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Canada W vs Argentina W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 23:40
Final 68-60
18-20 20-10 16-21 14-9
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game51.8
vs
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game60.8
EuropeAmeriCup WomenAmeriCup Women - Quarter-finals· Domo de la Feria
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Canada W v Argentina W
07 Jul 2023
CANA68
ARGE60
09 Aug 2019
CANA54
ARGE59
14 Aug 2017
CANA67
ARGE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canada W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Argentina W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Japan W
#10
W
70-56
70
56
+14
no box
A25/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H26/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
88-65
88
65
+23
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
79-60
79
60
+19
no box
A29/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
43-83
43
83
-40
no box
H30/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
65-95
65
95
-30
no box
A01/10
World Cup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
83-57
83
57
+26
68avg 85
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
84-47
84
47
+37
83avg 85
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
89-55
89
55
+34
95avg 85
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
88-48
88
48
+40
92avg 85
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
21-13
20-14
9-17
23-14
10-24
24-13
15-24
33-16
20-13
17-17
18-19
26-11
18-12
16-19
19-18
7-27
14-18
8-22
14-16
21-27
22-24
11-20
11-24
23-7
11-14
27-14
22-22
19-16
15-12
25-14
25-5
22-14
25-19
23-9
19-13
22-7
19-18
23-10
24-13
140.2Avg total
76.1Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.051.8137.8+34.2100%
Season at home (2)86.056.0142.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)86.047.5133.5+38.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.164.1140.2+12.070%
Last 5 (5)81.860.4142.2+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.580.0136.5-23.50%
vs Similar (2)63.566.0129.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.057.8136.8+21.183%
This opponent (Argentina W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Argentina WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
W
59-54
59
54
+5
no box
A09/08
Pan American Games Women
Brazil W
#3
L
49-76
49
76
-27
no box
H24/09
AmeriCup Women
Paraguay W
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
no box
A24/09
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#1
L
50-100
50
100
-50
no box
H25/09
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#4
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A26/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A28/09
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
56-65
56
65
-9
41avg 49
H02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
44avg 49
A03/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
L
63-66
63
66
-3
57avg 49
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
58-56
58
56
+2
54avg 49
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
8-14
20-8
14-23
8-13
4-14
22-26
15-23
14-14
25-17
18-12
17-11
13-24
11-23
9-24
17-29
17-6
10-24
18-9
9-15
9-12
17-17
24-14
15-24
18-19
11-14
11-16
16-16
14-9
12-20
15-21
14-6
11-17
17-13
17-16
18-20
23-16
12-13
9-16
14-11
126.7Avg total
60.0Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)58.060.8118.8-2.825%
Season at home (2)59.565.5125.0-6.00%
Season away (2)56.556.0112.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)60.066.7126.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)59.462.0121.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)56.973.2130.1-16.28%
vs Similar (6)50.752.3103.0-1.767%
vs Weaker (11)71.551.5123.1+20.091%
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
Canada WArgentina W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan W
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A25/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A27/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A29/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H30/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/10
World Cup Women
Mexico W
#9
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H03/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
70.9Avg total
39.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.266.7+8.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.429.565.9+6.967%-
Last 30 away (12)39.128.867.9+10.383%-
Last 10 (10)39.131.870.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.831.671.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.242.072.2-11.80%-
vs Similar (2)32.031.563.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.126.966.0+12.288%-
This opponent (Argentina W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Argentina WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A09/08
Pan American Games Women
Brazil W
#3
L
12-27
12
27
-15
H24/09
AmeriCup Women
Paraguay W
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A24/09
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#1
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H25/09
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#4
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A26/09
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A28/09
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A03/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
57.9Avg total
27.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)29.229.658.8-0.448%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.330.358.6-2.043%-
Last 30 away (15)30.128.959.0+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)27.130.857.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)28.830.058.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)26.133.659.7-7.523%-
vs Similar (5)25.228.854.0-3.640%-
vs Weaker (11)34.725.259.9+9.582%-
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.023.8
48.5%
39.1%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
29.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.815.0
60.6%
65.9%15.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Argentina Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Argentina W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.0 points a game
52%
28%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.812.0
36.6%
39.1%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.2
26.4%
29.0%21.8
🏀 Free throws18.511.2
60.8%
65.9%11.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 07 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canada W
WWWWLLWWLW
Argentina W
WLLLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#7
+43.5
Net rating
-3.6
108.0
Offensive rating
74.6
64.5
Defensive rating
78.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
38.0%
29.9%
Opp. effective FG%
35.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
23.1%
41.8%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
26.4%
75.2%
Assist %
81.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 74.6Defence64.5 · 78.2Shooting47.9% · 38.0%3-point %31.2% · 26.4%Ball care18.3% · 23.1%Off. rebounds41.8% · 21.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Canada W   ■ Argentina W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canada W wins
2
Argentina W wins
DateGameScore
09/08/19Canada W v Argentina W54-59
14/08/17Canada W v Argentina W67-65
17/07/15Argentina W v Canada W58-73
30/06/12Argentina W v Canada W41-58
30/09/11Argentina W v Canada W61-59
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/23ADominican Republic W88-48
04/07/23HColombia W89-55
04/07/23APuerto Rico W84-47
03/07/23HMexico W83-57
01/10/22AAustralia W65-95
30/09/22HUSA W43-83
29/09/22APuerto Rico W79-60
27/09/22AMali W88-65
26/09/22HAustralia W72-75
25/09/22AJapan W70-56
Argentina Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/23AVenezuela W58-56
04/07/23HCuba W63-66
03/07/23ABrazil W55-56
02/07/23HUSA W56-65
28/09/19ADominican Republic W65-67
26/09/19AColombia W71-73 OT
25/09/19HUSA W50-100
24/09/19AParaguay W74-54
24/09/19HBrazil W49-76
09/08/19ACanada W59-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canada W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.086.086.0
Allowed / game51.856.047.5
Point differential+34.2+30.0+38.5
Avg total137.8142.0133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Argentina W
AmeriCup Women 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game58.059.556.5
Allowed / game60.865.556.0
Point differential-2.8-6.0+0.5
Avg total118.8125.0112.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada W440100%86.051.8+34.2
2 Brazil W440100%76.259.5+16.8
3 USA W54180%74.654.0+20.6
4 Puerto Rico W54180%68.468.6-0.2
5 Colombia W52340%59.063.6-4.6
6 Argentina W41325%58.060.8-2.8
7 Mexico W41325%58.068.5-10.5
8 Cuba W41325%62.091.8-29.8
9 Venezuela W51420%75.680.4-4.8
10 Dominican Republic W4040%53.275.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canada W1820161468
Argentina W201021960
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