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Montana State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-75
35-36 42-39
Position#138
Record10-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#251
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Montana State v Sacramento State
28 Feb 2026
MONT82
SACR61
30 Jan 2025
MONT70
SACR58
12 Mar 2024
MONT74
SACR71
24 Feb 2024
MONT63
SACR66
23 Feb 2023
MONT60
SACR56
10 Mar 2022
MONT83
SACR61
03 Mar 2022
MONT75
SACR69
06 Mar 2021
MONT73
SACR74
05 Mar 2021
MONT77
SACR75
28 Dec 2019
MONT66
SACR51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#242
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
34-35
31-37
38-27
31-26
31-25
25-26
33-27
45-43
43-53
33-37
41-45
42-49
35-44
33-36
36-49
37-38
32-36
32-30
39-31
143.1Avg total
70.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.872.3147.1+2.656%
Season at home (6)82.774.5157.2+8.267%
Season away (12)70.971.2142.1-0.250%
Last 10 (10)70.872.3143.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)72.079.0151.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.679.4148.0-10.810%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.869.8140.6+1.175%
vs Weaker (7)72.160.7132.9+11.471%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#158
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Montana
#158
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A31/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A01/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A13/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H26/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
41-45
25-30
43-38
22-37
38-31
46-43
33-51
27-39
44-44
31-37
39-32
32-48
37-40
32-35
25-42
30-36
43-46
35-36
35-36
149.8Avg total
70.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.270.7141.9+0.541%
Season at home (8)79.267.2146.5+12.062%
Season away (9)64.173.8137.9-9.722%
Last 10 (10)70.479.4149.8-9.020%
Last 5 (5)67.877.6145.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.874.3142.2-6.517%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.567.8134.4-1.336%
vs Weaker (7)74.157.9132.0+16.386%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -6.9-6.92nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -2.7-2.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -6.9-6.92nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -2.7-2.7
Montana StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#242
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/01
NCAA
Portland State
#242
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H12/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Idaho
#355
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A28/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.034.568.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.334.570.8+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)32.434.667.0-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.169.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.073.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.237.871.0-4.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.234.267.3-1.042%-
vs Weaker (7)34.930.665.4+4.357%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#158
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H22/01
NCAA
Montana
#158
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A31/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#76
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A01/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A13/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#152
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H27/02
NCAA
67.9Avg total
30.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.863.9-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.130.863.9+2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)29.234.663.8-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)30.537.467.9-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.470.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.436.668.0-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)28.331.860.1-3.518%-
vs Weaker (7)34.927.962.7+7.071%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Montana State wins
1
Sacramento State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21AIdaho71-61
27/02/21AIdaho69-74
13/02/21HEast. Washington69-85
12/02/21HEast. Washington77-93
06/02/21AWeber State74-82
05/02/21AWeber State88-96
23/01/21ANorthern Arizona58-53
22/01/21ANorthern Arizona62-51
16/01/21HPortland State69-64
15/01/21HPortland State71-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HWeber State70-72
26/02/21HWeber State73-82
20/02/21ASouthern Utah57-77
19/02/21ASouthern Utah69-88
14/02/21ACalifornia Baptist70-69
13/02/21ACalifornia Baptist71-83
01/02/21AEast. Washington79-94
31/01/21AEast. Washington60-68
23/01/21HMontana89-83 OT
22/01/21HMontana66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game74.882.770.9
Allowed / game72.374.571.2
Point differential+2.6+8.2-0.2
Avg total147.1157.2142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game71.279.264.1
Allowed / game70.767.273.8
Point differential+0.5+12.0-9.7
Avg total141.9146.5137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State2217577%82.168.8+13.3
2 East. Washington1912763%79.572.1+7.4
3 Montana State1810856%74.872.3+2.6
4 Idaho State1910953%64.562.2+2.3
5 Northern Colorado1910953%70.368.0+2.3
6 Montana23111248%70.066.8+3.2
7 Portland State2091145%69.665.7+4.0
8 Sacramento State1771041%71.270.7+0.5
9 Northern Arizona2051525%62.675.4-12.8
10 Idaho211205%60.976.8-15.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State354277
Sacramento State363975
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