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Montana State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 60-56
35-30 25-26
Position#54
Record19-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.0
Montana State 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#253
Record13-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Montana State v Sacramento State
28 Feb 2026
MONT82
SACR61
30 Jan 2025
MONT70
SACR58
12 Mar 2024
MONT74
SACR71
24 Feb 2024
MONT63
SACR66
23 Feb 2023
MONT60
SACR56
10 Mar 2022
MONT83
SACR61
03 Mar 2022
MONT75
SACR69
06 Mar 2021
MONT73
SACR74
05 Mar 2021
MONT77
SACR75
28 Dec 2019
MONT66
SACR51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A10/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-19
28-33
29-34
41-40
35-29
32-35
36-34
39-32
37-27
35-38
30-33
39-35
48-28
27-34
39-34
24-39
29-29
29-23
32-24
40-44
133.2Avg total
68.8Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.766.0139.7+7.768%
Season at home (12)81.963.8145.7+18.283%
Season away (16)67.667.7135.2-0.156%
Last 10 (10)68.864.4133.2+4.480%
Last 5 (5)67.464.6132.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.097.0159.0-35.00%
vs Similar (7)67.174.4141.6-7.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)75.063.3138.3+11.781%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H27/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H29/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H03/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-45
39-20
24-21
24-29
35-31
32-17
27-37
38-35
35-34
28-48
32-29
36-39
22-43
33-34
25-35
29-35
20-26
29-26
33-34
37-31
127.1Avg total
60.8Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)65.967.5133.5-1.646%
Season at home (14)69.666.3135.9+3.464%
Season away (14)62.268.8131.0-6.629%
Last 10 (10)60.866.3127.1-5.520%
Last 5 (5)60.869.2130.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.776.9141.6-12.20%
vs Similar (18)65.964.7130.7+1.267%
vs Weaker (2)65.047.0112.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
Montana StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Weber State
#165
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H14/01
NCAA
Idaho
#325
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H19/02
NCAA
64.5Avg total
35.4Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.066.7+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.528.869.2+11.777%-
Last 30 away (17)33.830.964.7+2.959%-
Last 10 (10)35.429.164.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.665.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.052.077.0-27.00%-
vs Similar (7)35.433.468.9+2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.227.664.8+9.776%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#299
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H29/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A12/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H17/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H19/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
27.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.031.960.9-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.029.159.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)28.034.662.6-6.640%-
Last 10 (10)27.533.561.0-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)26.433.459.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.335.965.2-6.630%-
vs Similar (18)29.630.860.3-1.256%-
vs Weaker (2)22.521.544.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Montana State wins
2
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Sacramento State v Montana State65-72
10/03/22Montana State v Sacramento State83-61
04/03/22Montana State v Sacramento State75-69
04/12/21Sacramento State v Montana State66-68
06/03/21Montana State v Sacramento State73-74
05/03/21Montana State v Sacramento State77-75
28/02/20Sacramento State v Montana State81-52
28/12/19Montana State v Sacramento State66-51
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HMontana72-68
12/02/23AIdaho State58-52
10/02/23AWeber State63-73
04/02/23HNorthern Colorado75-62
03/02/23HNorthern Arizona69-68
29/01/23ASacramento State72-65
27/01/23APortland State75-66
22/01/23AMontana67-64
17/01/23AIdaho70-74
14/01/23HWeber State67-52
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HIdaho State70-65
17/02/23HWeber State49-52
12/02/23ANorthern Colorado54-70
10/02/23ANorthern Arizona55-77
04/02/23HIdaho76-82 OT
03/02/23HEast. Washington63-82
29/01/23HMontana State65-72
27/01/23HMontana67-48
22/01/23AWeber State48-50
20/01/23AIdaho State61-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %68%83%56%
Points / game73.781.967.6
Allowed / game66.063.867.7
Point differential+7.7+18.2-0.1
Avg total139.7145.7135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeLLLLW64%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%64%29%
Points / game65.969.662.2
Allowed / game67.566.368.8
Point differential-1.6+3.4-6.6
Avg total133.5135.9131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %14%21%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East. Washington2821775%77.170.4+6.8
2 Montana State2819968%73.766.0+7.7
3 Weber State28151354%66.166.9-0.8
4 Montana27141352%68.667.9+0.7
5 Sacramento State28131546%65.967.5-1.6
6 Portland State28121643%76.174.6+1.5
7 Idaho28101836%74.973.0+1.9
8 Northern Colorado28101836%72.577.1-4.6
9 Idaho State2891932%69.070.9-1.9
10 Northern Arizona2982128%71.773.5-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State352560
Sacramento State302656
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