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Cal Poly vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 57-58
26-22 31-36
Position#337
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game56.5
vs
Position#274
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#206
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#306
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#129
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H26/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#129
L
66-68 OT
66
68
-2
H27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A06/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A07/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#253
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A10/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#83
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Westcliff
#474
W
86-53
86
53
+33
H10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
29-37
31-36
38-38
25-34
36-35
26-32
40-34
23-33
34-38
24-31
30-39
36-32
51-50
27-34
24-24
32-23
54-30
23-30
34-30
133.8Avg total
65.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.556.5128.0+15.050%
Season at home (2)71.556.5128.0+15.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.268.6133.8-3.420%
Last 5 (5)67.064.6131.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)59.371.9131.2-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (3)67.774.7142.3-7.00%
vs Weaker (3)87.056.7143.7+30.3100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#152
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H26/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#138
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Montana State
#138
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A10/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#482
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H10/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
39-32
32-48
37-40
32-35
25-42
30-36
43-46
35-36
35-36
36-35
39-42
30-29
44-44
45-42
38-48
48-19
41-40
30-45
26-44
149.2Avg total
71.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.574.0146.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)89.059.0148.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)56.089.0145.0-33.00%
Last 10 (10)71.677.6149.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)75.477.6153.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.175.7144.8-6.618%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.272.0141.2-2.838%
vs Weaker (5)80.655.8136.4+24.8100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -4.7-4.7
Cal PolySacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#206
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#306
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#129
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H26/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#129
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A06/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#253
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#83
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Westcliff
#474
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H12/11
NCAA
61.1Avg total
28.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.032.962.0-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.232.562.8-2.225%-
Last 30 away (14)27.633.461.1-5.821%-
Last 10 (10)28.232.961.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)28.430.058.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)27.933.661.5-5.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.733.064.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (3)35.727.763.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#152
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#138
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Montana State
#138
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#482
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H10/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A14/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
34.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.165.9-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.529.565.0+5.946%-
Last 30 away (17)30.835.866.6-4.935%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.271.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.071.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.737.569.2-5.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.333.063.3-2.738%-
vs Weaker (5)38.826.465.2+12.480%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
1
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
19/12/19Sacramento State v Cal Poly57-56
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/21HNorth Dakota St57-60
10/11/21HWestcliff86-53
12/03/21AUC Irvine51-58
10/03/21ACS Fullerton87-82
07/03/21AUC Santa Barbara54-70
06/03/21AUC Santa Barbara57-71
27/02/21HUC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21HUC Davis61-69
21/02/21ALong Beach State69-74
07/02/21AHawaii64-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21AUtah Utes56-89
10/11/21HWilliam Jessup89-59
10/03/21ANorthern Colorado83-90
06/03/21AMontana State74-73
05/03/21AMontana State75-77
27/02/21HWeber State70-72
26/02/21HWeber State73-82
20/02/21ASouthern Utah57-77
19/02/21ASouthern Utah69-88
14/02/21ACalifornia Baptist70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game56.556.5-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total128.0128.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Sacramento State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.589.056.0
Allowed / game74.059.089.0
Point differential-1.5+30.0-33.0
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara110100%119.065.0+54.0
2 UC San Diego220100%77.561.0+16.5
3 Long Beach State110100%95.089.0+6.0
4 UC Davis220100%78.072.5+5.5
5 UC Riverside32167%63.761.7+2.0
6 Cal Poly21150%71.556.5+15.0
7 Hawaii42250%78.076.5+1.5
8 UC Irvine21150%54.556.0-1.5
9 CSU Bakersfield21150%71.577.5-6.0
10 CS Fullerton2020%76.581.0-4.5
11 CS Northridge2020%50.578.5-28.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State220100%81.559.5+22.0
2 Northern Colorado43175%80.070.8+9.2
3 Portland State21150%82.058.5+23.5
4 Montana State21150%85.573.0+12.5
5 Idaho21150%92.090.0+2.0
6 Sacramento State21150%72.574.0-1.5
7 East. Washington31233%87.782.0+5.7
8 Northern Arizona31233%70.367.3+3.0
9 Montana31233%66.764.0+2.7
10 Idaho State31233%64.367.7-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly263157
Sacramento State223658
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