.0
35.6
75.6
+4.4
60%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)
38.0
43.6
81.6
-5.6
10%
60%
vs Similar (13)
41.2
40.7
81.8
+0.5
46%
62%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)
41.7
36.0
77.7
+5.7
83%
50%
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Old Dominion win
BUCK win
no forecast
@ 2.42
OLD win
no forecast
@ 1.57
2nd half Spread Bucknell +2.5 · main lineActual: Old Dominion -2.5
BUCK +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
OLD -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Old Dominion (regulation)
BUCK
no forecast
@ 2.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
OLD
no forecast
@ 1.62
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Bucknell +4
73.2%
2.09
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Bet
1.95
-
-
+31.1pp
Lost
Bucknell +5
76.3%
2.01
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathon Bet
2.00
SBO
2.00
Bet365
1.95
-
+30.2pp
Lost
Bucknell +4.5
74.1%
1.94
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.88
SBO
1.87
+30.1pp
Lost
Bucknell +5.5
77.0%
1.90
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathon Bet
1.93
SBO
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
+28.8pp
Lost
Bucknell +6
79.1%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
-
+28.5pp
Lost
Bucknell +6.5
79.7%
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
SBO
1.74
+26.4pp
Lost
Bucknell +7
81.7%
1.71
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.68
-
-
-
+26.2pp
Lost
Bucknell +3
70.1%
2.19
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.16
-
-
-
+25.7pp
Lost
Bucknell +7.5
82.1%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.64
-
-
+24.7pp
Lost
Bucknell +8
84.0%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Lost
Bucknell +8.5
84.3%
1.55
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Lost
Bucknell +3.5
70.9%
2.08
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.12
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
1.96
-
+24.5pp
Lost
Bucknell +9.5
86.3%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Lost
Bucknell +9
86.0%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Lost
Bucknell +10
87.9%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+22.5pp
Lost
Bucknell +10.5
88.1%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Lost
Bucknell +11
89.5%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+21.6pp
Lost
Bucknell +11.5
89.6%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+21.1pp
Lost
Bucknell +12.5
91.0%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Lost
Bucknell +12
90.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+19.6pp
Lost
Bucknell +13.5
92.3%
1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
+18.7pp
Lost
Bucknell +13
92.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Lost
Bucknell +15.5
94.3%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Lost
Bucknell +14.5
93.3%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Lost
Old Dominion under 77.5
75.9%
1.43
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Lost
Bucknell +20.5
97.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Bucknell +19.5
97.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Lost
Old Dominion under 76.5
72.8%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Lost
Bucknell +24.5
98.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
Over 134.5
71.0%
1.43
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Over 132
76.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Over 132.5
75.1%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Over 133.5
73.1%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
Over 135
70.4%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Over 134
72.5%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Over 131.5
77.0%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Over 133
74.6%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Over 129.5
80.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.8%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+4.3pp
-
Over 124.5
87.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Under 169.5
93.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Old Dominion over 55.5
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Old Dominion +20.5
92.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Old Dominion over 57.5
89.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Bucknell under 86.5
89.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Under 164.5
89.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Old Dominion over 59.5
85.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Old Dominion +15.5
85.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Bucknell under 84.5
85.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.9pp
Won
Old Dominion over 61.5
80.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Under 159.5
82.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.4pp
Won
Old Dominion +14.5
83.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Old Dominion over 62.5
77.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Old Dominion over 63.5
74.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-8.0pp
Won
Bucknell under 82.5
81.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.0pp
Won
Under 154.5
74.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.6pp
Won
Bucknell under 80.5
75.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-10.9pp
Won
Bucknell under 79.5
72.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-12.3pp
Won
Old Dominion +10.5
73.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-12.4pp
Won
Old Dominion over 64.5
71.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-12.8pp
Won
Old Dominion +9.5
70.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-16.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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