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California vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 60-63
27-33 33-30
Position#283
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#213
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#73
L
60-97
60
97
-37
A17/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A19/02
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H24/02
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
51-84
51
84
-33
A03/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A08/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H11/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-50
37-47
15-38
28-40
24-32
32-33
26-29
31-34
26-42
25-42
36-28
30-41
21-35
31-34
35-34
36-32
38-40
41-47
49-34
34-29
135.9Avg total
61.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.772.0149.7+5.767%
Season at home (3)77.772.0149.7+5.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)61.874.1135.9-12.320%
Last 5 (5)70.270.8141.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)58.470.5128.9-12.114%
vs Similar ◀ (1)83.063.0146.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#159
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
60-58 OT
60
58
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A18/03
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#591
W
103-63
103
63
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
40-44
35-30
25-26
43-42
48-36
38-25
41-49
47-24
37-49
24-25
24-23
42-35
43-43
28-34
37-43
45-27
58-36
25-30
43-41
146.3Avg total
76.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.567.0152.5+18.550%
Season at home (1)103.063.0166.0+40.0100%
Season away (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)76.769.6146.3+7.180%
Last 5 (5)76.269.4145.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.875.7149.5-1.850%
vs Weaker (23)76.864.0140.8+12.987%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.9-6.91st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.9-6.91st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: +0.6+0.6
CaliforniaMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#73
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A17/02
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
15-38
15
38
-23
A19/02
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A03/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Washington State
#193
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A08/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Pacific
#361
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H14/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
29.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)27.632.760.3-5.128%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.231.961.1-2.729%-
Last 30 away (12)25.333.859.2-8.525%-
Last 10 (10)29.336.265.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.270.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)26.432.458.8-6.026%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.034.083.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#159
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A18/03
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#591
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A11/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
35.9Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.667.2+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.928.568.4+11.481%-
Last 30 away (14)35.030.965.9+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)35.929.665.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.263.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.333.569.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (23)38.528.667.0+9.978%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HCSU Bakersfield83-63
11/11/23HPacific79-87
07/11/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)71-66
08/03/23AWashington State52-69
05/03/23AOregon State66-69
03/03/23AOregon51-84
25/02/23HWashington State57-63
24/02/23HWashington56-65
19/02/23AUCLA43-78
17/02/23AUSC60-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ASeattle68-71
07/11/23HNorthwest Indian103-63
18/03/23AKansas State65-77
09/03/23HNorthern Arizona85-78
08/03/23HWeber State60-58 OT
06/03/23HNorthern Colorado84-73
28/02/23AEast. Washington79-74
25/02/23HPortland State91-78
24/02/23HSacramento State60-56
19/02/23HMontana72-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game77.777.7-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+5.7+5.7-
Avg total149.7149.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.5103.068.0
Allowed / game67.063.071.0
Point differential+18.5+40.0-3.0
Avg total152.5166.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh330100%91.762.0+29.7
2 Florida State220100%94.067.0+27.0
3 Virginia440100%73.851.0+22.8
4 North Carolina220100%88.069.0+19.0
5 NC State220100%78.061.5+16.5
6 Boston College330100%77.367.3+10.0
7 Syracuse330100%83.774.7+9.0
8 Clemson330100%74.365.7+8.7
9 Miami (FL)43175%84.871.0+13.8
10 SMU Mustangs43175%79.065.5+13.5
11 Virginia Tech32167%79.059.3+19.7
12 Duke32167%79.765.7+14.0
13 Georgia Tech32167%81.073.7+7.3
14 California32167%77.772.0+5.7
15 Stanford32167%85.380.3+5.0
16 Louisville32167%75.371.7+3.7
17 Wake Forest31233%82.778.3+4.3
18 Notre Dame31233%63.372.3-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State220100%78.559.5+19.0
2 Portland State330100%71.361.3+10.0
3 Northern Colorado32167%77.367.0+10.3
4 Montana State21150%85.567.0+18.5
5 Idaho State42250%71.256.8+14.5
6 Montana42250%78.869.2+9.5
7 Sacramento State31233%88.078.0+10.0
8 Idaho31233%73.367.3+6.0
9 Northern Arizona31233%56.381.3-25.0
10 East. Washington3030%67.787.0-19.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California273360
Montana State333063
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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