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Nantes vs Caen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-78
17-21 19-18 21-19 30-20
Position#6
Record6-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game82.5
Nantes 🏆
France
vs
Position#17
Record4-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.9
FrancePro BRound 12· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nantes v Caen
12 Mar 2027
NANT v CAEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
NANT87
CAEN78
08 Apr 2025
NANT82
CAEN87
23 Apr 2019
NANT90
CAEN92
24 Apr 2018
NANT81
CAEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
W
78-71
78
71
+7
68avg 88
A03/10
Pro B
Quimper
#22
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
H07/10
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 88
H10/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 88
H17/10
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
91-79
91
79
+12
85avg 88
A24/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 88
H28/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
96-84
96
84
+12
94avg 88
H31/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
71-86
71
86
-15
68avg 88
A07/11
Pro B
Tours
#5
L
69-99
69
99
-30
58avg 88
A10/11
French Cup
Rouen
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
74avg 88
A14/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-18
20-9
20-20
21-28
23-21
28-21
17-17
17-21
17-23
14-14
15-18
23-17
19-25
23-12
8-27
23-21
24-19
20-16
24-23
18-21
22-21
22-14
26-26
20-27
25-21
24-19
27-17
18-28
8-18
14-22
31-18
20-34
16-25
16-19
17-21
23-24
16-19
24-19
24-17
162.9Avg total
80.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.982.5163.4-1.555%
Season at home (6)78.083.3161.3-5.333%
Season away (5)84.481.4165.8+3.080%
Last 10 (10)80.582.4162.9-1.960%
Last 5 (5)82.286.0168.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.283.3160.5-6.145%
vs Similar (14)82.684.1166.6-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.078.8156.8-0.850%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
94avg 85
H26/09
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 85
A03/10
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 85
H10/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 85
A18/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
81-83
81
83
-2
71avg 85
H23/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
74-80
74
80
-6
59avg 85
A28/10
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 85
H31/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 85
A07/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
106-96 OT
106
96
+10
98avg 85
H13/11
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 85
A18/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-24
26-20
16-16
23-26
13-20
25-18
15-15
22-28
23-27
22-21
18-20
15-13
23-13
11-22
23-27
14-18
19-17
30-19
18-29
20-24
23-26
13-17
18-13
21-15
20-25
25-18
23-27
18-22
22-11
25-17
14-16
20-21
22-14
14-21
26-26
16-27
26-19
19-18
25-25
165.5Avg total
82.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.581.9163.5-0.436%
Season at home (6)85.085.3170.3-0.350%
Season away (5)77.477.8155.2-0.420%
Last 10 (10)82.982.6165.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.586.7165.1-8.215%
vs Similar (6)79.577.5157.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (3)80.069.7149.7+10.3100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
NantesCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/10
Pro B
Quimper
#22
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H07/10
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H10/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/10
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A24/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H28/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H31/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A07/11
Pro B
Tours
#5
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A10/11
French Cup
Rouen
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/11
Pro B
84.6Avg total
39.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.584.8-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.247.286.4-8.07%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.783.2-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.584.6-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.684.8-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.943.881.7-5.927%-
vs Similar (14)40.146.186.2-5.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.246.085.2-6.80%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/09
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/10
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H10/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A18/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/10
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/11
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/11
Pro B
80.6Avg total
39.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.381.4-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.342.782.0-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.842.080.8-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.780.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.843.582.3-4.820%-
vs Similar (6)39.741.381.0-1.750%-
vs Weaker (3)40.334.374.7+6.0100%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.7
54.2%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
32.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws25.016.7
66.8%
71.4%16.7
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.7
49.5%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.3
30.4%
32.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
71.4%16.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WLLWWWLLWW
Caen
LWWWLLLLLW
#6
League position
#17
-5.1
Net rating
-0.3
103.7
Offensive rating
107.6
108.8
Defensive rating
107.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.6%
3-point %
30.4%
61.5%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 107.6Defence108.8 · 107.9Shooting52.1% · 47.7%3-point %32.6% · 30.4%Ball care19.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 33.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Nantes   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nantes wins
3
Caen wins
DateGameScore
08/04/25Nantes v Caen82-87
29/10/24Caen v Nantes89-77
23/04/19Nantes v Caen90-92 OT
11/01/19Caen v Nantes69-81
24/04/18Nantes v Caen81-74 OT
12/01/18Caen v Nantes91-95 OT
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25ARouen87-79
10/11/25ATours69-99
07/11/25AChalons-Reims71-86
31/10/25HASA96-84
28/10/25HHyeres-Toulon88-82
24/10/25AAntibes91-79
17/10/25HLa Rochelle73-81
10/10/25HVichy63-76
07/10/25HQuimper89-87
03/10/25AChallans78-71
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25AOrleans86-89
13/11/25HAix Maurienne106-96 OT
07/11/25AQuimper79-66
31/10/25HPau-Orthez89-85
28/10/25AASA74-80
23/10/25HDenain-Voltaire81-83
18/10/25AAda Blois72-75
10/10/25HRoanne85-96
03/10/25AEvreux76-79
26/09/25HRouen81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%33%80%
Points / game80.978.084.4
Allowed / game82.583.381.4
Point differential-1.5-5.3+3.0
Avg total163.4161.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game81.585.077.4
Allowed / game81.985.377.8
Point differential-0.4-0.3-0.4
Avg total163.5170.3155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orleans1110191%83.376.7+6.5
2 Ada Blois119282%83.776.8+6.9
3 Roanne118373%87.879.4+8.5
4 Pau-Orthez117464%84.678.5+6.2
5 Denain-Voltaire117464%82.780.2+2.5
6 Vichy117464%79.577.7+1.8
7 Poitiers116555%84.980.9+4.0
8 Antibes116555%84.882.3+2.5
9 La Rochelle116555%78.078.0+0.0
10 Nantes116555%80.982.5-1.5
11 Chalons-Reims116555%79.681.9-2.3
12 Hyeres-Toulon115645%85.484.3+1.1
13 St. Chamond114736%87.884.5+3.3
14 Caen114736%81.581.9-0.4
15 ASA114736%82.584.3-1.8
16 Rouen114736%79.183.7-4.6
17 Quimper103730%74.381.2-6.9
18 Aix Maurienne103730%82.389.4-7.1
19 Evreux113827%78.888.7-9.9
20 Challans111109%74.985.0-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes1719213087
Caen2118192078
← all games of the day
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