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Cal Poly vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 95-94 (OT)
28-39 48-37 19-18
Position#235
Record5-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game85.0
Cal Poly 🏆
USA
vs
Denver
USA
Position#320
Record6-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Menlo
#413
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H11/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H15/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A21/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
59-30
37-31
38-40
36-35
46-43
38-46
51-47
31-47
35-33
44-33
38-46
34-43
63-47
31-30
35-47
34-51
57-51
40-45
51-46
169.0Avg total
84.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.285.0168.2-1.842%
Season at home (4)86.879.5166.2+7.275%
Season away (8)81.487.8169.1-6.425%
Last 10 (10)84.784.3169.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)87.291.0178.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)65.876.9142.7-11.15%
vs Similar (7)84.187.9172.0-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)99.066.0165.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado Christian
#540
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H15/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H17/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A25/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
A01/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#375
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H11/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
48-30
47-33
32-45
24-38
49-45
33-48
27-41
29-39
25-29
30-39
40-31
47-31
33-28
40-41
28-26
49-35
45-52
22-36
37-38
151.2Avg total
74.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.477.5151.9-3.246%
Season at home (5)87.273.4160.6+13.8100%
Season away (8)66.480.1146.5-13.812%
Last 10 (10)74.376.9151.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)78.277.6155.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.480.8153.2-8.536%
vs Similar (15)76.581.3157.8-4.940%
vs Weaker (3)80.772.3153.0+8.367%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
Cal PolyDenver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Menlo
#413
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A15/12
NCAA
76.2Avg total
36.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.236.467.6-5.320%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.934.665.5-3.731%-
Last 30 away (17)31.437.869.2-6.512%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.776.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)29.035.764.7-6.89%-
vs Similar (7)36.938.775.6-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.036.076.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado Christian
#540
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A25/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#375
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H11/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A15/12
NCAA
73.2Avg total
35.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.138.273.3-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.236.377.6+4.967%-
Last 30 away (18)31.039.470.4-8.46%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.373.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.474.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.339.173.4-4.827%-
vs Similar (15)34.738.973.6-4.120%-
vs Weaker (3)35.332.768.0+2.767%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
1
Denver wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Denver v Cal Poly97-76
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ASan Jose State100-107 OT
08/12/24HCS Northridge91-102
06/12/24AUC Davis66-77
01/12/24AStanford97-90
27/11/24HGrambling St.82-79
24/11/24ASt. Marys (CA)66-80
21/11/24AArizona State89-93
18/11/24AEast. Washington82-78
15/11/24HSeattle75-71
11/11/24HMenlo99-66
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ACS Fullerton59-74
11/12/24HColorado Springs94-87
07/12/24APortland State68-67
05/12/24HSacramento State80-59
01/12/24APortland90-101 OT
26/11/24AUtah Tech54-68
25/11/24ACS Northridge60-89
25/11/24AMontana73-83
17/11/24HMontana State79-78
15/11/24HColorado Christian86-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %42%75%25%
Points / game83.286.881.4
Allowed / game85.079.587.8
Point differential-1.8+7.2-6.4
Avg total168.2166.2169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Denver
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%100%12%
Points / game74.487.266.4
Allowed / game77.573.480.1
Point differential-3.2+13.8-13.8
Avg total151.9160.6146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine109190%73.260.3+12.9
2 UC San Diego1210283%78.462.8+15.6
3 UC Santa Barbara107370%78.864.4+14.4
4 CS Northridge107370%82.171.4+10.7
5 Hawaii96367%74.770.0+4.7
6 UC Riverside117464%72.271.5+0.6
7 UC Davis106460%70.172.5-2.4
8 CSU Bakersfield115645%76.070.2+5.8
9 Cal Poly125742%83.285.0-1.8
10 Long Beach State124833%65.070.7-5.7
11 CS Fullerton124833%60.971.0-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St1410471%79.870.9+8.9
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)139469%84.972.4+12.5
3 South Dakota Coyotes139469%87.077.7+9.3
4 South Dakota St.138562%76.868.4+8.5
5 UMKC147750%77.565.1+12.4
6 Denver136746%74.477.5-3.2
7 North Dakota124833%71.677.2-5.7
8 Nebraska O.134931%68.175.1-7.0
9 Oral Roberts113827%72.475.5-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cal Poly28481995
Denver39371894
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