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Georgia State vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 73-81
0-0 42-36 0-0 31-45
Position#332
Record10-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#300
Record10-20
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia State v Old Dominion
27 Feb 2026
GEOR73
OLD 81
13 Feb 2025
GEOR97
OLD 75
11 Jan 2024
GEOR77
OLD 70
09 Feb 2023
GEOR60
OLD 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-36
0-0
44-45
0-0
28-46
0-0
44-36
0-0
33-36
0-0
34-33
0-0
28-28
0-0
35-46
0-0
37-35
0-0
37-40
0-0
33-41
0-0
37-29
0-0
26-36
0-0
29-42
0-0
37-27
0-0
29-37
0-0
26-40
0-0
39-40
0-0
28-30
0-0
43-46
145.4Avg total
69.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.274.2144.4-4.033%
Season at home (14)73.069.9142.9+3.150%
Season away (16)67.777.9145.6-10.219%
Last 10 (10)69.476.0145.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)67.275.8143.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.376.0145.3-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (6)62.274.0136.2-11.80%
vs Weaker (2)93.564.5158.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
H22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-35
0-0
29-29
0-0
38-33
0-0
37-38
0-0
33-42
0-0
31-39
0-0
26-34
0-0
53-51
0-0
40-35
0-0
38-37
0-0
47-34
0-0
32-47
0-0
36-26
0-0
42-29
0-0
34-33
0-0
49-39
0-0
47-40
0-0
34-46
0-0
42-49
0-0
46-48
156.5Avg total
78.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.477.6153.0-2.233%
Season at home (13)78.871.7150.5+7.254%
Season away (17)72.882.2154.9-9.418%
Last 10 (10)78.278.3156.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)81.878.2160.0+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.181.6154.8-8.521%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.175.2152.3+1.842%
vs Weaker (3)73.376.7150.0-3.333%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Georgia StateOld Dominion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A30/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H25/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
31.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.668.9-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.531.967.4+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)31.438.870.2-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.566.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)31.836.067.8-4.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.334.766.0-3.350%-
vs Weaker (2)47.038.585.5+8.550%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A25/02
NCAA
73.9Avg total
37.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.170.3+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.232.166.3+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)36.137.473.4-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.173.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.477.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.636.371.9-0.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.833.870.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (3)26.037.363.3-11.333%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Georgia State wins
3
Old Dominion wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HCoastal Carolina71-76
21/02/26HJames Madison65-80
20/02/26HGeorgia Southern66-64
14/02/26AOld Dominion55-78
13/02/26AJames Madison79-81 OT
07/02/26HNorthern Illinois74-75
05/02/26HTroy63-74
01/02/26ASouth Alabama67-69
30/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette72-82
24/01/26HArkansas State82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AMarshall88-97
21/02/26ASouthern Miss81-86
16/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette83-72
14/02/26HGeorgia State78-55
12/02/26HMarshall79-81
08/02/26HOhio78-72
05/02/26HLouisiana Monroe79-85
31/01/26ATexas State64-81
29/01/26AArkansas State75-71
22/01/26HTroy77-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%50%19%
Points / game70.273.067.7
Allowed / game74.269.977.9
Point differential-4.0+3.1-10.2
Avg total144.4142.9145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)43% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %33%54%18%
Points / game75.478.872.8
Allowed / game77.671.782.2
Point differential-2.2+7.2-9.4
Avg total153.0150.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy31201165%80.573.6+6.9
2 Appalachian State30191163%72.565.6+6.9
3 Arkansas State30191163%83.277.8+5.5
4 South Alabama30191163%74.569.5+5.0
5 Marshall30191163%81.277.2+4.0
6 Texas State30181260%74.371.1+3.2
7 Coastal Carolina30181260%73.572.0+1.5
8 James Madison30171357%74.273.7+0.5
9 Southern Miss30151550%74.174.1+0.1
10 Georgia Southern30151550%79.879.8+0.0
11 Old Dominion30102033%75.477.6-2.2
12 Georgia State30102033%70.274.2-4.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette30102033%62.969.6-6.7
14 Louisiana Monroe3142713%72.283.8-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Georgia State04203173
Old Dominion03604581
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