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UC Davis vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-66
30-31 47-35
Position#231
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#235
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Davis v Cal Poly
07 Feb 2026
UC D67
CAL 58
12 Mar 2025
UC D76
CAL 86
05 Dec 2024
UC D77
CAL 66
30 Dec 2023
UC D71
CAL 46
21 Jan 2023
UC D65
CAL 63
08 Mar 2022
UC D63
CAL 53
01 Feb 2020
UC D66
CAL 51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A09/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H16/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H17/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A06/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Menlo
#413
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
57-90
57
90
-33
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-39
42-39
31-29
37-36
32-27
38-47
33-37
40-42
37-40
42-35
39-30
41-40
23-41
42-38
46-35
29-33
33-34
22-42
31-44
26-46
146.4Avg total
71.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.176.7145.9-7.643%
Season at home (2)67.573.0140.5-5.550%
Season away (5)69.878.2148.0-8.440%
Last 10 (10)71.075.4146.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)66.476.6143.0-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.274.2137.5-11.038%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.870.5144.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (4)72.556.2128.8+16.2100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#79
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A10/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A06/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Menlo
#413
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H11/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H15/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A21/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-49
52-43
35-39
43-47
35-39
38-52
40-36
59-30
37-31
38-40
36-35
46-43
38-46
51-47
31-47
35-33
44-33
38-46
34-43
63-47
165.4Avg total
82.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.381.6163.9+0.856%
Season at home (3)85.372.0157.3+13.3100%
Season away (6)80.886.3167.2-5.533%
Last 10 (10)82.882.6165.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.284.0167.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)64.274.9139.1-10.78%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.686.2170.8-1.660%
vs Weaker (1)99.066.0165.0+33.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +3.5+3.5
UC DavisCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H16/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Menlo
#413
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A17/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.832.767.5+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.330.565.7+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)34.434.969.3-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.670.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.935.169.0-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.033.368.3+1.756%-
vs Weaker (4)36.025.061.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#79
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A10/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Menlo
#413
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/12
NCAA
76.3Avg total
36.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.666.5-4.720%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.333.364.6-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)30.637.668.1-7.06%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.876.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.877.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.234.864.0-5.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.439.276.6-1.840%-
vs Weaker (1)40.036.076.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UC Davis wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Cal Poly v UC Davis52-59
30/12/23UC Davis v Cal Poly71-46
25/02/23Cal Poly v UC Davis52-58
21/01/23UC Davis v Cal Poly65-63
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
21/02/20Cal Poly v UC Davis62-77
02/02/20UC Davis v Cal Poly66-51
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AOregon State57-90
26/11/24HNorfolk State55-76
21/11/24AGrand Canyon75-68
17/11/24AStanford65-79
13/11/24HMenlo80-70
08/11/24AIdaho79-75
06/11/24AWashington73-79
17/03/24HLong Beach State70-74
16/03/24HHawaii68-65
09/03/24ALong Beach State88-78
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AStanford97-90
27/11/24HGrambling St.82-79
24/11/24ASt. Marys (CA)66-80
21/11/24AArizona State89-93
18/11/24AEast. Washington82-78
15/11/24HSeattle75-71
11/11/24HMenlo99-66
08/11/24ACalifornia73-91
06/11/24ASan Francisco78-86
10/03/24AUC San Diego87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game69.167.569.8
Allowed / game76.773.078.2
Point differential-7.6-5.5-8.4
Avg total145.9140.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%100%33%
Points / game82.385.380.8
Allowed / game81.672.086.3
Point differential+0.8+13.3-5.5
Avg total163.9157.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine880100%74.458.8+15.6
2 UC Santa Barbara76186%81.360.4+20.9
3 UC San Diego86275%77.661.1+16.5
4 CS Northridge86275%81.969.4+12.5
5 Hawaii75271%76.170.3+5.9
6 Cal Poly95456%82.381.6+0.8
7 CSU Bakersfield84450%76.870.2+6.5
8 UC Riverside84450%71.675.0-3.4
9 UC Davis73443%69.176.7-7.6
10 CS Fullerton82625%59.073.8-14.8
11 Long Beach State91811%61.772.7-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis304777
Cal Poly313566
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