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Cairns Marlins vs Sunshine Coast Phoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 63-79
10-22 16-20 19-23 18-14
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#2
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game88.4
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Sunshine Coast Phoenix
06 Jun 2025
CAIR63
SUNS79
10 Jun 2023
CAIR86
SUNS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sunshine Coast Phoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
75-129
75
129
-54
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-111
84
111
-27
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H17/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
81-109
81
109
-28
A30/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
A31/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
20-25
24-20
27-15
21-29
24-29
6-46
24-25
31-30
21-19
13-20
26-25
30-21
34-15
16-14
15-37
21-20
24-40
23-30
16-21
18-35
22-22
32-22
29-20
26-24
23-21
21-24
19-16
16-22
19-28
16-30
24-31
23-31
21-20
13-30
24-28
26-18
25-27
18-19
25-30
189.9Avg total
88.1Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.8103.8192.7-15.033%
Season at home (1)75.0111.0186.0-36.00%
Season away (5)91.6102.4194.0-10.840%
Last 10 (10)88.1101.8189.9-13.740%
Last 5 (5)89.8102.4192.2-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)88.4100.0188.4-11.635%
vs Similar (8)92.289.8182.0+2.562%
vs Weaker (2)97.588.0185.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ipswich Force
#10
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H22/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H29/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A05/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H06/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A10/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
121-94
121
94
+27
H17/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H24/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
H31/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-19
23-26
24-21
20-23
24-33
19-16
14-22
15-27
18-28
19-23
29-22
26-28
29-16
8-24
31-18
20-22
14-19
12-20
25-18
30-9
17-27
24-23
24-21
18-19
16-24
18-20
21-13
41-20
28-26
27-21
25-27
25-16
26-21
16-28
26-17
23-33
17-24
19-26
20-27
177.0Avg total
87.9Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.288.4180.6+3.860%
Season at home (4)97.091.5188.5+5.575%
Season away (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)87.989.1177.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)92.288.4180.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.795.3179.0-11.518%
vs Similar (14)91.790.1181.9+1.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.282.0170.2+6.260%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
Cairns MarlinsSunshine Coast Phoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
64-36
64
36
+28
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A31/05
NBL1 North
96.2Avg total
46.1Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.449.095.4-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.247.896.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)44.950.194.9-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)46.150.196.2-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.693.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)45.151.196.2-6.035%-
vs Similar (8)46.943.890.6+3.162%-
vs Weaker (2)58.049.0107.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ipswich Force
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H29/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A05/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H06/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H17/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H24/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H31/05
NBL1 North
91.3Avg total
45.5Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.745.391.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.244.993.1+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)42.545.888.2-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.891.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)48.243.892.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.546.990.4-3.527%-
vs Similar (14)47.444.992.2+2.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.242.889.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cairns Marlins wins
1
Sunshine Coast Phoenix wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25AMackay Meteors103-108 OT
30/05/25ARockhampton Rockets81-109
17/05/25HBrisbane Capitals75-111
10/05/25ALogan Thunder89-85
09/05/25AGold Coast Rollers101-99
03/05/25ATownsville Heat84-111
12/07/24HIpswich Force95-87
06/07/24ARockhampton Rockets91-94
05/07/24AMackay Meteors75-129
28/06/24HMackay Meteors87-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25HGold Coast Rollers79-110
24/05/25HNorthside Wizards93-82
17/05/25HMackay Meteors121-94
10/05/25AIpswich Force73-76
03/05/25HSouthern District95-80
13/07/24ALogan Thunder71-79
06/07/24HNorthside Wizards94-86
05/07/24ASouth West Metro Pirates81-100
29/06/24HGold Coast Rollers77-94
22/06/24HIpswich Force95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%0%40%
Points / game88.875.091.6
Allowed / game103.8111.0102.4
Point differential-15.0-36.0-10.8
Avg total192.7186.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %17%0%20%
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game92.297.073.0
Allowed / game88.491.576.0
Point differential+3.8+5.5-3.0
Avg total180.6188.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals65183%95.884.0+11.8
2 Mackay Meteors64267%100.397.7+2.7
3 Sunshine Coast Phoenix53260%92.288.4+3.8
4 Townsville Heat63350%89.583.5+6.0
5 Gold Coast Rollers63350%97.094.2+2.8
6 Northside Wizards63350%88.085.8+2.2
7 Rockhampton Rockets42250%89.591.8-2.2
8 Ipswich Force63350%89.793.5-3.8
9 Southern District52340%92.697.2-4.6
10 Logan Thunder62433%96.894.3+2.5
11 Cairns Marlins62433%88.8103.8-15.0
12 South West Metro Pirates41325%87.297.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins1016191863
Sunshine Coast Phoenix2220231479
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