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Caen vs Challans Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-76
13-31 22-9 24-23 19-13
Position#17
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.2
Caen 🏆
France
vs
Challans
France
Position#21
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game84.0
FrancePro BRound 18· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Challans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 82
H31/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 82
A07/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
106-96 OT
106
96
+10
98avg 82
H13/11
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 82
A18/11
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 82
A21/11
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 82
H05/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 82
A12/12
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 82
A19/12
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
93-94
93
94
-1
87avg 82
H23/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
65-90
65
90
-25
49avg 82
A27/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
20-25
25-18
23-27
18-22
22-11
25-17
14-16
20-21
22-14
14-21
26-26
16-27
26-19
19-18
25-25
21-17
18-19
19-21
20-30
27-17
17-28
18-19
32-25
28-19
20-21
16-20
14-21
20-23
14-25
23-16
19-25
33-19
22-15
19-27
19-33
17-17
14-21
14-25
20-27
171.0Avg total
84.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.284.2165.4-2.929%
Season at home (8)87.186.9174.0+0.250%
Season away (9)76.081.8157.8-5.811%
Last 10 (10)84.486.6171.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)81.288.6169.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)79.986.7166.6-6.814%
vs Similar (6)82.281.0163.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)78.068.5146.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Challans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChallansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChallans
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 67
H28/10
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
83-99
83
99
-16
74avg 67
A31/10
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 67
H07/11
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 67
H14/11
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
63-82
63
82
-19
58avg 67
A21/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
73-83
73
83
-10
65avg 67
H05/12
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 67
H12/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 67
A19/12
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
81-94
81
94
-13
76avg 67
A23/12
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 67
H27/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
22-17
17-20
15-24
16-33
23-19
20-22
24-25
28-12
16-26
17-19
19-25
14-19
21-24
15-22
29-21
16-22
18-16
14-28
15-16
17-19
17-18
13-19
26-27
21-15
17-21
14-18
21-25
17-23
23-17
16-22
17-13
18-23
28-21
17-29
18-21
19-22
23-20
15-15
15-23
158.1Avg total
74.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.184.0158.1-9.96%
Season at home (9)73.981.0154.9-7.111%
Season away (8)74.287.4161.6-13.10%
Last 10 (10)74.283.9158.1-9.70%
Last 5 (5)74.482.2156.6-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.080.4150.4-10.411%
vs Similar (3)73.389.3162.7-16.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
CaenChallans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/11
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/11
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/11
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A12/12
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A19/12
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H23/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/12
Pro B
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.681.6-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.840.881.7+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)39.342.281.5-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.241.881.0-2.629%-
vs Similar (6)42.241.884.0+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.536.078.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Challans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChallansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H28/10
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A31/10
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H14/11
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/12
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/12
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/12
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H27/12
Pro B
79.0Avg total
38.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.940.878.7-2.838%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.040.178.1-2.141%-
Last 30 away (12)37.841.779.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.579.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.879.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.139.676.7-2.639%-
vs Similar (3)36.344.080.3-7.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.7
51.2%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.9
29.4%
32.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.3%
71.4%16.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Challanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Challans: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.1
53.5%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.4
34.1%
32.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.312.6
62.1%
71.4%12.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
LLLLWLLWWW
Challans
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#21
-3.6
Net rating
-12.5
106.7
Offensive rating
102.2
110.3
Defensive rating
114.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.4%
3-point %
34.1%
62.6%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 102.2Defence110.3 · 114.8Shooting48.0% · 52.6%3-point %29.4% · 34.1%Ball care16.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds33.2% · 26.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Caen   ■ Challans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caen wins
0
Challans wins
No previous meetings.
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25APoitiers65-90
23/12/25HSt. Chamond93-94
19/12/25AHyeres-Toulon76-89
12/12/25ALa Rochelle78-81
05/12/25HAntibes94-89
21/11/25ANantes78-87
18/11/25AOrleans86-89
13/11/25HAix Maurienne106-96 OT
07/11/25AQuimper79-66
31/10/25HPau-Orthez89-85
Challanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HAix Maurienne72-80
23/12/25AASA81-94
19/12/25APoitiers73-75
12/12/25HRouen73-79
05/12/25HHyeres-Toulon73-83
21/11/25AQuimper63-82
14/11/25HEvreux79-86
07/11/25HOrleans80-82
31/10/25AAntibes83-99
28/10/25HAda Blois65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%50%11%
Points / game81.287.176.0
Allowed / game84.286.981.8
Point differential-2.9+0.2-5.8
Avg total165.4174.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)60% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Challans
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %6%11%0%
Points / game74.173.974.2
Allowed / game84.081.087.4
Point differential-9.9-7.1-13.1
Avg total158.1154.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois1713476%84.377.7+6.6
2 Orleans1713476%81.176.5+4.6
3 Roanne1712571%88.979.5+9.4
4 Vichy1711665%81.977.6+4.3
5 Denain-Voltaire1711665%86.182.8+3.2
6 Chalons-Reims1711665%82.180.4+1.7
7 Pau-Orthez1710759%86.781.1+5.6
8 La Rochelle1710759%77.278.9-1.8
9 Poitiers179853%84.180.9+3.2
10 Hyeres-Toulon179853%84.383.2+1.1
11 Nantes179853%81.583.4-1.9
12 Antibes178947%83.883.6+0.2
13 ASA178947%81.381.5-0.2
14 St. Chamond1771041%87.986.2+1.8
15 Rouen1771041%80.583.7-3.2
16 Aix Maurienne1661038%80.884.9-4.1
17 Caen1751229%81.284.2-2.9
18 Evreux1751229%77.585.5-7.9
19 Quimper1641225%73.183.7-10.6
20 Challans171166%74.184.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caen1322241978
Challans319231376
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