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Sunshine Coast Phoenix vs Cairns Marlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 99-94
24-17 32-20 21-30 22-27
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game87.2
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sunshine Coast Phoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#16
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A25/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H01/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
87-107
87
107
-20
A08/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H14/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
106-104
106
104
+2
A15/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H20/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A27/04
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A28/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
14-22
20-19
24-13
21-25
22-24
20-36
14-12
24-27
16-30
24-29
23-21
30-24
25-18
24-18
26-21
26-26
31-21
25-30
24-27
20-21
23-22
21-22
14-20
28-23
21-22
17-24
23-13
16-17
26-18
19-25
21-16
18-18
16-17
24-12
22-26
27-26
24-17
19-18
16-29
175.0Avg total
87.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.081.2164.2+1.860%
Season at home (2)83.583.5167.0+0.050%
Season away (3)82.779.7162.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)87.487.6175.0-0.260%
Last 5 (5)83.081.2164.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.791.7172.3-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.686.2173.8+1.454%
vs Weaker (5)95.686.8182.4+8.880%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville Heat
#14
W
110-93
110
93
+17
H24/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H01/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H07/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
123-102
123
102
+21
H15/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A22/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A13/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H20/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A27/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
H03/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
35-24
22-24
32-23
39-20
18-37
23-20
11-13
19-24
18-22
36-20
13-22
29-30
32-26
30-23
32-23
18-23
26-25
12-20
36-31
20-26
28-14
12-20
30-17
33-20
26-21
26-17
19-28
23-27
12-16
16-24
15-22
18-28
20-26
16-26
20-23
19-20
25-18
27-21
19-22
183.4Avg total
92.6Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.887.2172.0-2.460%
Season at home (2)89.094.5183.5-5.550%
Season away (3)82.082.3164.3-0.367%
Last 10 (10)92.690.8183.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)84.887.2172.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)90.294.5184.7-4.455%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.289.1171.2-6.938%
vs Weaker (6)95.282.0177.2+13.283%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
Sunshine Coast PhoenixCairns Marlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Red City Roar
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A08/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H14/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A15/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H20/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A27/04
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A28/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A10/05
NBL1 North
89.9Avg total
45.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)45.345.490.7-0.148%-
Last 30 at home (10)46.545.692.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (13)44.445.289.6-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.589.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.045.886.8-4.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.444.290.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (5)47.847.895.6+0.040%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville Heat
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H24/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H01/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H15/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H20/04
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H03/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/05
NBL1 North
94.8Avg total
47.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.990.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.845.693.4+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.046.187.1-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)47.946.994.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.288.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)46.350.596.7-4.245%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.143.184.2-2.038%-
vs Weaker (6)47.043.590.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sunshine Coast Phoenix wins
1
Cairns Marlins wins
DateGameScore
10/06/23Cairns Marlins v Sunshine Coast Phoenix86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks86-90
28/04/24ASouthern District80-73
27/04/24ANorthside Wizards82-76
20/04/24HNorthside Wizards89-82
14/04/24HSouthern District78-85
15/07/23AIpswich Force106-104
14/07/23HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks105-81
08/07/23ADarwin Salties87-107
01/07/23HMackay Meteors77-97
25/06/23ARed City Roar84-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24ANorthside Wizards90-81
03/05/24HDarwin Salties74-103
27/04/24ATownsville Heat66-89
20/04/24HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks104-86
13/04/24ADarwin Salties90-77
22/07/23AIpswich Force92-99
15/07/23HUSC Rip City123-102
07/07/23HNorthside Wizards86-88
01/07/23HRockhampton Rockets91-90
24/06/23HTownsville Heat110-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.083.582.7
Allowed / game81.283.579.7
Point differential+1.8+0.0+3.0
Avg total164.2167.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game84.889.082.0
Allowed / game87.294.582.3
Point differential-2.4-5.5-0.3
Avg total172.0183.5164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors330100%100.388.0+12.3
2 Darwin Salties54180%101.089.0+12.0
3 Logan Thunder43175%98.283.2+15.0
4 Gold Coast Rollers53260%101.298.2+3.0
5 Sunshine Coast Phoenix53260%83.081.2+1.8
6 Cairns Marlins53260%84.887.2-2.4
7 Ipswich Force63350%91.093.2-2.2
8 South West Metro Pirates42250%94.8104.2-9.5
9 North Gold Coast Seahawks73443%85.493.9-8.4
10 Rockhampton Rockets52340%100.897.4+3.4
11 Townsville Heat52340%92.694.4-1.8
12 Brisbane Capitals62433%84.088.2-4.2
13 Northside Wizards72529%85.989.7-3.9
14 Southern District51420%76.679.6-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sunshine Coast Phoenix2432212299
Cairns Marlins1720302794
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