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Bulgaria W vs Hungary W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-89 (OT)
18-22 16-19 23-16 21-21 14-11
Position#23
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.0
Bulgaria W 🏆
vs
Hungary W
Position#16
Record3-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game62.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Arena Botevgrad
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hungary W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Greece W
#20
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
51-79
51
79
-28
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
76-102
76
102
-26
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
80avg 75
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 75
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 75
H06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
22-17
9-15
13-21
27-22
11-26
21-22
14-14
9-25
7-31
22-10
13-13
29-24
13-27
14-16
18-26
22-22
17-22
24-30
13-28
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
20-23
31-10
15-18
17-17
21-27
7-32
32-12
12-14
24-23
21-23
17-23
21-25
152.6Avg total
69.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.280.0153.2-6.820%
Season at home (2)74.084.5158.5-10.50%
Season away (3)72.777.0149.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)69.583.1152.6-13.610%
Last 5 (5)73.280.0153.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.382.3152.7-12.011%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker (4)73.870.5144.2+3.250%
This opponent (Hungary W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hungary WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
L
60-69
60
69
-9
no box
A24/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
70-51
70
51
+19
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
67-56
67
56
+11
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Canada W
#8
L
55-67
55
67
-12
no box
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
74avg 66
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Bulgaria W
#23
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 66
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
67-74
67
74
-7
66avg 66
A10/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
80-50
80
50
+30
78avg 66
H06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
14-20
18-12
14-19
8-26
22-23
19-12
19-21
25-19
15-9
18-9
12-14
15-13
16-15
15-15
21-13
11-25
19-16
9-14
16-12
13-22
19-10
21-16
28-27
24-19
22-8
18-23
8-23
23-20
10-31
18-15
17-17
18-19
16-20
14-13
19-22
20-8
19-13
24-9
17-20
136.8Avg total
68.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.462.8133.2+7.660%
Season at home (3)72.761.3134.0+11.367%
Season away (2)67.065.0132.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)68.868.0136.8+0.840%
Last 5 (5)73.671.0144.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.869.8130.5-9.00%
vs Similar (6)71.070.7141.7+0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)77.260.5137.7+16.779%
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Bulgaria WHungary W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#20
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H06/02
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
16-56
16
56
-40
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/02
European Championship Women
80.5Avg total
36.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)35.939.775.6-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (7)38.337.175.4+1.143%-
Last 30 away (8)33.941.975.8-8.038%-
Last 10 (10)36.344.280.5-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.280.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.042.879.8-5.833%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (4)36.835.272.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Hungary W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hungary WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A24/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H25/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/11
European Championship Women
Canada W
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Bulgaria W
#23
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H07/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A10/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H06/02
European Championship Women
69.7Avg total
34.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.233.069.2+3.254%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.434.268.6+0.254%-
Last 30 away (11)38.531.570.0+6.955%-
Last 10 (10)34.335.469.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.070.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.838.867.5-10.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.235.572.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.030.368.3+7.771%-
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.216.6
42.3%
45.4%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.8
32.4%
30.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.818.4
84.4%
72.4%18.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hungary Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.8
45.2%
45.4%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.4
30.7%
30.0%19.1
🏀 Free throws15.412.4
80.5%
72.4%12.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/8 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria W
LLWLLLLLLL
Hungary W
WLLLWLWWLL
#23
League position
#16
-9.3
Net rating
+5.4
92.7
Offensive rating
95.5
102.0
Defensive rating
90.1
44.5%
Effective FG%
45.5%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.7%
16.4%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.4%
3-point %
30.7%
70.1%
Assist %
79.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 95.5Defence102.0 · 90.1Shooting44.5% · 45.5%3-point %32.4% · 30.7%Ball care17.6% · 21.7%Off. rebounds16.4% · 34.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Bulgaria W   ■ Hungary W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bulgaria W wins
0
Hungary W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Hungary W v Bulgaria W68-83
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HSlovenia W83-94
10/11/24AFinland W72-85
07/11/24AHungary W83-68
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
12/02/23HSerbia W76-102
27/11/22ACroatia W74-93
24/11/22ASerbia W51-79
11/11/21HCroatia W73-84
06/02/21HGreece W55-73
Hungary Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HFinland W80-50
10/11/24ASlovenia W67-74
07/11/24HBulgaria W68-83
11/02/24ASpain W72-73
09/02/24AJapan W81-75
08/02/24HCanada W55-67
12/11/23AFinland W67-56
09/11/23HSlovenia W70-51
25/06/23HFrance W68-82
24/06/23ASpain W60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game73.274.072.7
Allowed / game80.084.577.0
Point differential-6.8-10.5-4.3
Avg total153.2158.5149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hungary W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game70.472.767.0
Allowed / game62.861.365.0
Point differential+7.6+11.3+2.0
Avg total133.2134.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W660100%95.343.8+51.5
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W660100%82.557.7+24.8
4 Spain W660100%74.354.8+19.5
5 Sweden W660100%75.561.0+14.5
6 Belgium W65183%87.755.8+31.8
7 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
8 Portugal W54180%63.257.2+6.0
9 Great Britain W64267%74.755.7+19.0
10 Lithuania W64267%82.267.0+15.2
11 Montenegro W64267%73.860.3+13.5
12 Switzerland W64267%65.255.5+9.7
13 Italy W64267%67.859.5+8.3
14 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
15 Germany W64267%69.766.2+3.5
16 Croatia W53260%78.270.0+8.2
17 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
18 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
19 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
20 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
21 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
22 Greece W62433%67.369.0-1.7
23 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
24 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
25 Czech Republic W62433%62.772.8-10.2
26 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
27 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
28 Ukraine W51420%62.269.6-7.4
29 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bulgaria W181623211492
Hungary W221916211189
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