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Cairns Marlins vs Ipswich Force Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 95-87
30-21 34-15 16-14 15-37
Position#8
Record7-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#10
Record6-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game92.7
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Ipswich Force
12 Jul 2024
CAIR95
IPSW87
13 Aug 2022
CAIR94
IPSW91
30 Apr 2022
CAIR88
IPSW79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ipswich Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville Heat
#11
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H18/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
H25/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
97-110 OT
97
110
-13
A31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A01/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H09/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H15/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H21/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
75-129
75
129
-54
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-19
28-21
27-33
20-32
21-32
24-27
17-15
15-26
26-26
26-25
26-16
22-29
14-22
22-15
7-26
26-18
22-19
30-19
12-26
19-30
22-17
25-16
24-29
30-20
28-23
22-13
18-29
16-25
20-25
24-20
27-15
21-29
24-29
6-46
24-25
31-30
21-19
13-20
26-25
184.5Avg total
87.4Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.094.1181.1-7.144%
Season at home (8)90.591.9182.4-1.462%
Season away (8)83.596.4179.9-12.925%
Last 10 (10)87.497.1184.5-9.740%
Last 5 (5)88.297.0185.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)88.196.8184.9-8.841%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.890.1178.9-1.356%
vs Weaker (4)92.583.5176.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H11/05
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
110-121
110
121
-11
A18/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H25/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A01/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
89-110
89
110
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H21/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A22/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H29/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A06/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
16-8
20-17
28-28
31-30
34-34
17-35
28-22
15-23
34-24
22-32
25-25
17-27
15-20
19-23
22-26
17-23
20-17
13-17
20-19
21-33
22-34
23-20
23-23
29-18
30-24
20-26
32-14
24-26
19-22
26-23
21-24
23-26
23-11
24-23
20-11
14-30
27-15
17-19
22-12
181.8Avg total
90.0Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.392.7183.0-2.340%
Season at home (8)94.494.4188.8+0.050%
Season away (7)85.790.7176.4-5.029%
Last 10 (10)90.091.8181.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)92.086.8178.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)92.896.2189.0-3.441%
vs Similar ◀ (6)102.398.8201.2+3.550%
vs Weaker (7)96.794.3191.0+2.471%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
Cairns MarlinsIpswich Force
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville Heat
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H25/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A31/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A01/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H21/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A06/07
NBL1 North
93.5Avg total
44.2Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.847.993.8-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.247.295.5+1.062%-
Last 30 away (14)43.148.791.8-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.249.393.5-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)45.550.896.2-5.341%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.144.289.3+0.967%-
vs Weaker (4)49.044.293.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/05
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A18/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H25/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H21/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/07
NBL1 North
93.7Avg total
45.8Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.349.097.3-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.149.899.9+0.262%-
Last 30 away (17)47.048.395.3-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.847.993.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.894.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)48.449.798.1-1.347%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)51.246.597.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (7)45.749.395.0-3.657%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cairns Marlins wins
1
Ipswich Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24ARockhampton Rockets91-94
05/07/24AMackay Meteors75-129
28/06/24HMackay Meteors87-85
21/06/24HSouth West Metro Pirates98-85
15/06/24HGold Coast Rollers90-92
09/06/24HRockhampton Rockets90-82
01/06/24ASouthern District65-92
31/05/24ABrisbane Capitals97-110 OT
25/05/24HLogan Thunder82-106
18/05/24HTownsville Heat99-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks80-76
29/06/24HLogan Thunder90-71
22/06/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix90-95
21/06/24HNorthside Wizards111-82
07/06/24HMackay Meteors89-110
01/06/24AGold Coast Rollers70-76
31/05/24ALogan Thunder73-96
25/05/24HSouth West Metro Pirates96-104
18/05/24ADarwin Salties110-121
11/05/24HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game87.090.583.5
Allowed / game94.191.996.4
Point differential-7.1-1.4-12.9
Avg total181.1182.4179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game90.394.485.7
Allowed / game92.794.490.7
Point differential-2.3+0.0-5.0
Avg total183.0188.8176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors1614288%103.588.9+14.6
2 Darwin Salties1612475%103.993.5+10.4
3 Logan Thunder1612475%91.085.6+5.4
4 Brisbane Capitals1711665%90.485.5+4.9
5 Southern District159660%90.784.4+6.3
6 Rockhampton Rockets168850%99.696.8+2.9
7 Gold Coast Rollers167944%93.594.6-1.1
8 Sunshine Coast Phoenix167944%86.590.7-4.2
9 Cairns Marlins167944%87.094.1-7.1
10 Ipswich Force156940%90.392.7-2.3
11 South West Metro Pirates1651131%90.794.9-4.2
12 North Gold Coast Seahawks1651131%83.594.3-10.8
13 Northside Wizards1751229%86.593.9-7.5
14 Townsville Heat1641225%88.595.4-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins3034161595
Ipswich Force2115143787
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