The Caledonia Gladiators host the Leicester Riders on 15 November 2026 in the SLB, with the model favouring Leicester as the stronger side; the projected 86-91 score reflects that edge. Caledonia's season record of 3-4 has them 9th in the league, averaging 83.9 points and conceding 93.0, while at home they are 2-1 with 85.7 points for and 83.7 against; their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent loss to Liverpool 93-119 away, a defeat to Newcastle Eagles 92-99 at home, and a victory over Manchester Basketball 94-92 away. Leicester, 1-7 overall and 10th in the standings, averages 84.2 points and 89.4 allowed, and on the road they are 1-4 with 86.8 points for and 89.4 against; their last five contain one win and four losses, highlighted by a win over London Lions 97-76 away, a loss to Newcastle Eagles 80-101 at home, and a close defeat to Manchester Basketball 87-89 at home. In their 10 previous meetings Leicester leads 6-4, most recently winning 95-93 on 12 April 2026. The model assigns Leicester a 67% chance of winning, Caledonia 33%, with a 31% probability that Caledonia covers the -1.5 line and a 54% chance of the total exceeding 175.0; an overtime probability sits at 5%. The projected total of 177.2 points suggests a high-scoring affair.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 83.9 | 93.0 | 176.9 | -9.1 | 43% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.7 | 83.7 | 169.3 | +2.0 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 82.5 | 100.0 | 182.5 | -17.5 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.0 | 97.0 | 186.0 | -8.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.6 | 96.0 | 182.6 | -9.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (29) | 82.0 | 93.6 | 175.6 | -11.7 | 28% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 84.2 | 89.4 | 173.6 | -5.1 | 12% |
| Season at home (3) | 80.0 | 89.3 | 169.3 | -9.3 | 0% |
| Season away (5) | 86.8 | 89.4 | 176.2 | -2.6 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.9 | 88.2 | 169.1 | -7.3 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.2 | 91.6 | 179.8 | -3.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 81.1 | 87.6 | 168.7 | -6.6 | 22% |
| vs Similar (8) | 90.4 | 91.5 | 181.9 | -1.1 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 86.7 | 92.7 | 179.3 | -6.0 | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 46.9 | 86.7 | -7.1 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.7 | 44.4 | 83.1 | -5.6 | 14% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.8 | 49.2 | 89.9 | -8.4 | 25% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.5 | 47.2 | 91.7 | -2.7 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 47.4 | 93.0 | -1.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (29) | 39.8 | 46.6 | 86.4 | -6.8 | 21% | 38% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 44.3 | 85.7 | -2.9 | 33% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.5 | 46.0 | 88.5 | -3.5 | 14% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.4 | 42.8 | 83.2 | -2.4 | 50% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 45.4 | 84.2 | -6.6 | 20% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 45.8 | 88.8 | -2.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 39.4 | 45.6 | 85.0 | -6.2 | 22% | 44% |
| vs Similar (8) | 43.4 | 43.9 | 87.2 | -0.5 | 38% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 42.7 | 39.0 | 81.7 | +3.7 | 67% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester Riders +2 | 72.0% | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.77 | 1.76 | - | +20.2pp |
| Leicester Riders +2.5 | 73.0% | 1.70 | 1.74 | 1.73 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.64 | +19.2pp |
| Leicester Riders over 84.5 | 73.9% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +15.7pp |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 93.5 | 76.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp |
| Over 167.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.0 | 23.8 | 50.9% | 47.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 9.9 | 34.9% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.4 | 10.9 | 70.8% | 10.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 19.3 | 50.9% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.0 | 8.4 | 34.9% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.9 | 16.3 | 70.8% | 16.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 | Caledonia Gladiators v Leicester Riders | 93-95 OT |
| 20/03/26 | Leicester Riders v Caledonia Gladiators | 100-106 OT |
| 15/03/26 | Caledonia Gladiators v Leicester Riders | 79-65 |
| 21/11/25 | Leicester Riders v Caledonia Gladiators | 85-79 |
| 27/04/25 | Leicester Riders v Caledonia Gladiators | 98-78 |
| 06/04/25 | Caledonia Gladiators v Leicester Riders | 93-88 |
| 28/03/25 | Caledonia Gladiators v Leicester Riders | 66-88 |
| 17/01/25 | Leicester Riders v Caledonia Gladiators | 85-74 |
| 22/03/24 | Leicester Riders v Caledonia Gladiators | 90-115 |
| 11/02/24 | Caledonia Gladiators v Leicester Riders | 93-97 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Liverpool | 93-119 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 92-99 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 94-92 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Sheffield Sharks | 87-79 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 67-91 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Sheffield Sharks | 76-98 |
| 20/09/26 | H | Liverpool | 78-73 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 82-91 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 101-111 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 120-117 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | London Lions | 97-76 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 80-101 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 87-89 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 102-107 OT |
| 11/10/26 | A | Sheffield Sharks | 75-85 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 73-78 |
| 02/10/26 | A | London Lions | 66-71 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 94-108 |
| 10/05/26 | A | London Lions | 65-78 |
| 07/05/26 | H | London Lions | 70-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 43% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.9 | 85.7 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 93.0 | 83.7 | 100.0 |
| Point differential | -9.1 | +2.0 | -17.5 |
| Avg total | 176.9 | 169.3 | 182.5 |
| Over 175 | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 12% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLLLW | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Points / game | 84.2 | 80.0 | 86.8 |
| Allowed / game | 89.4 | 89.3 | 89.4 |
| Point differential | -5.1 | -9.3 | -2.6 |
| Avg total | 173.6 | 169.3 | 176.2 |
| Over 175 | 50% | 67% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (4) | 0% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 81.4 | 75.9 | +5.5 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 84.7 | 76.6 | +8.1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.7 | 81.4 | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 77.5 | 77.9 | -0.4 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 81.3 | 83.2 | -1.9 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 94.9 | 95.0 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.2 | 84.3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Caledonia Gladiators | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.9 | 93.0 | -9.1 |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 78.9 | 81.6 | -2.8 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 84.2 | 89.4 | -5.1 |
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