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Cairns Marlins vs USC Rip City Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 123-102
29-30 32-26 30-23 32-23
Position#6
Record10-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#9
Record10-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game91.3
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v USC Rip City
15 Jul 2023
CAIR123
USC 102
19 Jun 2021
CAIR81
USC 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC Rip City winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H12/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
76-107
76
107
-31
A27/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A28/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H10/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
68-108
68
108
-40
A17/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
A18/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
110-93
110
93
+17
H24/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H01/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H07/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
29-22
28-27
18-23
14-34
20-26
28-29
14-18
12-14
22-24
26-18
22-23
16-21
30-23
16-19
24-19
18-24
28-17
30-15
17-23
22-23
14-36
16-24
16-25
41-21
30-28
24-25
16-24
21-22
35-24
22-24
32-23
39-20
18-37
23-20
11-13
19-24
18-22
36-20
13-22
181.2Avg total
89.9Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.490.3176.8-3.956%
Season at home (8)90.087.4177.4+2.675%
Season away (10)83.692.7176.3-9.140%
Last 10 (10)89.991.3181.2-1.470%
Last 5 (5)93.295.4188.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.694.1181.7-6.657%
vs Similar (15)85.989.6175.5-3.753%
vs Weaker (8)98.080.9178.9+17.188%
This opponent (USC Rip City) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC Rip CityAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#10
L
101-113
101
113
-12
A27/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
97-120
97
120
-23
H03/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H10/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A11/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
A17/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
101-81
101
81
+20
H24/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
L
98-100
98
100
-2
A25/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H08/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
112-87
112
87
+25
A14/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
29-23
16-30
32-29
28-34
26-30
18-26
25-30
22-26
25-22
21-22
18-15
18-16
15-29
30-19
17-25
30-20
18-18
26-28
26-18
24-17
35-17
13-25
29-22
31-19
17-24
26-28
24-29
16-19
27-16
23-21
21-22
24-16
19-17
28-22
32-22
26-27
29-18
26-19
31-23
187.9Avg total
96.5Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)95.891.3187.1+4.456%
Season at home (10)94.390.3184.6+4.070%
Season away (8)97.692.6190.2+5.038%
Last 10 (10)96.591.4187.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)100.284.6184.8+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.0109.2195.2-23.20%
vs Similar (16)91.188.9180.0+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.481.2176.6+14.290%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
Cairns MarlinsUSC Rip City
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H12/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A27/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H10/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A17/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A18/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H24/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H01/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/07
NBL1 North
94.6Avg total
46.7Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.688.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.943.290.1+3.869%-
Last 30 away (17)41.945.787.6-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)46.747.994.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)51.451.4102.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)45.451.096.4-5.643%-
vs Similar (15)42.043.385.3-1.340%-
vs Weaker (8)46.841.488.1+5.462%-
This opponent (USC Rip City) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC Rip CityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#10
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A27/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H03/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A17/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H24/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A25/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A14/07
NBL1 North
92.2Avg total
48.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.043.889.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.341.287.6+5.167%-
Last 30 away (12)45.647.893.3-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.992.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.638.087.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.257.5100.8-14.20%-
vs Similar (16)44.141.885.9+2.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.241.791.9+8.560%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cairns Marlins wins
2
USC Rip City wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/23HNorthside Wizards86-88
01/07/23HRockhampton Rockets91-90
24/06/23HTownsville Heat110-93
18/06/23AIpswich Force111-98
17/06/23ALogan Thunder68-108
16/06/23ARed City Roar93-79
10/06/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix86-82
28/05/23ARockhampton Rockets82-79
27/05/23AMackay Meteors76-107
12/05/23HMackay Meteors96-89
USC Rip Citylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/23ATownsville Heat112-87
08/07/23HSouth West Metro Pirates103-77
02/07/23HMackay Meteors87-78
25/06/23ABrisbane Capitals98-100
24/06/23HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks101-81
17/06/23ASunshine Coast Phoenix100-84
11/06/23ASouthern District80-89
10/06/23HNorthside Wizards86-85
03/06/23HGold Coast Rollers97-120
27/05/23ADarwin Salties101-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game86.490.083.6
Allowed / game90.387.492.7
Point differential-3.9+2.6-9.1
Avg total176.8177.4176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC Rip City
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game95.894.397.6
Allowed / game91.390.392.6
Point differential+4.4+4.0+5.0
Avg total187.1184.6190.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gold Coast Rollers1917289%102.688.4+14.2
2 Logan Thunder1915479%95.782.7+13.0
3 Ipswich Force1913668%98.495.5+2.9
4 Mackay Meteors1911858%92.387.5+4.8
5 South West Metro Pirates1911858%89.989.4+0.5
6 USC Rip City1810856%95.891.3+4.4
7 Cairns Marlins1810856%86.490.3-3.9
8 Darwin Salties1910953%97.294.2+2.9
9 Southern District1910953%88.989.0-0.1
10 Sunshine Coast Phoenix1910953%88.789.4-0.7
11 Northside Wizards1991047%87.690.5-2.8
12 Brisbane Capitals1971237%95.195.4-0.3
13 North Gold Coast Seahawks1971237%86.192.5-6.4
14 Townsville Heat1951426%89.194.1-5.0
15 Rockhampton Rockets1941521%87.295.4-8.3
16 Red City Roar1921711%81.797.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins29323032123
USC Rip City30262323102
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